WTI Crude (USOIL): Long breakout to $110–$120Entry Trigger: Confirmed Daily Close above the multi-month descending trendline ($88.00–$88.50)
Targets: TP1: $102.00 | TP2: $112.00 | TP3: $120.00
Invalidation / Stop Loss: Daily close below the higher-low swing shelf at $80.50
1. Market Structure & Futures Curve (CL1! - CL2!)
The front-to-second month prompt calendar spread ( NYMEX:CL1! - NYMEX:CL2! ) is holding firmly in backwardation at +$2.11/bbl.
Backwardation confirms that commercial buyers and refineries are actively paying a pr
Cup And Handle
WTI Crude Oil (1D): $106 Breakout & Textbook ABC ImpulseTitle: WTI Crude Oil (1D): $106 Breakout & Textbook ABC Impulse Toward $120+ 🛢️🚀
🧠 Fundamental Overview (Geopolitical Spike & Macro Supply Shock):
WTI Crude Oil (SPOT) has exploded higher, pushing past the critical $105–$106/bbl threshold to trade at its highest levels since early May. The rally is heavily backed by severe supply disruptions and escalating geopolitical tensions:
Geopolitical Escalation & Supply Risk: Following renewed drone strikes in the Middle East that shut down crit
BUY OIL USDOILUSD is trading within a long-term ascending channel on the weekly timeframe.
Price is currently around $106, price already bounced and rejected a major support demand zone around $65. A restest is expected to the lower timeframe at level $65-70 before the bigger bullish movement to the upper timeframe of the channel at level $190-200, after a confrimation of break of the resistance supply zone the high of year 2022 at $130.
EPAM: 50 SMA Big Cup at Resistance with Volume💡 Swing setup idea
50 SMA Strategy
🔎 Analysis summary:
The stock came from the 50-day moving average and is reaching resistance. We can also see a closing big cup pattern with buyers' volume stepping in, confirming interest beneath the breakout zone. This alignment of trend, pattern and level makes the breakout area key to watch. The upside potential is projected by the depth of the cup from the breakout point.
👀 Levels to watch:
Entry trigger: Break above $121.85
Target: $170.70
Stop: U
MGY: 50 SMA Cup-and-Handle at Resistance💡 Swing setup idea
50 SMA Strategy
🔎 Analysis summary:
The stock is coming from the 50-day moving average, reaching resistance while closing a cup-and-handle pattern. I'm aware of the situation with gas, but we're looking only at technicals here. This alignment of trend, pattern and level makes the breakout area key to watch. The upside potential is projected by the depth of the cup from the breakout point.
👀 Levels to watch:
Entry trigger: Break above $28.35
Target: $33.33
Stop: Under t
Distribution or a violent breakout?Look at the daily USOIL chart right now—we have been riding a beautiful, steady uptrend, but we just hit a massive brick wall. The price has officially tapped into the daily bearish Order Block at the top.
The candles are already hanging out inside this institutional supply zone, and this is where traders usually make or break their accounts. Here is why you need to be extremely careful tomorrow and over the next few days:
The SMC Logic for Tomorrow: A daily Order Block after a long uptrend
WTI OIL Is $150 even possible?Yes and the reason is on this chart. WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a macro Channel Up since the February 2016 Low and only broke during the March 2020 COVID melt-down, a Black Swan event that saw barrels going to negative prices.
The two Bullish Legs of this pattern had similar % rises (+189.22% and +173.72%). Perhaps the most common characteristic is that every test of the 1 - 0.786 Fibonacci range has been a sell opportunity (Sell Zone) and similarly every 0.236 - 0 Fib range test h
USOIL: Bulls Still in Control — Buy the Dip or Breakout?Crude oil maintains a structurally bullish trend, with prices holding steady above the psychological level of $100. Recent price movements have been primarily driven by renewed concerns about Middle Eastern supply, including reports of disruptions to Saudi Arabia’s East-West Pipeline. Although the upward momentum remains strong, there are signs of overextending.
Key Levels
Resistance: 103.50–104.20 → 106.00–107.00
Support: 101.20–100.80 → 99.50–98.50
Major Support: 97.50
Trading Strategy: Buy
Oil Fuels Rate Hike Bets — Dollar Stays Firm
Oil prices held steady above $100, ignoring comments from Trump; expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike intensified, raising the likelihood of disappointment at tomorrow's meeting; risk appetite waned, and the dollar's rally continued; gold prices remained under pressure.
