MSFT (USA) - About to Bounce Or Heading to the Bottom ?

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Microsoft has been one of the dominant performers of the past decade, up roughly 630% over the last 10 years and was at its peak before this recent heavy pullback which has wiped out its gains for the year. As a software and cloud computing giant, it still very much sits at the centre of enterprise IT, productivity tools and AI infrastructure space.

Fundamentally, the company continues to pull in massive numbers. They recently reported Q2 revenue of over $81 billion, with their cloud segment crossing the $50 billion mark for the first time. The current pullback in the share price seems to be a grounded reality check from the market regarding their capital expenditures. Spending has jumped significantly as they build out their AI and GPU infrastructure.

Technically, this pullback has brought the stock right down into a much better value area. Looking at the chart, price has returned to a major support zone where it has successfully bounced multiple times in the past, which I marked in the three yellow circles. The recent drop has also perfectly filled a previous gap, indicated by the red circle. Gap fills often act as a natural exhaustion point for sellers. Both the RSI and MACD are sitting low, suggesting the recent heavy selling pressure might be running out of steam.

Depending on what the overall economy is doing, this could be one to keep an eye on but you would want to see a significant recovery and reversal to the upside before commiting.

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PLEASE NOTE: Nothing I post is trading advice. All investing involves risk, and past performance doesn’t predict future results. Trends can and do end. For 2026, my goal is to try and post one new asset each day. Something outside the usual gold, silver, BTC, or big tech names. I like to find stocks worldwide showing steady trends with some good gains, a recent pullback, and signs of renewed strength. I don’t necessarily hold positions in these. They are simply companies I find interesting at the time of posting. I’ll often revisit them within a week to see how they went and share any updates. If you enjoy these posts, please BOOST and FOLLOW ME to discover more under-the-radar stocks and businesses from around the world.
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Uwaga
Still holding that magic trendline at this stage.

snapshot

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