Gold is trading around $3,982 after forming a light accumulation phase near the lower range. Price has slowed down after the recent sell-off, but the main structure is still bearish as long as gold remains below the descending trendline and below the $4,018 invalidation area.
From an SMC perspective, gold has already created multiple MSS confirmations to the downside. The current sideways movement looks more like liquidity accumulation than a clear bullish reversal. This means sellers may still defend the $4,000–$4,018 area if price retests it and fails to break structure.
The key level for today is $4,018. As long as price stays below this level, the sell bias remains valid. A clean break above $4,018 and especially above the descending trendline would be the first signal that gold may shift into a short-term bullish reversal structure.
Sell setup 1
Condition:
Gold retests the liquidity accumulation zone around $4,000–$4,018 and shows bearish rejection with lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: $4,000–$4,018
SL: above $4,035
TP1: $3,950
TP2: $3,925
TP3: $3,886
Sell setup 2
Condition:
If gold breaks below $3,950 and retests this area as resistance, bearish continuation remains valid.
Entry: below $3,950 after retest
SL: above $3,985
TP1: $3,925
TP2: $3,900
TP3: $3,886
Buy setup
Condition:
Buying is not the priority. A buy setup is only valid if gold breaks above $4,018, closes above the descending trendline, and confirms bullish MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: above $4,018 after breakout retest
SL: below $3,980
TP1: $4,050
TP2: $4,085
TP3: $4,120
Key levels
Current price area: $3,982
Liquidity accumulation zone: $3,960–$4,018
Main sell reaction area: $4,000–$4,018
Sell-side liquidity H4: $3,925–$3,935
Key support zone: $3,886
Bearish continuation confirmation: clean break below $3,950
Bullish reversal confirmation: clean break above $4,018 and above the trendline
Bearish invalidation: clean 2H close above $4,018
My current view is that gold is still in a bearish structure while price trades below $4,018. The current accumulation may create short-term noise, but unless price breaks the trendline and confirms a bullish shift, the priority remains selling from resistance toward the lower liquidity zones.
No confirmation, no trade.
Gold · SMC · 5+ years. t.me/+R38arB9C3aJhMWZl
Reading institutional footprints in XAUUSD — Order Blocks · FVG · Liquidity · Structure. Weekly outlook every Monday. Where smart money leads, we follow
t.me/+R38arB9C3aJhMWZl
Reading institutional footprints in XAUUSD — Order Blocks · FVG · Liquidity · Structure. Weekly outlook every Monday. Where smart money leads, we follow
t.me/+R38arB9C3aJhMWZl
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Gold · SMC · 5+ years. t.me/+R38arB9C3aJhMWZl
Reading institutional footprints in XAUUSD — Order Blocks · FVG · Liquidity · Structure. Weekly outlook every Monday. Where smart money leads, we follow
t.me/+R38arB9C3aJhMWZl
Reading institutional footprints in XAUUSD — Order Blocks · FVG · Liquidity · Structure. Weekly outlook every Monday. Where smart money leads, we follow
t.me/+R38arB9C3aJhMWZl
Powiązane publikacje
Wyłączenie odpowiedzialności
Informacje i publikacje nie stanowią i nie powinny być traktowane jako porady finansowe, inwestycyjne, tradingowe ani jakiekolwiek inne rekomendacje dostarczane lub zatwierdzone przez TradingView. Więcej informacji znajduje się w Warunkach użytkowania.