금 현물 / 미국 달러
Short
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XAUUSD: Approaching Critical Supply – Sell-Off to SSL Imminent

133
Technical Key Points:

Market Structure Shift (MSS) & BOS: Earlier price action confirmed a shift in sentiment, followed by a clean Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside, establishing a series of lower highs and lower lows.

Head and Shoulders Pattern: We can see a clear H&S formation developing. The right shoulder has consolidated just below the trendline, signaling exhaustion from the buyers.

Supply Zone Interaction: Price is currently retracing into a recently formed Supply Zone (approx. 4,700 - 4,710 range). This area aligns with the trendline resistance, making it a high-probability "Point of Interest" (POI) for shorts.
Target: The primary objective is the Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) sitting at the recent swing lows (around the 4,660 level). If the current supply zone holds, we expect a rapid expansion downward to sweep these lows.

Trading Plan:

Bias: Bearish 🔴

Entry: Look for bearish rejection candles (pin bars or engulfing) within the highlighted Supply Zone.

Invalidation: A sustained candle close above the descending trendline and the 4,720 level would invalidate this bearish thesis.
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