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WTI Intraday Pressure (CL1!-CL2!)

837
WTI INTRADAY FACTOR PRO (CL1/CL2)
User Manual

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[1] OVERVIEW

This indicator uses the relationship between CL1 (front-month WTI futures)
and CL2 (second-month futures) to estimate intraday market pressure.

It helps identify:

* directional bias
* continuation vs mean reversion conditions
* higher-quality breakout environments

Important:
This is a filter, not a standalone trading system.

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[2] CORE IDEA

The indicator is based on the spread:

S = CL2 - CL1

Interpretation:

* Backwardation (CL1 > CL2) → bullish pressure
* Contango (CL1 < CL2) → bearish pressure

However, the level alone is not enough.

The indicator focuses on:

* normalized spread (z-score)
* change in spread (most important)

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[3] HOW THE FACTOR IS BUILT

The final factor combines:

* Spread (normalized)
* Change in spread (normalized)

Formula:

F = w1 * Z_spread + w2 * Z_delta

Default:

* w1 = 0.3
* w2 = 0.7

The change component drives most of the signal.

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[4] ADDITIONAL FILTERS

The indicator includes several filters to improve accuracy.

Volatility scaling

* increases signal importance during active periods
* reduces noise in quiet markets

CL1 dominance filter

* requires front-month to lead the move
* removes weak or artificial spread changes

Persistence filter

* requires signal to hold for multiple bars
* avoids one-bar spikes

Momentum filter

* aligns trades with short-term direction

Session filter

* focuses on high liquidity hours (US session)

Adaptive thresholds

* adjusts sensitivity automatically based on market conditions

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[5] SETTINGS EXPLANATION

Z-score lookback
Default: 300

* lower = faster but noisier
* higher = smoother but slower

EMA smoothing
Default: 10

* controls signal stability

Weights (w1, w2)

* increase w2 → more reactive intraday signal
* increase w1 → more structural bias

Filters
Each filter can be turned ON/OFF for testing.

Recommended:
keep all filters ON.

Thresholds
Default:

* Long: +1
* Short: -1

Used only if adaptive thresholds are disabled.

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[6] HOW TO READ THE INDICATOR

Factor values

* F > +1 → bullish bias
* F < -1 → bearish bias
* |F| < 0.5 → neutral (no edge)

Background color

* Green → long bias
* Red → short bias

Signals

Triangles mark the start of a new bias.
They are not entry signals.

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[7] HOW TO USE IT

Main rule

Use the indicator to decide:
"Should I trust this move?"

Do not trade signals blindly.

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Long setup

* Factor positive
* Price above VWAP
* Breakout or higher high

Enter on strength.

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Short setup

* Factor negative
* Price below VWAP
* Breakdown or failed bounce

Enter on weakness.

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Avoid

* trading in neutral zone
* counter-trend trades
* low liquidity periods

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[8] USE CASES

Intraday trend trading

* primary use
* improves breakout quality

Scalping

* works with tighter settings
* requires confirmation

Mean reversion

* when factor is near zero
* market is balanced

News events

* useful after the move
* unreliable during releases

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[9] OPTIMIZATION

If too many signals:

* increase smoothing
* increase thresholds

If too few signals:

* decrease thresholds
* reduce lookback

If signals are late:

* reduce smoothing

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[10] LIMITATIONS

* not predictive alone
* depends on futures data quality
* weaker outside US session
* can fail during major news

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[11] FINAL NOTES

This indicator reflects underlying futures positioning.

It will:

* reduce bad trades
* improve alignment with market pressure

It will NOT:

* generate signals by itself
* guarantee profitability

Focus on:
better trade selection, not more trades

면책사항

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