Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been displaying an incredibly stable and highly symmetrical sequence of Phases even since the November 2022 bottom of the previous Bear Cycle.
As you can see, every Low since that bottom took place within 28 - 35 weeks, with 31 - 32 the most occurrences. The bottom of the current phase seems to have been priced on the week of June 01 and the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) is holding so far despite breaking on that candle wick.
A repeat of the 28 week Phase duration however (which has been the minimum on this model), would price the next Low on the week of December 14 2026, something that would prolong the 1-year Bear Cycle Theory model by around 2 months. Since that would be the Cycle bottom though, it won't be of the utmost importance.
What would see more interesting at this point however, is that the current June (2026) consolidation resembles the June 2022. If we apply the candle action up until the November 07 2022 Cycle bottom, on today's sequence we may have a fair map of the 2026 bottom. Based on that, it may technically be marginally below the 1W MA350 (red trend-line) around $45000.
Do you think that would be the case? Are we ahead of a late 2022 bottom sequence? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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As you can see, every Low since that bottom took place within 28 - 35 weeks, with 31 - 32 the most occurrences. The bottom of the current phase seems to have been priced on the week of June 01 and the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) is holding so far despite breaking on that candle wick.
A repeat of the 28 week Phase duration however (which has been the minimum on this model), would price the next Low on the week of December 14 2026, something that would prolong the 1-year Bear Cycle Theory model by around 2 months. Since that would be the Cycle bottom though, it won't be of the utmost importance.
What would see more interesting at this point however, is that the current June (2026) consolidation resembles the June 2022. If we apply the candle action up until the November 07 2022 Cycle bottom, on today's sequence we may have a fair map of the 2026 bottom. Based on that, it may technically be marginally below the 1W MA350 (red trend-line) around $45000.
Do you think that would be the case? Are we ahead of a late 2022 bottom sequence? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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I trade Crypto, Forex, Indices & Commodities on PrimeXBT — all from one account with TradingView charts 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/PrimeXBT
I also use TradeNation for fixed spreads & zero commission 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/Tradenation
I also use TradeNation for fixed spreads & zero commission 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/Tradenation
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak bertujuan, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat atau cadangan kewangan, pelaburan, dagangan atau jenis lain yang diberikan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca lebih dalam Terma Penggunaan.