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Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – April 14, 2026

275


Momentum

D1
– D1 momentum is showing signs of sticking together
→ This suggests that the downside move may continue
→ But it also still holds the potential for a continued upside move

→ This type of momentum reflects inconsistency and uncertainty in the market
→ Therefore, we should focus more on observation

H4
– H4 momentum is preparing to reverse downward
→ There is a high probability of:
– A downward move
– Or sideways movement

→ Expected to last at least 3 to 5 H4 candles

H1
– H1 momentum is currently decreasing
→ There is a probability of:
– Continued downside
– Or sideways movement

Elliott Wave Structure

D1
– Although D1 momentum may still signal a potential bullish continuation
→ The abcde corrective structure has not been invalidated

→ Therefore, this structure remains the primary scenario to monitor
→ I still expect a downside move based on D1 momentum
→ This may occur when D1 confirms a reversal with a bearish daily candle today or tomorrow

H4
– The abcde corrective structure (blue) has been formed
– Price is currently in a corrective upward move

→ Price has not broken above wave e
→ Therefore, the structure is not invalidated

→ Combined with H4 momentum preparing to reverse downward
→ This could form a H4 top in the near term

H1
– An ABC structure is forming

→ The target zone of wave C is:
– 4789

→ At the same time, there is a strong liquidity zone above:
– 4831

→ These zones act as resistance when:
– Price is forming a top
– H4 momentum is reversing

→ Priority:
– Use 4789 as the main sell zone
→ Because this area is a confluence of:
– Fibonacci target
– High liquidity zone

Alternative Scenario

– Due to D1 momentum compression, upside potential still exists

→ If price breaks 4857.9:
– The abcde (blue) structure will be invalidated
– The market may move higher

→ Potential target:
– 5007

Trading Plan
Sell zone: 4789 – 4791
SL: 4805

TP1: 4738
TP2: 4672
TP3: 4583
액티브 트레이드
+200 pips Entry Sell 4789 - 4791😘😘😘
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