AUDCAD Metals Divergence Play : Bullish Thesis for Q1

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TA: I am basing the idea based off the consolidation + rejection of the Q4 2025 levels as identified from the blue lines on the chart.

Gold surged 2.7% on Monday following the US military operation in Venezuela is a stong driver considering its just 1- 2 first working days of the year / Q1 laying a stung foundation to the Trade idea.

The green line projection you see on the chart is only of my Leading Indicators which works on cosine principles.

Trade Setup: If you are not already ITM
Entry Strategy:
Buy AUDCAD on dips toward 0.9150-0.9180 zone
Aggressive entries on any pullback to 0.9100

Targets:
TP1: 0.9350 (conservative)
TP2: 0.9500 (medium-term)
TP3: 0.9650+ (extended run if gold hits $5,000)

Stop Loss: i am on crazy 1:8 currently
Below 0.9050 (protecting against risk-off scenarios)

Risk Management:
Consider scaling in across multiple entries : layering

Catalysts : F Drivers
Jan 28: Australia Q4 CPI report (potential RBA hike)
Feb 3: RBA meeting (possible rate hike)
Gold continuing toward $5,000/oz targets
Chinese stimulus announcements

Bearish Risks:
Oil price spike (geopol escal)
Weaker-than-expected Australian inflation
Collapse in iron ore prices
Risk-off event favoring USD

Penafian

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