Fractal

XAU/USD 02 October 2026 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026. Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or

LINK – Bullish Trend, Key Intersection Ahead LINK has been overall bullish, trading within the rising channel marked in blue. Price is currently correcting and approaching a strong intersection of: 🔵 Lower bound of the rising channel 🟢 Key demand zone As long as this intersection holds, the bullish structure remains intact, and we will be looking for trend-following long setups on lower timeframes. A clear break below this intersection would weaken the bullish scenario and force us to reassess. 📌 The trend is bullish. Now we wait for t

by TheSignalyst

H1 Major Demand Recovery Toward Reclaim XAUUSD is trading around 4,141 after a sharp rejection from the 4,215–4,225 upper supply area. Price has returned to the lower boundary of the current rising H1 structure, where the 4,118–4,128 Major Demand / Channel Support Zone becomes the key decision area. The latest U.S. labor data weakened significantly. September nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, versus roughly 90,000 expected, while unemployment held at 4.2%. That reduced expectations for another Fed hike at the October meeting

7 Years Later, I Don’t Predict Ethereum — I Read Its Structure In previous ETH updates, we kept following one simple question: Is the larger corrective structure still developing, or is the market already beginning a new impulsive move one degree higher? What we can see today on the Daily chart is interesting because part of the structure we discussed in previous analyses has now become clearer through price development. The move from the area around 1,500 can still be examined as a developing impulsive structure, with 1–2 and 3–4–5 sequences appearing

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

NQ: Weekly Recap and the Map for the Week of Oct 5 Week of Sep 28 to Oct 2 on the 1h, then the map for next week. THE WEEK Monday's low held all week. Every high and low after it printed at a level that was already on the chart. Monday: sold from the weekend gap. The low at 30,356.75 swept the Sep 24 low into a stacked 4h and 1h FVG. ES and YM did not take their own lows. SMT. Tuesday: retested the same 4h FVG and held 15.50 above Monday's low while ES and YM broke theirs. Capped under the 4h bearish FVG. Inside day. Wednesday: higher low at

by AlphaTraderRyan

BTC update 02.10.26 - 24h Market Forecast (Wavelet Decomp.)# Bitcoin - 24H Forecast & Reconstructed Price Analysis | October 2 The reconstructed/denoised Bitcoin price has been tracking the subsequent real price movements reasonably well. Until around September 28, the reconstructed price was significantly below the actual market price. This suggested that Bitcoin was potentially overextended relative to the underlying reconstructed price and could move lower. That scenario was confirmed on September 28, when the price dropped significantly. After t

by MarketSpectr

ETH update 02.10.26 - 24h Market Forecast (Wavelet Decomp.)# Ethereum — 24H Forecast & Reconstructed Price Analysis | October 2 Ethereum is showing a pattern broadly similar to Bitcoin. The reconstructed/denoised price has tracked the subsequent real price movements reasonably well. The relationship between the reconstructed and actual prices around the September 28 decline was particularly notable. Before the decline, the reconstructed price was significantly below the actual market price, indicating that the market price was potentially elevated re

by MarketSpectr

ASTER: Volume Picks Up, Watching for a Break Above $0.78 BINANCE:ASTERUSDT stays on my watchlist for now. Daily trading volume has picked up compared with the summer consolidation, but price remains inside the triangle. Higher volume alone does not confirm the breakout direction. I would consider a long only after a confirmed break above $0.78–$0.782 : a daily close above the zone, ideally followed by a successful retest. My take-profit area is around $0.90, ahead of the broader resistance zone near $0.91–$0.98. That offers roughly 15% upside fr

Trading Plan and Analysis - #XAUUSD 02/10/2026 M30 Timeframe Gold has had a highly eventful week with a significant shift in the macro backdrop. Following Wednesday's softer-than-expected PCE inflation print, market odds of a Fed rate hike in October dropped sharply from around 70% to below 40%, a major reversal in expectations within just a few days. Adding to that, the New York Fed President also commented that the Fed doesn't need to rush into another hike following this month's increase. These factors helped gold recover well from the 4

by fntradinglab

H1 Major Demand Recovery Setup XAUUSD is trading around 4,144 after the latest recovery failed beneath the descending dynamic resistance and produced a fresh MSS lower. Price is now moving back toward the 4,105–4,120 Major Demand / SSL Zone, which becomes the key H1 decision area. The macro picture is becoming more balanced for gold. August U.S. PCE inflation rose 0.3% MoM, below the 0.4% consensus, while annual core PCE was 3.0%. That softer print reduced the market-implied probability of an October Fed hike to roughly 39%,

BTC HTF IDEA This is the zone where Institutions would like to DCA. So we could see atleast see 2 months of chop here. - First we take out buyside liquidity and trap longs. - Then flush the longs out while institutions build their orders through downtrend and take out Sellside liquidity. - Fill the Monthly FVG and then start the journey to new ATH by 2027. 1) Monthly MSS 2) Multiple weekly close above 50sma on weekly These two hint that the bear market is over.

