Coinbase: Progress and Distraction

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Coinbase initially made progress in line with our primary scenario, moving just below the support level at $291.50 before a notable rebound to the upside. Our primary expectation is that price will soon reverse and head down toward our magenta Target Zone between $255.42 and $173.05, where we anticipate the low of magenta wave [ii] will be established. In wave [iii], we then expect the rally to continue past resistance at $444.65, which makes the magenta zone an attractive entry point for long positions. We still see the possibility of gains above the $444.65 resistance occurring earlier than expected. In this 30% likely scenario, we would anticipate an early wave alt.[iii] top, meaning the magenta wave alt.[ii] would already be complete. In that case, our magenta Target Zone would no longer be relevant.

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