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GDR Arbitrage Analysis (CBKDL/COMI)
Evaluating the arbitrage or price discrepancy between local shares and Global Depositary Receipts (GDRs) is a standard practice to gauge market sentiment and currency expectations.
the equation CBKDL * USDEGP - COMI
CBKDL (GDR Price): London Stock Exchange in USD
USDEGP: (Bank rate/Market rate)
GX:COMI: Local EGX price
GDR Ratio 1:1 (1 GDR = 1 Ordinary Share)
If the result is Positive (+): The GDR is trading at a premium.
This often suggests that international investors expect the EGP to devalue further or that there is high demand for the stock that cannot be met locally.
If the result is Negative (-): The local stock is trading at a premium (GDR is at a discount).
This suggests that local buying pressure is currently stronger than international appetite, or that the local market has already "priced in" a higher value than what the global market is currently reflecting.
Market Insight
Historically, a negative spread in this equation (where COMI > CBKDL converted) can happen during periods of local market rallies or when liquidity in London is thin. If you see this negative spread widening significantly, it may suggest that the local price is overextended in the short term, or that the "implied" exchange rate in the stock market is slightly higher than the official rate you are using in your formula.
Sector Context: As the heavy-lifter of the EGX30, COMI’s movement often dictates the direction of the entire index. Tracking this spread is vital for understanding foreign institutional flows, as these investors often arbitrage between the two listings.
🟢 Green Bars: GDR Premium — International investors are paying more via London GDR than the local EGX price implies. Signals foreign institutional bullishness or hedging against EGP devaluation.
🔴 Red Bars: Local Premium — Local EGX price exceeds the GDR-implied fair value. Signals stronger local buying pressure or international outflows from the GDR.
The indicator is flexible: if you want to analyze other Egyptian GDRs (like ETEL, EFID, or others), just change the symbol inputs in the indicator settings without editing code.
the equation CBKDL * USDEGP - COMI
CBKDL (GDR Price): London Stock Exchange in USD
USDEGP: (Bank rate/Market rate)
GX:COMI: Local EGX price
GDR Ratio 1:1 (1 GDR = 1 Ordinary Share)
If the result is Positive (+): The GDR is trading at a premium.
This often suggests that international investors expect the EGP to devalue further or that there is high demand for the stock that cannot be met locally.
If the result is Negative (-): The local stock is trading at a premium (GDR is at a discount).
This suggests that local buying pressure is currently stronger than international appetite, or that the local market has already "priced in" a higher value than what the global market is currently reflecting.
Market Insight
Historically, a negative spread in this equation (where COMI > CBKDL converted) can happen during periods of local market rallies or when liquidity in London is thin. If you see this negative spread widening significantly, it may suggest that the local price is overextended in the short term, or that the "implied" exchange rate in the stock market is slightly higher than the official rate you are using in your formula.
Sector Context: As the heavy-lifter of the EGX30, COMI’s movement often dictates the direction of the entire index. Tracking this spread is vital for understanding foreign institutional flows, as these investors often arbitrage between the two listings.
🟢 Green Bars: GDR Premium — International investors are paying more via London GDR than the local EGX price implies. Signals foreign institutional bullishness or hedging against EGP devaluation.
🔴 Red Bars: Local Premium — Local EGX price exceeds the GDR-implied fair value. Signals stronger local buying pressure or international outflows from the GDR.
The indicator is flexible: if you want to analyze other Egyptian GDRs (like ETEL, EFID, or others), just change the symbol inputs in the indicator settings without editing code.
오픈 소스 스크립트
트레이딩뷰의 진정한 정신에 따라, 이 스크립트의 작성자는 이를 오픈소스로 공개하여 트레이더들이 기능을 검토하고 검증할 수 있도록 했습니다. 작성자에게 찬사를 보냅니다! 이 코드는 무료로 사용할 수 있지만, 코드를 재게시하는 경우 하우스 룰이 적용된다는 점을 기억하세요.
면책사항
해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.
오픈 소스 스크립트
트레이딩뷰의 진정한 정신에 따라, 이 스크립트의 작성자는 이를 오픈소스로 공개하여 트레이더들이 기능을 검토하고 검증할 수 있도록 했습니다. 작성자에게 찬사를 보냅니다! 이 코드는 무료로 사용할 수 있지만, 코드를 재게시하는 경우 하우스 룰이 적용된다는 점을 기억하세요.
면책사항
해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.