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BTC vs Net USD Liquidity 13W ROC Lead
BTC vs Net USD Liquidity — ROC, Lead & Correlation
This indicator compares Bitcoin’s medium-term price momentum with changes in U.S. net dollar liquidity.
Net USD liquidity is calculated as:
Federal Reserve Total Assets
− Overnight Reverse Repo
− U.S. Treasury General Account
Data sources:
• ECONOMICS:USCBBS — Federal Reserve total assets
• FRED:RRPONTTLD — Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements
• FRED:WTREGEN — U.S. Treasury General Account balance
• User-selected BTC/USD symbol
The indicator displays:
• Bitcoin’s percentage change over a selected number of weeks
• Net USD liquidity’s percentage change over the same period
• Liquidity data shifted by a configurable lead period
• Rolling correlation between BTC momentum and the lag-adjusted liquidity impulse
Settings:
Change Period
Defines the number of weeks used to calculate the rate of change. For example, 13 measures the percentage change over the previous 13 weeks.
Liquidity Lead
Tests whether changes in net USD liquidity tend to lead Bitcoin. For example, a setting of 8 compares Bitcoin’s current momentum with the liquidity impulse observed eight weeks earlier.
Correlation Window
Defines the number of weeks used to calculate the rolling correlation.
Correlation interpretation:
• Values closer to +1 indicate a stronger positive relationship
• Values near 0 indicate weak or inconsistent linear correlation
• Values closer to −1 indicate a stronger inverse relationship
Rising net USD liquidity may create a more supportive macro environment for Bitcoin and other risk assets. Falling liquidity may create a more restrictive environment.
However, this relationship is not stable across all market cycles. Bitcoin may react with a changing time lag, and other factors such as ETF flows, leverage, interest rates, market positioning and global liquidity may dominate price action.
The indicator is intended for macroeconomic, liquidity-cycle and market-cycle analysis. It is not a standalone buy or sell signal.
For best results, use it on the weekly timeframe and compare several lead settings, such as 0, 4, 8 and 12 weeks.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. Past correlation does not guarantee future performance.
This indicator compares Bitcoin’s medium-term price momentum with changes in U.S. net dollar liquidity.
Net USD liquidity is calculated as:
Federal Reserve Total Assets
− Overnight Reverse Repo
− U.S. Treasury General Account
Data sources:
• ECONOMICS:USCBBS — Federal Reserve total assets
• FRED:RRPONTTLD — Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements
• FRED:WTREGEN — U.S. Treasury General Account balance
• User-selected BTC/USD symbol
The indicator displays:
• Bitcoin’s percentage change over a selected number of weeks
• Net USD liquidity’s percentage change over the same period
• Liquidity data shifted by a configurable lead period
• Rolling correlation between BTC momentum and the lag-adjusted liquidity impulse
Settings:
Change Period
Defines the number of weeks used to calculate the rate of change. For example, 13 measures the percentage change over the previous 13 weeks.
Liquidity Lead
Tests whether changes in net USD liquidity tend to lead Bitcoin. For example, a setting of 8 compares Bitcoin’s current momentum with the liquidity impulse observed eight weeks earlier.
Correlation Window
Defines the number of weeks used to calculate the rolling correlation.
Correlation interpretation:
• Values closer to +1 indicate a stronger positive relationship
• Values near 0 indicate weak or inconsistent linear correlation
• Values closer to −1 indicate a stronger inverse relationship
Rising net USD liquidity may create a more supportive macro environment for Bitcoin and other risk assets. Falling liquidity may create a more restrictive environment.
However, this relationship is not stable across all market cycles. Bitcoin may react with a changing time lag, and other factors such as ETF flows, leverage, interest rates, market positioning and global liquidity may dominate price action.
The indicator is intended for macroeconomic, liquidity-cycle and market-cycle analysis. It is not a standalone buy or sell signal.
For best results, use it on the weekly timeframe and compare several lead settings, such as 0, 4, 8 and 12 weeks.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. Past correlation does not guarantee future performance.
오픈 소스 스크립트
트레이딩뷰의 진정한 정신에 따라, 이 스크립트의 작성자는 이를 오픈소스로 공개하여 트레이더들이 기능을 검토하고 검증할 수 있도록 했습니다. 작성자에게 찬사를 보냅니다! 이 코드는 무료로 사용할 수 있지만, 코드를 재게시하는 경우 하우스 룰이 적용된다는 점을 기억하세요.
면책사항
해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.
오픈 소스 스크립트
트레이딩뷰의 진정한 정신에 따라, 이 스크립트의 작성자는 이를 오픈소스로 공개하여 트레이더들이 기능을 검토하고 검증할 수 있도록 했습니다. 작성자에게 찬사를 보냅니다! 이 코드는 무료로 사용할 수 있지만, 코드를 재게시하는 경우 하우스 룰이 적용된다는 점을 기억하세요.
면책사항
해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.