BTC remains below its 20-week MA, a level it has failed to reclaim since October 2025—keeping higher timeframe momentum bearish.
Since that breakdown, BTC corrected ~51%, bottoming near $59.8K, where prior resistance was successfully back-tested as support. Price has also continued to hold above the 200-week MA (as well as $65.5K support) —a key structural level.
However, nearly 7 months later, bulls have yet to regain control.
Last week’s move to $78K (on ceasefire news) showed strength, but failure to close above $74K confirms resistance is still being respected.
⚖️ Key Levels
A close above $74.1K = First sign of strength
Reclaim $77K (20W MA) =Momentum shift
Lose $65.5K = Bears gain control
Below $60K (200W zone) = Opens deeper downside
📉 RSI (Weekly)
Weekly RSI has recovered from oversold conditions and is now back above 40, but still below 50.
This places BTC in a bearish consolidation range
Momentum hasn’t flipped bullish yet
Bulls need strength + confirmation through key level breaks—not just wicks
BTC is still in a range with bearish higher time frame pressure.
Bulls need acceptance above resistance
Bears want rejection + breakdown below support
Until then: range conditions remain in play.
Since that breakdown, BTC corrected ~51%, bottoming near $59.8K, where prior resistance was successfully back-tested as support. Price has also continued to hold above the 200-week MA (as well as $65.5K support) —a key structural level.
However, nearly 7 months later, bulls have yet to regain control.
Last week’s move to $78K (on ceasefire news) showed strength, but failure to close above $74K confirms resistance is still being respected.
⚖️ Key Levels
A close above $74.1K = First sign of strength
Reclaim $77K (20W MA) =Momentum shift
Lose $65.5K = Bears gain control
Below $60K (200W zone) = Opens deeper downside
📉 RSI (Weekly)
Weekly RSI has recovered from oversold conditions and is now back above 40, but still below 50.
This places BTC in a bearish consolidation range
Momentum hasn’t flipped bullish yet
Bulls need strength + confirmation through key level breaks—not just wicks
BTC is still in a range with bearish higher time frame pressure.Bulls need acceptance above resistance
Bears want rejection + breakdown below support
Until then: range conditions remain in play.
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Informacje i publikacje nie stanowią i nie powinny być traktowane jako porady finansowe, inwestycyjne, tradingowe ani jakiekolwiek inne rekomendacje dostarczane lub zatwierdzone przez TradingView. Więcej informacji znajduje się w Warunkach użytkowania.