Moving Averages

THE 76K–78K BATTLE WILL DECIDE BTC’S NEXT MOVE Hello friends! 💥🌪️ The US holidays are over, and the American trading session has opened right in the middle of the 76,000–78,000 trading range that I’ve mentioned multiple times before. This is where the main battle between buyers and sellers is currently taking place 🦬🐻 As I noted earlier, a breakout beyond the boundaries of this range will most likely determine the next short-term direction for BTC. ⚡️⚡️⚡️At the moment, I don’t see anything more important on the chart than these levels around 76,000–78,000. Higher volatility is possible at the start of the trading week. Manage your stops carefully. Peace 🌍

by inchartswetrust

EUR/AUD Bullish Retest Above EMA 50 EUR/AUD continues to hold above the EMA 50, keeping the bullish momentum intact for now. I’ll be looking for a clean bullish retest before considering any long positions. As long as the pair respects the current support structure and maintains strength above the EMA 50, buyers could attempt another push toward higher levels. The main upside target remains at 1.63004. A confirmed bullish retest could provide a strong continuation setup for further upside movement. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

by BitsounisProject

Mastering Fibonacci Trading Techniques Advanced Fibonacci Strategies for Smarter Trading Decisions **************************** Before reading this article, make sure you complete the previous parts of this Fibonacci trading course: Day 01: Fibonacci Trading Tools Day 02: Fibonacci Retracement Trading Strategy for Beginners Day 03: Fibonacci Projection: Finding Exit Points in Trading Day 04: Fibonacci Convergence: Finding Strong Support and Resistance Today, we move from beginner-level concepts toward advanced Fibonacci trading techniques. Why Is Fibonacci Important? **************************** Most ordinary traders are confused about: When to enter a trade When to exit a trade Whether a breakout is real or false Where to place stop loss How to manage profits properly Many traders simply follow the market without a clear plan. A skilled Fibonacci trader, however, can often capture a large part of a market move by understanding: Retracement levels Breakout zones Extensions Market structure Trend continuation The Biggest Challenge of Fibonacci Trading **************************** One disadvantage of Fibonacci trading appears when the market suddenly explodes above a recent high or below a recent low. In such situations, it becomes difficult to join the move safely. That is why the real keys to success are: Practice Patience Discipline Some trading days will offer excellent opportunities. On other days, the market may offer nothing at all. And sometimes, the best trade is no trade. Avoid blindly entering unknown trends just because the market is moving fast. Where Should You Place Stop Loss? **************************** Your stop loss should not be placed too far from the entry point. For example: If price moves back below the 23.6% retracement level after a breakout, many traders may close the trade. However, during major economic news events, market volatility may behave differently. Always adjust risk management according to market conditions. How to Identify False Breakouts **************************** Sometimes the market breaks a support or resistance level but quickly reverses. This is called: False breakout OR False breakdown Example: Price breaks below support > Then closes back above support This may indicate a fake breakdown. A real breakout usually happens when: Price closes strongly beyond the support or resistance level. That is why professional traders wait for confirmation before entering trades. You Do Not Need a High Win Ratio **************************** Many beginners believe they must win 70% or 80% of trades to become profitable. That is not true. Even a trading strategy with around a 50% win ratio can become profitable if: Risk management is strong Profits are larger than losses Discipline is maintained Successful trading is not about winning every trade. It is about managing losses and maximizing good trades. How to Open Positions in Real-Time ( Bigger Risk = Bigger Potential Reward ) **************************** Step 1: Identify the Main Trend (Bullish/Bearish) Step 2: Identify the Swing (HighSwing=Up OR LowSwing=Down + Fibonacci Retracement and Extension levels) Step 3: Wait for the Correction (Patience is the key: Wait for the correction to end at Point C.) Step 4: Wait for the Breakout Step 5: Exit at Fibonacci Extension Levels (127%, 161.8%, 261.8%...) Using Moving Averages with Fibonacci **************************** Moving averages work very well with Fibonacci tools. Personally, I often use the: 50 Moving Average + 200 Moving Average Popular Fast Moving Average Combinations: 5 and 15, 8 and 13, 8 and 21, 20 and 33 Popular Slow Moving Average Combinations: 50 MA, 100 MA, 200 MA Many traders also wait for moving average crossovers before entering trades. Using Williams %R as Confirmation The Williams %R oscillator can help confirm market conditions. The Williams %R moves between: 0 at the top | -100 at the bottom Interpretation: Between 0 and -20 → Overbought | Between -80 and -100 → Oversold It works similarly to the Stochastic Oscillator. Many traders do not know this that they can draw: Support lines, Resistance lines, Trend lines directly on oscillators like Williams %R. This can help identify: Hidden breakouts, Momentum shifts, Early signals before price action becomes obvious. Bulls and Bears in Range Markets **************************** When the market moves sideways inside a range, traders often use oscillators for additional help. Popular choices include: RSI Stochastic ADX Range trading is very different from trend trading. Buying at support and selling at resistance may sound simple, but it requires practice and emotional control. If you are learning range trading, practice first on a demo account. Remember: The goal is not to predict every move perfectly. Goal should be Improve probabilities, Control risk, Build discipline, and Trade with a structured plan The more experience you gain with Fibonacci retracement, extension, convergence, moving averages, and oscillators, the more naturally market structure will start making sense to you.

by forextidings

PEPEUSDT.P Coiling A wedge is forming in the 1hr chart, I believe it will continue to coil before a strong break out. Measured move after the break out I believe will be at least 3% to the upside. On the daily chart I also see a long term trendline that is nearing another break out opportunity.

$USDT.D + $USDC.D Bull Flag looks Ready to Rip After falling 6 straight weeks, Stablecoin dominance is back on the rise after successfully testing the 50% Gann retracement and reclaiming the POI between the .618 Fib with 2 consecutive Weekly Closes. Note the bull flag that has been forming here on CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D + CRYPTOCAP:USDC.D When PA breaks outside this POI, we should expect the next big leg down in the crypto market.

Day 63 of 90 — Bullish Recovery Into Compression 🛡️ Day 63 of 90 — Bullish Recovery Into Compression XAUUSD | M15 | Sentinel Core | Sentinel Structure | Sentinel Companion Situation • Price delivered strong bullish expansion after sweeping discount liquidity near 4,505 • Buyers reclaimed short-term EMA structure and continued building higher lows • Market is now compressing beneath premium resistance around 4,570–4,578 👉 Bullish recovery remains active, but confirmation above resistance has not yet developed What This Chart Shows • Strong recovery momentum formed after downside liquidity was cleared from discount territory • Multiple HL formations developed above EMA support during intraday rotation • Current price action is consolidating below premium resistance while buyers continue defending structure near 4,552–4,558 👉 Compression beneath resistance is not automatic breakout confirmation 🟦 Phase 1 — Liquidity Sweep Into Discount Price aggressively swept lower value: • Liquidity sweep below 4,505 lows • Emotional downside expansion into discount territory 👉 Buyers reacted aggressively after downside liquidity was cleared 🟩 Phase 2 — Bullish Recovery Rotation Bullish momentum recovered strongly: • 4,505 → 4,578 bullish recovery expansion • EMA reclaim supported continuation structure above higher lows 👉 Buyers regained short-term control after protected HL formations developed 🟨 Phase 3 — Compression Beneath Premium Resistance Price is now consolidating beneath resistance: • Immediate resistance sits near 4,570–4,578 • Current support remains around 4,552–4,558 • Buyers continue defending HL structure above EMA support 👉 Compression beneath resistance can still become another LH if confirmation fails Key Lesson Not during emotional expansion Not during sideways compression Only after structure confirms continuation Momentum alone is not confirmation. Execution Note (Sentinel Core) • Wait for protected HL continuation above 4,552–4,558 before considering longs • Respect premium resistance near 4,570–4,578 • Structure first → confirmation second → execution last 🛡️ No confirmation = No trade Sentinel Principle You do not trade the move. You trade confirmed structure. 🛡️ Patience > Excitement Series Note Building consistency through observation, not prediction. #XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SentinelCore #Intraday #Scalping #TradingView

