ETH completing elliott wave pattern ABCDE or Trendline break?

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(Left) 2-Hour Chart: ABCDE Descending Triangle

Textbook contracting ABCDE correction for Ethereum/USDT:

A → B → C formed the first three legs of the correction.

D pushed back up into the descending trendline but failed to reclaim structure.

Now, E is the key — this is either:

1. Final flush to complete the triangle, or

2. Failed breakdown, leading to an upside break.

Typical E-wave behavior:

Often weak and lacks momentum (especially compared to A and C).

Sometimes makes a marginal lower low below C, then reverses sharply.

Volume tends to contract during the E-wave, then expand at breakout.

E-wave target zones often line up with

0.618 FIB to 1.0 FIB extension of the C leg.

For the chart on the right, the descending trendline

If price rejects at this line, it’s the clean start of E-wave down (to finish the ABCDE).

If price breaks above this line on strong volume, it invalidates the E-wave flush, likely triggering a triangle breakout early.

What to watch:

Breakout confirmation = strong candle close above $4,180–$4,200 on the 15-min + volume surge.

Breakdown confirmation = failure near the trendline, followed by controlled drift down (E-wave style).

It maybe closer to Friday before we see any sign of breaking out, if the chop continue.

Happy Trading!

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