Seasonality

XAUUSD — H1 Pullback Toward Demand Market Pulse Gold is trading around 4,171 after losing momentum near the 4,200–4,210 area. The short-term tone has turned softer as price moves back toward the marked support zone. The macro backdrop remains mixed. The U.S. dollar is still firm near an 18-month high, while investors are waiting for this week’s U.S. inflation data. September CPI is due Wednesday, followed by PPI and Retail Sales on Thursday. Markets currently see only around an 18–19% chance of an October Fed hike, while stron

by Audrey_Quinn

XAUUSD — Bullish Mitigation Before External Buy-Side Liquidity Market Context Gold is holding a constructive recovery after rebounding from the recent two-month low. Monday’s price action is supported by a softer U.S. dollar and easing oil prices, while markets prepare for a major inflation test later this week. September U.S. CPI is scheduled for Wednesday, followed by PPI and Retail Sales on Thursday. The macro backdrop remains two-sided. Markets currently see only around a 17% probability of an October Fed hike, while December tightening expectations

by Gold_Prime_Smc

Bull Trap at 4,170: Accumulate Before 4,215 Run!Macro Backdrop: Pullback in Dollar & Yields Allows Bullion Buyers to Regain Control Gold (XAUUSD) trades near 4,179.070 (-0.02% floating) during the Tuesday morning session on October 13, 2026, following a decisive technical breakout above its primary descending trendline. The macroeconomic landscape is seeing a temporary cooling off in the US Dollar Index (DXY) and 10-year benchmark Treasury yields after a prolonged stretch at multi-week highs. Concurrently, ongoing official bullion accumulati

by BMR_MasteTrade

Gold H1: 4,217 Breakout or ABC Correction?Gold is testing the descending trendline again—but are buyers strong enough to break it? XAUUSD has recovered sharply from 4,066.774 and is now challenging H1 trendline resistance. Price recently reached 4,217.186, but a sustained breakout has yet to be confirmed. The key question is whether Gold can establish acceptance above resistance or whether the market needs another corrective leg before its next directional move. Macro Driver The US dollar remains near an 18-month high amid geopoliti

by CaptionGold_Trader

The Elephant Jungle 10/13/26 Page 2 The Bulls are currently trying to fight their way through the 4H Order Block, but the question is, do they have enough strength to punch through this zone? This is the obstacle standing between them and the 3D Inside Bar Order Block, and you can bet the Bears are not going to roll out the red carpet and let them walk right through! If the Bulls manage to break through, they could be one step closer to challenging the 3D Inside Bar Order Block. But if they get rejected here, these Bulls better ho

by RedElephant420

The Elephant Jungle 10/13/26 The Bulls are starting the day strong, and they look ready to rumble as they charge toward the 3D Inside Bar Order Block. But the big question is, can these Bulls punch through resistance and flip the 3D Inside Bar Order Block into support, or are the Bears about to send them packing? If the Bears take control, these Bulls could find themselves tumbling straight back down to the Golden Pocket, where they will have to fight for their lives to bounce back and stay in the game. Folks, grab your pop

by RedElephant420

Gold Latest Analysis: 4165 or 4274 Next?Gold is down again after facing rejection near the 4217-4227 resistance zone. Its showing a short-term pullback toward the 4184-4186 support area with additional support around 4174-4165. If buyers defend this zone and gold breaks above 4217-4227 the next upside targets are 4250 and 4274. However a breakdown below 4165 could expose 4132 and 4120. Price action around the current support zone will be important in determining the next move. Trade Plan - Sell Setup Sell Zone: 4217-4227 Sell Trigg

