Caterpillar: Countertrend Action

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Caterpillar’s green wave [X] has further room to run. However, this rise represents only an internal countertrend – the broader correction in beige wave IV is still ongoing. Under our primary scenario, we expect the price to form another low before launching into a sustained advance, which should ultimately push above resistance at $409.40. Meanwhile, our alternative scenario—carrying a 38% probability—suggests that beige wave alt.IV has already bottomed. If that’s the case, the correction is complete, and a direct breakout above $409.40 could follow.

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