◆ Market Context (H1)
Gold is maintaining a medium-term uptrend, however, the price has reacted at the Supply Zone ~4,350 and started to adjust. The current decline is a technical pullback, with no signal of a main trend reversal.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The upward structure remains valid as higher lows are maintained.
• Price is leaving the Supply Zone and may return to the Liquidity Buy + Fibo areas below.
• The upward trendline still acts as dynamic support for the recovery.
• No clear bearish CHoCH has appeared → prioritize the trend continuation scenario.
◆ Key Levels
• Supply / resistance: 4,350
• Liquidity Buy + Fibo: ~4,299
• Support Zone – Buy: 4,276
• Invalid upward structure: clear break of 4,276
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority)
• Wait for price to return to Liquidity Buy + Fibo ~4,299
• Condition: price holding reaction, rejection candles
• Targets:
▪ 4,325
▪ 4,350 (Supply)
➤ Scenario B – Deeper Pullback
• If 4,299 is breached
• Monitor Support Zone 4,276 for buying reaction
• Only BUY if structure is preserved
➤ Scenario C – Break & Continue
• If price does not pull back deeply and holds above 4,325
• Follow the uptrend towards 4,350
• Manage risk at Supply
◆ Summary
• Main trend: Bullish (pullback within uptrend)
• Decision area: 4,299 → 4,276
• Upper target: 4,350
• Avoid SELL against the trend without a bearish CHoCH.
Gold is maintaining a medium-term uptrend, however, the price has reacted at the Supply Zone ~4,350 and started to adjust. The current decline is a technical pullback, with no signal of a main trend reversal.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The upward structure remains valid as higher lows are maintained.
• Price is leaving the Supply Zone and may return to the Liquidity Buy + Fibo areas below.
• The upward trendline still acts as dynamic support for the recovery.
• No clear bearish CHoCH has appeared → prioritize the trend continuation scenario.
◆ Key Levels
• Supply / resistance: 4,350
• Liquidity Buy + Fibo: ~4,299
• Support Zone – Buy: 4,276
• Invalid upward structure: clear break of 4,276
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority)
• Wait for price to return to Liquidity Buy + Fibo ~4,299
• Condition: price holding reaction, rejection candles
• Targets:
▪ 4,325
▪ 4,350 (Supply)
➤ Scenario B – Deeper Pullback
• If 4,299 is breached
• Monitor Support Zone 4,276 for buying reaction
• Only BUY if structure is preserved
➤ Scenario C – Break & Continue
• If price does not pull back deeply and holds above 4,325
• Follow the uptrend towards 4,350
• Manage risk at Supply
◆ Summary
• Main trend: Bullish (pullback within uptrend)
• Decision area: 4,299 → 4,276
• Upper target: 4,350
• Avoid SELL against the trend without a bearish CHoCH.
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Wyłączenie odpowiedzialności
Informacje i publikacje nie stanowią i nie powinny być traktowane jako porady finansowe, inwestycyjne, tradingowe ani jakiekolwiek inne rekomendacje dostarczane lub zatwierdzone przez TradingView. Więcej informacji znajduje się w Warunkach użytkowania.