GBPCAD looking for a possible second bullish entry Looking to leg into the GBPCAD uptrend with a second position following a subsequent bull pullback

XAGUSD Sell Setup – Smart Money Concept Analysis Silver (XAGUSD) showing a potential bearish continuation after a strong bullish impulse. Price tapped into the weak high resistance zone and formed a BOS/CHoCH structure, indicating possible seller dominance. Current expectation is a rejection from the supply area followed by a move toward lower liquidity zones. 🔻 Entry Zone: 78.10 – 78.25 🎯 Targets: 77.50 / 77.00 / 76.65 🛑 Stop Loss: Above 78.93 📊 Timeframe: 30M ⚠️ Trade with proper risk management and confirmation before entry.

by JustinEmpire

CADCHF low base for continued bearish trend Following recent weakness of the Canadian Dollar, and surprising upward momentum in the Swiss Franc, looking at a low base forming on the CADCHF. Watching for a break below the 0.5664 level for short entries

GBPCAD Possible bull pullback continuation Following a steady uptrend on the GBPCAD going into this week. Forming a bull pullback on the 1H chart, indicating continued bullish movement. Nearing resistance levels, though, so reversal potential coming up.

Eth Looks Weak. Bearish Continuation Incoming ETH continues to respect the larger monthly log-scale macro channel, but the lower time frames are beginning to show signs of structural weakness. Price recently fell out of the smaller upward-sloping micro channel after multiple failed breakout attempts. What stands out most to me is the high-volume bounce off the inner lower band of the macro channel, only to find rejection attempting to re-enter the micro channel directly at the 8 EMA trendline. That rejection suggests the bounce lacked true momentum sponsorship and may have been more of a liquidity reaction than a sustainable reclaim. Volume Profile is also interesting here. There is a significant area of traded volume around the 2060 region, which is likely acting as the current battleground. If that area fails with acceptance below, the next notable high-volume region sits down in the 1940s, which also lines up closely with the lower outer band of the macro channel (thick green line). That area could become the next major support and bounce zone if price continues lower. Momentum indicators are not helping bulls much right now either. RSI remains below my bullish control thresholds and has struggled to reclaim momentum despite recent bounce attempts. MACD continues to show weak recovery characteristics rather than a convincing trend reversal. At the moment, this still looks more like bearish continuation inside a larger macro bullish structure than a confirmed bottoming process.

by HotsauceShoTYME

S&P 500 Eyes 7600 After Bullish Breakout While an end to the war may have been priced more times than I care to remember, with earnings growth topping forecasts across most sectors on the back of decent nominal economic growth and the AI infrastructure boom, a weaker US dollar starting to deliver tailwinds for offshore earners, and with technicals favouring upside, it’s hard to dislike the near-term outlook for US stocks. With our S&P 500 contract breaking to fresh highs, a long setup may therefore be in order. If we were to see a pullback and bounce from or near the former record high of 7517, longs could be established with a tight stop below, targeting higher levels. With the US, UK and Hong Kong markets offline for public holidays, it’s creating some caution about chasing at these levels, hence why I’d like to see a retest and bounce before entry. As for targets, the index often gravitates towards big figures once it’s broken to fresh highs, making 7600 the first cab off the rank. With RSI (14) pushing higher again and MACD on the cusp of delivering a bullish crossover, the momentum picture favours longs over shorts, as does the bullish price action and raft of medium and longer-term moving averages with a positive slope. Good luck! DS

US100 Excellent Buy Trade Setup US100/NAS100/USTech Buy:29850 SL : 29600 TP : 30350 Your Trading Partner Since2020

by ForexSignal1

BCH Break out, up or down? I say up Bitcoin Cash looks like it's about to make a big move after breaking up out of a trendline on various charts including BTC pair. Based on all the charts lining up as well as some hidden bullish divergence on the daily I'm betting on an upward move. Not sure how big but a move up nonetheless. Let's see how things go