Oil prices remain elevated, hovering in triple-digit territory, with the December WTI crude futures contract trading at $93. The recent surge in prices prompted a response overnight from U.S. President Trump. His remar
ARLP | Continued stock growth- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 26.72
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 25.96 (-2.80 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
VST | The time to go long has come- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 144.03
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 134.50 (-6.60 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
WTI Crude Oil: news flow leaning bullish — the net read
WTI Crude Oil did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded:
++ Euro declines against Canadian Dollar despite ECB rate hike hopes
++ Oil: Supply risks and structural tightness – Rabobank
++ European stocks fall at the open as oil surge and higher bond yields hit sentiment
66 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed.
Net read: +
XAG/USD | SSL Sweep and then bounce back upBy examining the 4H chart of Silver we can see that following Friday's CPI news, it dropped massively, swept away the sellside liquidity below 63.31 level, went up to 65.28 inside the 4H FVG, dropped yet again and is currently being traded at around 63.80, below the 4H Fair Value Gap.
I expect Silver to drop below the 62.84 level and sweep the minor sellside liquidity pool there and then drop further below the 62.57 level and sweep the sellside liquidity there as well and then drop to the Bulli
WTI CRUDE OIL: Overbought. Potential relief pullback ahead.WTI Crude Oil is bordeline overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 71.090, MACD = 4.890, ADX = 47.369) and last time we saw that was at the previous HH top of the 2.5 month Channel Up. This time the technical pullback may be limited as the 1D MA50 has reversed and is ready to support a longer bullish trend. Gap on R1 was filled. Target R2 next (TP = 111.00).
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OIL: A Peace Headline Trimmed the Premium — Not the Risk
WTI pulled back after Donald Trump again said the war with Iran could end “very soon.”
The market heard one word: de-escalation.
After a sharp geopolitical rally, that was enough to trigger profit-taking. But hopes of peace are not the same as a signed agreement, restored shipping routes, or normalized supply flows.
🌊 What stirred the pond?
Oil had been priced for disruption. A headline suggesting that the conflict may end sooner than expected gave traders a reason to reduce exposure.
Trum
BTCUSD – Bearish Rejection Toward 77,911
BTCUSD is showing a bearish structure on the 1H chart. Price has been rejected from the descending trendline and is trading below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating continued selling pressure. The recent rebound failed near the resistance zone, followed by another bearish rejection.
As long as price remains below the descending trendline and resistance around **79,200–79,600**, sellers may continue pushing the market lower.
🎯 **Target 1: 77,911**
📌 **Resistance: 79,200–79,600**
📉 **Bias: Bearish
CRUDE OIL Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is showing rejection from the horizontal supply area after an extended markup, indicating buyer exhaustion and distribution toward the marked downside target.Time Frame 12H.
Sell!
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Trump tries to jawbone oil lowerMoments ago, the US President tried to jawbone the oil market lower by suggesting in a social post that Iran "wants to make a deal, quickly and badly. I will determine whether or not the U.S.A. will choose to engage - The concept of which we are open to."
However, I am not sure if there is any truth in that. Iran has repeatedly denied such reports and I wouldn't be surprised if we hear another denial this time around too.
Crude prices were sharply higher earlier, resuming their rally after Sa
WTI Crude Oil — The Range Is Running Out of Room🛢️WTI has been in a strong recovery after finding a major low, gradually building a sequence of higher highs and higher lows as buyers regained control.
Price has now pushed back toward the upper part of the structure and is consolidating just below a major resistance area. The marked zones have reacted beautifully throughout the move, making the next breakout especially important.
🏆 Previously:
📈 Bullish scenario
The bullish structure remains clearly intact, with buyers continuing to
Plan for 15th September 2026 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
WTI Crude Oil: news flow leaning bullish — the net read
WTI Crude Oil did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded:
+++ Indonesian Rupiah slips due to stronger US Dollar, soaring oil prices
+++ Equities: Resilience versus rates and Oil shock – Danske Bank
+++ Iran says it destroys U.S. advanced drone over Hormuz as Middle East conflict intensifies
78 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight ar
Expectations vs Reality: Oil and the DollarThe disconnect between Wall Street expectations and how policies actually played out created the macro whiplash seen across both charts:
]The Trade: What Markets Priced In Late 2024
The Drill Baby Drill Assumption: Consensus expected a supply flood from deregulation and quick federal leasing, crushing crude prices into the dirt around 50 to 60 dollars sustained.
The Unstoppable King Dollar: Traders bet broad tariffs and deregulation would spark a roaring domestic boom, forcing the Fed to fre