XAUUSD: Buyers Are Back. Can Gold Break 4227?Yesterday, gold was struggling to hold its ground near 4187. Today, the picture looks different. The market has climbed back toward 4200 after an aggressive recovery from the 4150–4170 demand zone. What makes this move interesting is not simply the number of bullish candles. It is where the recovery started and how price reacted after reaching that area. Sellers had an opportunity to push gold below 4150. They failed. Buyers stepped in, absorbed the selling pressure, and drove price back abov

by Ryan_TitanTrader

NATURAL GAS (XNGUSD) | 1H CHART Descending Trendline Breakout — Retest in Focus Natural Gas is showing a potential bullish trend reversal after breaking above a descending trendline. Price has rallied towards $3.42 and is now consolidating around $3.40, with the former trendline acting as a potential support zone. The key area to watch is $3.365–$3.400, where price is testing the breakout region. Holding above this zone could strengthen the bullish structure, while a decisive move above $3.42 would provide further confirmati

by tradeswithnitin

M30 Bull Trap: 4,215 Supply Dumps to 4,160 Base!Macro Backdrop: Elevated Dollar & Yields Cap Upside Expansion at Premium Levels Gold (XAUUSD) trades near 4,205.460 (+0.04% floating) during the Monday morning opening session on October 12, 2026, consolidating directly below the newly established Higher High (HH) peak at 4,218. While macro drivers such as sustained central bank gold accumulation and persistent US sovereign debt debasement concerns continue to anchor long-term valuations, short-term upside follow-through remains heavily constra

by BMR_MasteTrade

Crude Oil Bullish Crude Oil is consolidating near the 8985 resistance zone after a strong bullish move. A healthy retracement towards the 8880 support area could attract fresh buyers. If support holds, the next upside targets could be 9020+ levels. 🎯 Key Levels: • Resistance: 8985 • Support: 8880 • Bullish above support • Potential move towards 9020-9050

by chandranselvaraj0503

XAUUSD — H2 Mitigation Before External Buy-Side Expansion Market Structure XAUUSD has developed a meaningful bullish H2 structural shift after recovering from the H2 Discount Demand. The previous bearish delivery lost control as price produced a CHoCH above 4,180.15 and then broke the descending H2 Dynamic Resistance. Price is now trading around 4,207, directly inside the marked H2 Premium Supply. The broader structure has therefore shifted constructively, but the current location is already premium. This makes a controlled mitigation more relevan

by Melanin_Trader

XAUUSD — H1 Bullish POI Mitigation Before Buy-Side Expansion Market Structure XAUUSD has completed a meaningful H1 recovery after the previous CHoCH shifted price away from the lower dealing range. The bullish expansion has reclaimed the former H1 Supply and pushed price toward 4,194, placing the market close to the marked External Buy-Side Liquidity at 4,207.40. The broader H1 structure remains constructive above the rising H1 Dynamic Support, but price is now trading in premium after an extended displacement. That makes a controlled mitigation more

by Melanin_Trader

COPX - A Copper Supply Squeeze Could Fuel the Next Rally I’m bullish on COPX as near-term supply risks reinforce copper’s long-term demand story! Three catalysts stand out: China’s smelter shutdowns: Planned October–November maintenance could reduce refined copper supply by roughly 80,000 tonnes, according to Reuters. Escondida strike risk: Supervisors’ mediation was scheduled for October 6–13. Failed negotiations could trigger a strike, although the production impact remains uncertain. A longer-term supply gap: The IEA’s 2026 outlook projects a p

Bullish BOS With Pullback Continuation Gold is trading around 4,205 after extending the recovery from last week’s two-month low. Bullion gained about 1.5% on Friday and reached a one-week high as bargain buying returned, while softer dollar conditions helped the rebound. Markets currently see limited probability of another Fed hike in October but continue to price a much higher chance of tightening by December. Reuters The macro backdrop remains mixed. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield ended Friday around 5.26% after reaching roughly