The Hackett Group | HCKT | Long at $9.55 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The Hackett Group NASDAQ:HCKT is finding support off the upper channel of my selected "major crash" simple moving average (gray lines). Price may bounce from here up the "crash" simple moving average (green lines), hit resistance, and then move down to close out the open price gap near $8.00 (another personal entry). FUNDAMENTALS Undervalued growth company Current P/E: 19x Forward P/E: 13x Bankruptcy Risk / Alman's Z Score: 5 (low risk) Debt-to-Equity: 1.2 (pretty healthy) Quick Ratio / Short-Term Debt: 1.9 (healthy) Free-Cash-Flow Yield: 8% (healthy) ACTION Starter position entered at $9.55 with additional entries planned if the stock dips to close out the open price gap near $8.00. TARGETS INTO 2029 $11.00 (+15.2%) $13.50 (+41.4%) Follow for more ideas: www.tradingview.com

by WorthlessViews

Playing out!So, the analysis fo far is being respected by the price action. I think that what is going to matter the most is what BTC decides to do next from here, since BTC is at very important level right now. This is XRP last week:

Falling Wedge Breakdown BTC, is in a downtrend. As explained in my previous post (see the link attached) It has been moving in a rising wedge. It was rather a corrective move in a downtrend, properly. Finally It just got rejected by EMA200, and broken down that wedge and started falling. At best, it can retest the breakdown near 79k area, but its direction is down. With some pauses/breaks at 68k and then 60k, its eventual target would be 49k-45k area. Daily Solid closing above 83k will invalidate this idea.

Rising Channel with EMA89 support.AAOI is following a rising channel and recently fell at the bottom of the channel. On 2H TF, it is also meeting EMA89 that it respected in the past multiple times. Currently it has established good support around 160, and showing reversal signs. Long as it stays above 160, it is likely going to hit 191 as immediate target, while channel top towards 220s will be the final target for now. It will be safe to trade long as it keeps following the rising channel and doesn't close below.

$VVV Top Most Likely IN Notice Higher high on PA with bearish volume and divergence on the RSI Just waiting for the break below the EMA9 and .236 Fib ~$15.5 to confirm Pretty much a perfect short setup here 😎

Gold SMC Structure Analysis – Key Supply & Demand Zones Price is respecting Smart Money Concepts (SMC) structure: the 74.0881 zone acts as strong demand (support) while the 75.5135 zone serves as minor supply (resistance). Watch for potential order block reactions and liquidity grabs around these levels for high-probability trade setups

by XauusdMarketNavigator

4 FAILED BREAKOUTS AT 78K… SO FAR Hello traders!🦬 Yesterday at 13:00 New York time, Bitcoin made its 4th attempt to break above the 78,000 level — but once again unsuccessfully. Despite the instant rejection from the level, price did not continue moving toward the lower boundary of the range at 76,000 and didn’t even reach the support at the 1D EMA 100. Right now, we are seeing some compression below the 78,000 level, which is also a positive signal. The Asian session failed to push the price above 78,000 — now let’s see whether the US session can do it. Also, don’t forget about the Friday factor — Bitcoin often gets sold off into the close of the US trading session on Fridays. Peace 🌍

by inchartswetrust

Good reversal candidate with inv h&s Dr Agarwals health showing inv head and shoulder pattern and it has also broken above 200DMA. It now qualifies for buy on dips we should see buying support nr 460 levels. Over time we can see 600 levels as trend is strong in health care sector.

$SPX 18-year Parallel Channel RSI Analysis The S&P 500 has been trading in an 18-year parallel channel. Every time the RSI trades >75 we see a significant market correction, where we are then presented with amazing buying opps when the RSI touches ~50 in confluence with the MMA34. This time is different tho, right?