금 현물 / 미국 달러
Long

GOLD → Testing 3700. What to expect from the price going forward

7 706
XAUUSD continues to rally. Ahead lies the psychological barrier of 3700, where the market may form profit-taking ahead of Tuesday and Wednesday's news...

GOLD → A s.triangle against the backdrop of a bullish trend...


Gold is testing 3700. The bullish trend remains unshakable thanks to a combination of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors.
Expectations of Fed policy easing: There is a high probability of a 25 bps rate cut (possibly even 50 bps) as early as this week. Trump's pressure on Powell reinforces these expectations.
Stagflation risks: Slowing growth amid steady inflation increases the appeal of gold as a hedge.
Risks: Profit-taking: After a sharp rise, a short-term correction is possible in the psychological target zone of 3700. Retail sales data (today): Weak data will support gold, while strong data may temporarily strengthen the dollar. Fed decision (tomorrow): Even if the rate is lowered, a “sell on the fact” reaction is possible.

Resistance levels: 3700, 3710
Support levels: 3685, 3675, 3657


Technically, since the opening of the session, gold has lost part of its daily ATR, and the upward movement may be zigzag-shaped, especially ahead of the news. I expect a correction from the market to 3685-3675 with the aim of rebounding upwards...

Best regards, R. Linda!

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