Gold Hints at Quiet Accumulation as Bulls Seek Dips Gold made a mild attempt to reverse its trend and break above its bearish trendline, although falling volumes suggest the move lacks strong bullish conviction for now. However, the sharp rejection of $4,100 ahead of the bounce suggests quiet accumulation may be underway, with bulls potentially seeking dips while prices hold above $4,082. The 4-hour chart shows support around the weekly pivot point and monthly VWAP, potentially paving the way for a minor bounce. However, with the US dollar remai

by StoneX Trading

USD/CHF Rises as SNB Stays Dovish and U.S. Dollar Firms USD/CHF stayed firm on Monday as geopolitical stress and another jump in energy prices drove demand back toward the U.S. Dollar. Brent pushed above $106 after fresh attacks in Saudi Arabia, keeping the inflation story alive ahead of Wednesday’s U.S. CPI report. Markets see only about a 19% chance of another Fed hike this month, but roughly 70% odds of a move by December. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack added to the hawkish backdrop by arguing that policy should become restrictive relatively

XAUUSD · H1 · Tuesday 13 October (Through the night)R3 4244 R2 4220 R1 4205 Pivot 4181 S1 4157 S2 4142 S3 4118 Price is below the pivot at 4170. After Monday's sell-off from R1, sellers ran out of steam at 4155, and price has crept back up through the night. Monday's play from the pivot is still running. The stop is at breakeven, so it cannot cost anything. It stays open while price holds below the pivot zone, with today's S1 at 4157 the next level down. Part of that decision is the overnight swap. On gold, swaps are currently positive on th

by RealMichaelNeo

Bullish bounce off?Gold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support, and could rise toward the 1st resistance. Pivot: 4,166.32 1st Support: 4,099.21 1st Resistance: 4,255.44 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this websit

WTI CRUDE OIL: Massive rally starting right now.WTI Crude Oil turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.785, MACD = -0.182, ADX = 15.724) as it scemented a HL at the bottom of the 3 month Channel Up and is reversing into a technical bullish wave. Even though it can extend as high as +39.37% based on the pattern's first bullish wave, our next target is the R2 level (TP = 111.00), which is the next Gap to be filled following the R1 on the previous bullish wave HH. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more dail

by InvestingScope

XAUUSD · H1 · Evening Review · Mon 12 Oct How the day played R1 back to the pivot Overnight, buyers closed the hour above R1 and spiked price to 4218. The next hour closed straight back below. Price came back up into R1, and sellers held it there. A false break, then a retest that held. That was the first play: R1 as resistance, with the pivot as the next level. Price reached it this morning. R1 to the pivot, $29. The pivot, broken and retested At the pivot, sellers did not stop. The hour closed below it, and the pivot changed sides.

by RealMichaelNeo

GOLD - Bearish trend. Rebound from 4220 IC:XAUUSD maintains its bearish trend and is forming a bounce as part of my latest trading idea. The market remains within the 4,110–4,220 range. A reversal setup could trigger another decline. A strong dollar, rising oil prices, an unstable fundamental backdrop, and anticipation of CPI data are weighing on gold. The market remains in a bearish trend and could extend its decline. Thin liquidity increases the risk of sharp price movements. The key level is $4,200: holding above it would str

: XAGUSD (Silver) Bullish Reversal – Support Bounce Toward $61.9 XAGUSD is currently trading near the $60.23 level and approaching an important support zone around $60.00–$60.10. Price has recently pulled back after a strong bullish recovery, making this support area crucial for the next potential move. If buyers defend this zone and bullish momentum returns, silver could rebound toward the first target at $60.98, followed by the major resistance zone around $61.85–$61.90. A breakout above the intermediate target could strengthen the bullish outlook and op

by Alpha_Trade_Scope

WTI Crude Oil: Bearish Rejection — Drop to $87.38?Hook : As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, CFI:WTI is recovering into a descending trendline and a key supply zone — but the rebound is approaching an area where sellers could regain control. If the 94.93–96.38 resistance zone holds, the next major downside target is 87.38. ⚠️ Market Context : WTI crude oil remains within a broader bearish structure on the 4H chart, with the descending trendline continuing to cap price. After falling from above $100, price established lo

by Master_Hunter