RELIANCE | Rejected From Supply — Liquidity Sits Below

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📊 Daily Timeframe
On the Daily, #RELIANCE (Reliance Industries Ltd.) is in a clear downtrend. Price had rallied up to its most recent high at ₹1,612.15, then rolled over — first printing an iCHoCH, followed by a major CHoCH, and then a bearish BOS that confirmed the structural shift to the downside.

After that, price pushed up to correct and tapped into the Flip Zone (₹1,309.50 – ₹1,370.75) — and it has now given a clear sell signal with a bearish engulfing daily candle straight from that zone. This keeps the sellers in control, with price now turning toward the sell-side liquidity (SSL) resting below.

The downside liquidity targets are stacked: first ₹1,252.70, and if price breaks that level with momentum, the deeper pool sits all the way down at ₹1,116.60. The bearish thesis stays valid as long as price holds below the Protected High at ₹1,488.75.

⏱️ Entry Approach
With the daily candle already rejecting from the Flip Zone, the bias is for continuation lower. The cleanest management is to let a lower-timeframe pullback offer a fresh lower-high entry, then position short toward the liquidity below — rather than chasing price into the move.

🎯 The Game Plan
  1. Daily bias: bearish — iCHoCH → CHoCH → BOS, now rejecting from the Flip Zone (₹1,309.50 – ₹1,370.75).
  2. Confirmation: a bearish engulfing daily candle from the zone.
  3. Targets: SSL at ₹1,252.70, then the deeper pool at ₹1,116.60 on a momentum break.
  4. Invalidation: a reclaim and close back above the Protected High (₹1,488.75).


📰 Fundamental Backdrop
The technical setup lines up with the broader picture for Indian large-caps. Reliance is India's largest company by market cap and a heavyweight in the Nifty and Sensex, so its direction often colours overall index sentiment — with flows driven by domestic positioning, earnings, and global risk appetite. After an extended distribution phase, a structural breakdown like this one tends to draw fresh attention to the stock, making the current zone a key area to watch as the downtrend attempts to continue.

This analysis will be updated as the market evolves.

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Best Regards, BigBeluga 🐳

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