On the daily timeframe, BTCUSDT is showing a strong bullish structure, but the current price action suggests the market is entering a late-stage expansion / distribution phase. After a series of impulsive bullish candles, momentum is beginning to slow, and price is consolidating near the highs.
Price is now trading in premium territory, well above the equilibrium (0.5 level), which is a key ICT condition where sell setups become more favorable, especially when higher-timeframe liquidity is nearby.
There is a clear draw toward buy-side liquidity above the recent highs (~73,500–74,000). This creates a high-probability scenario where price may:
Push higher to raid liquidity above equal highs
Complete a premium sweep
Form a reversal signal (distribution / rejection)
Following this, the market is likely to deliver a strong bearish retracement, targeting inefficiencies below.
Key downside levels:
First target: Daily FVG around ~70,000 (near equilibrium)
Secondary target: Deeper FVG near ~68,000, which represents a major imbalance from prior expansion
Key confluences:
Price extended in premium
Equal highs / buy-side liquidity above
Large inefficiencies below (FVGs)
Slowing bullish momentum
Execution idea:
Wait for price to push into the buy-side liquidity and show rejection (daily or 4H confirmation like CHoCH). This would provide a high-probability swing short opportunity, targeting the lower FVG zones.
Invalidation:
If price breaks above highs and sustains acceptance, the bullish trend continues, and downside scenarios are delayed.
This is not financial advice. Always apply proper risk management.
Price is now trading in premium territory, well above the equilibrium (0.5 level), which is a key ICT condition where sell setups become more favorable, especially when higher-timeframe liquidity is nearby.
There is a clear draw toward buy-side liquidity above the recent highs (~73,500–74,000). This creates a high-probability scenario where price may:
Push higher to raid liquidity above equal highs
Complete a premium sweep
Form a reversal signal (distribution / rejection)
Following this, the market is likely to deliver a strong bearish retracement, targeting inefficiencies below.
Key downside levels:
First target: Daily FVG around ~70,000 (near equilibrium)
Secondary target: Deeper FVG near ~68,000, which represents a major imbalance from prior expansion
Key confluences:
Price extended in premium
Equal highs / buy-side liquidity above
Large inefficiencies below (FVGs)
Slowing bullish momentum
Execution idea:
Wait for price to push into the buy-side liquidity and show rejection (daily or 4H confirmation like CHoCH). This would provide a high-probability swing short opportunity, targeting the lower FVG zones.
Invalidation:
If price breaks above highs and sustains acceptance, the bullish trend continues, and downside scenarios are delayed.
This is not financial advice. Always apply proper risk management.
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Wyłączenie odpowiedzialności
Informacje i publikacje nie stanowią i nie powinny być traktowane jako porady finansowe, inwestycyjne, tradingowe ani jakiekolwiek inne rekomendacje dostarczane lub zatwierdzone przez TradingView. Więcej informacji znajduje się w Warunkach użytkowania.