AUDJPY idea We are waiting for our asset to reach our action zone, and based on the reaction, we’ll decide on our next moves.ALWAYS WAIT FOR A CONFIRMATION TO SEE IF THE PRICE VALIDATES THE ZONE.and you what is your vision of the AUDJPY its interests me! i wait you in the commentar

AUDCAD idea We are waiting for our asset to reach our action zone, and based on the reaction, we’ll decide on our next moves.ALWAYS WAIT FOR A CONFIRMATION TO SEE IF THE PRICE VALIDATES THE ZONE.and you what is your vision of the AUDCAD its interests me! i wait you in the commentar

XAUUSD 4H — Market Structure & Liquidity Analysis The chart shows a bearish 4H structure, with multiple downside BOS levels and price currently reacting from the marked 4,080–4,150 Order Block / demand area. Key observations 📉 Structure: Successive bearish breaks of structure indicate continued downside pressure. 🟨 Current area: Price has entered the 4,080–4,150 Order Block, where a reaction is possible. 💧 Liquidity: BSL is marked above the recent highs, while the current decline has taken price toward the lower liquidity area. 🔴 4,440–4,490:

by GOLD_MARKET_

H2 Major Demand Recovery Setup XAUUSD is trading around 4,284 after extending the bearish move below the rising intraday trendline. Price has already broken the 4,290 area and is moving closer to the deeper 4,235–4,250 Major Demand / Support Zone. The macro backdrop remains a headwind for gold. Spot gold was around $4,282 early September 24 as markets increased expectations for additional Fed tightening. U.S. business activity reached its strongest level in more than five years, while persistent price pressure reinforced c

XAU/USD 01 October 2026 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026. Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or

XAUUSD — H1 Bearish Structure Gold has shifted its short-term market structure after the previous bullish expansion. Price formed multiple BOS during the upside move, but after reaching the higher area, the bullish sequence lost momentum and a Market Structure Shift (MSS) appeared. Price is now retracing toward the H1 Order Block / supply zone around 4,168–4,176, which is the key area of interest on this chart. A bearish reaction from this zone would keep the downside structure technically valid, while sustained acceptance

by Smart_Money_Edge

WTI Crude Oil | Testing a Nested Wave III Structure ⏱️ Reading Time: About 2 Minutes For this update, I am focusing only on the bullish scenario and allowing price action to show us whether this structure can continue to develop. One possibility I am currently tracking is a sequence of three nested 1–2 structures across different degrees. If this interpretation is correct, the market may be building the early stages of a larger Wave III, with each lower-degree structure preparing the next impulsive advance. The recent decline is important, but

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Bitcoin 4H | Bullish Structure & The Golden Possibility ⏱️ Reading Time: ~3 minutes Hey everyone, In this update, I’m focusing only on the bullish scenario for Bitcoin, looking at it from two different structural perspectives. At first glance, the larger-degree structure suggests that a motive pattern is developing or approaching completion. If this interpretation is correct, then after the current advance, I would expect the market to develop at least a three-wave corrective structure. That’s why I’ve mapped the potential correction in blue. I s

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Btc update #BTC In last 3 days, i was waiting for liquidity sweep of 85200 or 82500. Finally 85200 liquidity swept and now 82500 liquidity is pending.

by shaiq_srtraders

GME's W Pattern Its an overlay. The big macro pattern is from before 2019 to 2008 (first peak). This Pattern is also similar to the 2024 and now. All come down to about now. As always I have no idea but this is provocative and keeps you all going! Best Regards and NFA HAVE FUN AND ALWAYS: OPEN TO DISCUSS :)

Bitcoin 4H | Two Paths, One Structure ⏱️ Reading Time: ~3 minutes Hey everyone, In this 4H Bitcoin update, I’m looking at two main scenarios. Both are based on the rules and guidelines of the Elliott Wave Principle, but each one suggests a different structural path for the market. 🔴 Scenario 1 | Bearish Case In the bearish scenario, the assumption is that the recent bullish structure has been completed and the market is now developing a higher-degree corrective pattern. The current structure could develop into an Expanded Flat,

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

XAU/USD 30 September 2026 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026. Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or

Silver | Behind the Structure of Wave IV ⏱️ Reading Time: ~3 minutes On the 4-hour timeframe, Silver remains at a point where the structure has not yet revealed its final path. The recent decline may still be part of a more complex correction, and in the bearish scenario, it could continue developing as a Double Zigzag. 🔵 Bullish Scenario If Silver avoids a deeper decline from the current area and instead develops a valid motive structure, the picture changes. In that case, we could see at least three bullish waves at a larger degre

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP