XAUUSD is forming a correction from the resistance level of 4500 and reaching a local low of 4415. Against the backdrop of DXY growth, the correction may continue. The market is awaiting economic news...
Mixed US data: JOLTS job openings fell to 7.146 million. ADP employment rose by 41,000. The ISM services index rose to 54.4, which is higher than expected.
Expectations for two Fed rate cuts in 2026 remain (≈61 bps). The fundamental backdrop is mixed, with additional confirming data needed.
Geopolitics supports demand: the US has confirmed negotiations on the acquisition of Greenland. China has imposed a ban on the export of dual-use goods to Japan. The focus is shifting to Friday's US employment report (NFP).
The correction in gold appears to be temporary amid continuing expectations of Fed policy easing and geopolitical tensions. The NFP report will be the decisive factor in determining the direction — weak data could trigger a new round of growth.
Resistance levels: 4442, 4475, 4497
Support levels: 4427, 4400
As part of the correction, gold may test the support zone of 4425-4400. Overall, the trend is bullish, and the market correction may be temporary. A false breakdown and the bulls holding the price above key zones could trigger growth towards the flat resistance.
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