Złoto / Dolar USA
Long

Plan |Gold Gradually Accumulating, Preparing for an Upward Wave?

189
🔍 Market Context
After reaching the historical peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD, gold underwent a deep correction, breaking the short-term bullish structure (BoS) and retesting the OB Bearish zone above.
However, since the price returned to the 4,040 – 4,060 USD area, the market has shown clear signs of liquidity absorption ($$$) and maintained an internal upward trendline, indicating that buying momentum is returning.

The current structure suggests gold is in a re-accumulation phase before forming a medium-term recovery wave towards the 4,185 → 4,243 USD zone.
Buyers hold the advantage as long as the price does not break the main support trendline.

💎 Key Technical Structure

Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060 USD → a strong support zone confluencing with the trendline, where institutional buying previously appeared.

Support Trendline: connecting the series of higher lows from 15/10 → short-term trend remains bullish.

Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,060 – 4,080 → supply absorption zone, confirming its role as a “price base”.

Resistance Zone: 4,149 – 4,185 → the first resistance zone to break to confirm the recovery momentum.

Target FVG / Supply Zone: 4,243 – 4,250 → potential profit-taking area or reversal consideration point.

Current structure:
Short-term: bullish corrective move.
Medium-term: potential for forming an extended recovery wave if holding above 4,040 USD.

📈 Trading Scenarios

1️⃣ BUY Setup – Retest Trendline / Liquidity Zone 4,060 USD

Entry: 4,060 – 4,070

SL: 4,035

TP1: 4,149

TP2: 4,185

TP3: 4,243

✅ Condition:
Price hits the trendline or liquidity zone 4,060 and shows a bullish reversal signal (rejection / bullish engulfing).

➡️ This is a high-probability setup, confluencing trendline structure + liquidity zone support, often where large buyers re-enter the market.

2️⃣ BUY Setup – Break & Retest resistance zone 4,149 USD

Entry: 4,149 – 4,155

SL: 4,130

TP1: 4,185

TP2: 4,243

✅ Condition:
Wait for the price to break the 4,149 resistance zone with strong volume, then lightly retest without closing below 4,130.

➡️ Trend-following setup – confirms the return of buying momentum and extends the target to the FVG zone 4,243 USD.

3️⃣ SELL Setup (Scalp reaction) – FVG 4,243 USD

Entry: 4,240 – 4,245

SL: 4,255

TP: 4,185 → 4,150

✅ Condition:
Only execute if there is a strong reaction at FVG 4,243 without a continuation break signal.

➡️ Short-term technical sell – leveraging the supply zone reaction, not holding the position long.

⚠️ Risk Management

Prioritize trading in the buy direction, avoid selling against the main trend.

If H2 closes below 4,035 → bullish scenario invalidated, wait for a new structure.

Do not FOMO buy in the mid-range (4,090–4,130).

Keep moderate volume, move SL to breakeven when price surpasses 4,149.

💬 Conclusion
Gold is in a gradually ascending accumulation phase after a strong decline.
As long as the price holds the trendline and support zone 4,040 – 4,060 USD, gold is likely to rebound following the liquidity + breakout retest model, with the main target being 4,185 → 4,243 USD.

If it breaks through 4,243 USD, the market could trigger a stronger rally towards 4,300 – 4,340 USD.

👉 Reasonable Strategy:

Buy 4,060–4,070 → TP 4,185 / 4,243 USD

Add Buy when breaking 4,149 USD with volume confirmation.

Technical Sell 4,243 USD if there is no signal to break higher.

🔥 “As long as 4,040 holds, gold remains in accumulation — patience will pay.”

⏰ Timeframe: 2H
📅 Update: 27/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent

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