Insperity | NSP | Long at $26.00

Technical Analysis

The stock price for Insperity NSP has fallen below my "crash" simple moving average zone (green lines). A continued decline into the "major crash" zone (gray lines) is highly likely (currently between $15-$22). These often areas of algorithmic share accumulation and can signal a bottom - but it doesn't mean a trickle down won't happen. I believe recovery will be after 2026, so patience for investors is necessary for this one.

Earnings-Per-Share and Revenue Growth Between 2025 & 2028

Projected Earnings-Per-Share Growth: +280.6% (from $1.03 in 2025 to $3.92 in 2028)
Projected Revenue Growth: +17.6% (from $6.8 billion in 2025 to $9 billion in 2028)

Health

Debt-to-Equity: 9.9x (high debt)
Altman's Z-Score/Bankruptcy Risk: 3.9 (healthy / low risk)
Quick Ratio/Ability to pay current bills: 1.1 (okay, but ideally between 1.5 and 3)

Insiders

Mostly buying: openinsider.com/NSP

Action

I do believe more downside is ahead. There is a high probability of a continued decline into my "major crash" historical moving average area - potentially even down to $15 (watch out for dividend cut to trigger said level). The debt-to-equity is high, but it is otherwise a low bankruptcy risk. If this company can weather 2026, I believe there could be significant upside. Thus, at $26.00, NSP is in a personal buy zone with further entries planned between $15.00 and $18.00.

Targets into 2028

$34.00 (+30.8%)
$47.00 (+80.8%)

Zlecenie aktywne

Target #1 reached resulting in a +30.8% gain.

Transakcja zamknięta: osiągnięto wyznaczony cel

Target #2 reached resulting in an +80.8% gain. Trade closed.

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