AVAXUSD Daily bullish. Recommended ratio: 95% AVAX, 5% Cash. *A technical relief rally is underway for cryptos and equities as markets seem to have priced in more rate hikes, I know I focus solely on the Federal Reserve in most of my TA but that's because not only do they fund liquidity for many other central banks but they have been instrumental in setting the tone for the rest of the world for the past decade or more. The Fed was the first central bank to aggressively raise rates in response to global inflationary pressures and in doing so may have earned back a bit of the credibility they lost in being largely responsible for this inflation quagmire. Crypto and equity markets seem to think that the Fed has a plan to navigate us to a soft landing, but it is becoming more and more apparent that a hard landing is likely; when that will be priced in to risk-on markets is the question. Whatever the answer to that question is, we are 'technically' getting close to a short term bottom.* Price is currently following that of other altcoins like Kava and Polygon and trending up out of an eleven day consolidation out of the second largest supply/demand zone on the chart. Volume remains Moderate, fairly balanced between buyers and sellers (indicative of consolidation) and has been shrinking for what is on track to be a fourth consecutive session (indicative of an impending breakout/breakdown). Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $13.80, this margin is neutral at the moment. RSI is currently trending up at 39 after bouncing off of the descending trendline from August 2021 (breaking out of a 10 month descending trend), this is very bullish in the short term. Stochastic remains bullish and is currently trending up at 88 as it aims to resist a bearish crossover on its way to retest max top. MACD remains bullish and is currently trending up at -3.66 as it aims to break out above -4.23 resistance after being rejected the first time on 06/10/22. ADX is currently trending down at 40 as Price is pushing higher, this is mildly bullish at the moment. If Price continues up then it will likely retest the largest supply/demand zone on the chart at $25 before potentially retesting the upper trendline of the descending channel from November 2021 at ~$35. However, if Price breaks down here, it will likely retest the lower trendline of the descending channel from November 2021 at ~$10. Mental Stop Loss: (one close below) $15.
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