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USNAS100 | Tariff Headlines & Fed Risk Keep Bulls in Control

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USNAS100 | Policy Noise & Fed Risk Keep Bulls Active

U.S. markets remain reactive to political headlines after President Donald Trump announced a surprise tariff increase on South Korea to 25% from 15%, citing non-compliance with a trade deal agreed last July. The move impacts key sectors including autos, lumber, and pharmaceuticals.
Despite the headline risk, South Korean equities jumped nearly 2% to record highs, highlighting resilient risk appetite.

The global economic calendar remains relatively light until Wednesday’s Federal Reserve policy decision, where no rate change is expected. However, the meeting may be overshadowed by a DOJ investigation involving Chair Jerome Powell, potentially adding volatility during the press conference. Any signals regarding Powell’s future at the Fed could trigger sharp market reactions.

Technical Outlook
The price has stabilized above the 25860 pivot, keeping the bullish structure intact.

As long as price holds above 25860, upside momentum is expected toward 25985.
A confirmed 1H close above 25985 would strengthen bullish continuation toward the ATH at 26170, with extended upside risk toward 26500.

On the downside, a move below 25860 would shift momentum bearish, opening a corrective move toward 25600, followed by 25450 and 25250.

⚠️ Ongoing geopolitical tensions remain a direct volatility risk for the index.

Key Levels
• Pivot: 25860
• Support: 25600 – 25450 – 25250
• Resistance: 25985 – 26170 – 26500
Dagangan aktif
USNAS100 | Bullish Continuation After Strong 350-Point Rally

The Nasdaq 100 surged nearly 350 points, moving exactly as outlined in the previous analysis. Momentum remains supported as markets position ahead of major technology earnings, keeping growth stocks in focus.

Attention now turns to the Federal Reserve rate decision, due later today. While no policy change is expected, any shift in tone from the Fed could trigger short-term volatility, especially in rate-sensitive tech names.

Technical Outlook
The index maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 26170 pivot.

As long as price holds above 26170, upside momentum is expected to continue toward 26500, followed by 26710.

If price reverses and a 1H candle stabilizes below 26110, this would signal a corrective move toward 25835, with further support at 25600.

Key Levels
• Pivot: 26170
• Support: 25835 – 25600
• Resistance: 26500 – 26710

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Dagangan ditutup: sasaran tercapai
USNAS100 | Earnings Momentum Holds as Fed Stays Patient

Attention returned to big tech earnings, with Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla reporting after the bell and Apple still ahead. Strong revenue growth helped justify stretched valuations that had worried traders earlier in the week.

Microsoft and Meta both delivered record quarterly revenue despite heavy AI spending. Meta jumped after hours, Microsoft slipped modestly, while Tesla rose even after reporting its first annual revenue decline. This reflects classic earnings-season behavior: markets reward results that reinforce long-term growth narratives, even if near-term margins face pressure.

Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve held rates steady, as expected. Chair Jay Powell signaled patience on future rate cuts, which capped some upside but failed to derail risk appetite in a market clearly focused on earnings momentum.

Technical Outlook
The index is currently in a corrective bearish phase while trading below 26190.

As long as price remains below 26190, downside pressure is expected toward 25985 and 25835.
A break below 25835 would open a deeper move toward 25610.

A confirmed 1H close above 26190 would invalidate the correction and support a bullish continuation toward 26500, followed by 26710.

Key Levels
• Pivot: 26190
• Support: 25985 – 25835 – 25610
• Resistance: 26500 – 26710

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