Fractal

SpaceX — A Continuation of a Study, Not a Prediction Sometimes I ask myself: If a human life becomes nothing more than money, where does that path ultimately lead? Imagine an extremely wealthy person who can move capital in the market for only a moment, creating a false breakdown. Traders react, and that person uses the same movement to accumulate even more wealth. I have seen this kind of behavior many times, especially in cryptocurrency markets. But for me, the issue is not simply about money. The real question is: What do we do with the po

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Bitcoin: The 357-Day Cycle Window Bitcoin continues to show a remarkably similar late-cycle structure across multiple major cycles. In each case, price topped, sold off, consolidated, and then experienced a final capitulation leg near the end of a roughly 357-day window. The current structure is once again approaching that same timing zone. This doesn’t mean the market has to repeat perfectly, but the combination of time + structure suggests the final downside leg may still be ahead.

by MarketWarfare

Gold | A Battle of Structures, Not Predictions ⏱️ Reading Time: ~2–3 minutes Gold is currently at an important structural decision point. The short-term price action may move higher, but that does not necessarily mean the larger bearish scenario has failed. Even a short-term rally can still be part of a corrective structure. In the bearish scenario, based on the current wave count, price may be approaching the later stages of Wave III. If so, another decline would still be needed to complete that structure. From this perspective, the previ

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Crude Oil | Where Does the Structure Go After the Correction?⏱️ Reading time: about 2 minutes In our previous oil analyses, the focus has been on one simple question: What structure will the market build after the correction is complete? Now that the corrective pattern appears to have completed and a new move is developing, the internal structure is giving us more information. In the bullish scenario, the current move could represent the beginning or continuation of Waves 1 and 2 across three different degrees. If this structure continues to develop,

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Bitcoin | Structure at a Major Decision Point ⏱️ Reading Time: ~2 minutes Bitcoin remains at a critical structural point, with two main scenarios still on the table. 🟦 Bullish Scenario The current structure could be an extension of Wave 5, or potentially the beginning of a larger-degree Wave 3. In the second interpretation, Wave 1 may already be complete and Bitcoin could be developing Wave 2 before another larger advance begins. 🟥 Bearish Scenario The alternative is that the current structure is part of a larger-degree three-wave dec

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

XAU/USD 06 October 2026 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026. Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or

When the Waves Finally Speak The language of waves does not always speak to us immediately. Sometimes, we see only five and three waves — simple, clean, and seemingly easy to recognize. But the real challenge begins when the market starts changing its structure. This is where patience becomes part of the analysis. We may recognize a possible pattern, but we should not become attached to it. The market must preserve that structure for the interpretation to remain valid. If the structure changes, our interpretation must ch

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Silver | Follow the Structure, Not the Prediction ⏱️ Reading Time: ~3 minutes In this analysis, my goal is not to predict that Silver must move higher or lower. The goal is to examine the structure the market is actually building. On the 2-hour timeframe, the previous advance toward 71.11 shows the characteristics of a motive structure, while the decline that followed may still be part of a higher-degree correction. At this stage, two main paths remain open. 🔵 Bullish Scenario: If the current area marks the completion of the correction and p

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

XAU/USD 05 October 2026 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026. Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or

Bitcoin: When We Can No Longer See the Shore ⏱️ Reading Time: ~4 minutes Sometimes, the best way to evaluate an analysis is not by looking toward the future, but by going back to the previous analysis and asking what the market actually did afterward. In this study, I have updated my previous Bitcoin analysis. The vertical red line is an important boundary in this review. Everything to the left of the line is what we had available to us at the time of the original analysis. Everything to the right is the path that was still in the fut

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Episode 10 — When a Wave Grew Within Itself 🎬 Mr. Nobody’s Chronicle Season I — The History of Elliott Wave Principle Episode 10 — When a Wave Grew Within Itself ⏱️ Reading Time: ~3 minutes “Sometimes, a wave grows so large that we can no longer see it as just a simple wave.” In the previous episode, we followed Ralph Nelson Elliott as he began drawing boundaries around the structures he was discovering. He was no longer simply watching the market move. He was trying to understand how those movements were built... And what happened w

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

7 Years Later, I Don’t Predict Ethereum — I Read Its Structure In previous ETH updates, we kept following one simple question: Is the larger corrective structure still developing, or is the market already beginning a new impulsive move one degree higher? What we can see today on the Daily chart is interesting because part of the structure we discussed in previous analyses has now become clearer through price development. The move from the area around 1,500 can still be examined as a developing impulsive structure, with 1–2 and 3–4–5 sequences appearing

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

NQ: Weekly Recap and the Map for the Week of Oct 5 Week of Sep 28 to Oct 2 on the 1h, then the map for next week. THE WEEK Monday's low held all week. Every high and low after it printed at a level that was already on the chart. Monday: sold from the weekend gap. The low at 30,356.75 swept the Sep 24 low into a stacked 4h and 1h FVG. ES and YM did not take their own lows. SMT. Tuesday: retested the same 4h FVG and held 15.50 above Monday's low while ES and YM broke theirs. Capped under the 4h bearish FVG. Inside day. Wednesday: higher low at

by AlphaTraderRyan

ETH update 02.10.26 - 24h Market Forecast (Wavelet Decomp.)# Ethereum — 24H Forecast & Reconstructed Price Analysis | October 2 Ethereum is showing a pattern broadly similar to Bitcoin. The reconstructed/denoised price has tracked the subsequent real price movements reasonably well. The relationship between the reconstructed and actual prices around the September 28 decline was particularly notable. Before the decline, the reconstructed price was significantly below the actual market price, indicating that the market price was potentially elevated re

by MarketSpectr

BTC update 02.10.26 - 24h Market Forecast (Wavelet Decomp.)# Bitcoin - 24H Forecast & Reconstructed Price Analysis | October 2 The reconstructed/denoised Bitcoin price has been tracking the subsequent real price movements reasonably well. Until around September 28, the reconstructed price was significantly below the actual market price. This suggested that Bitcoin was potentially overextended relative to the underlying reconstructed price and could move lower. That scenario was confirmed on September 28, when the price dropped significantly. After t

by MarketSpectr

XAU/USD 02 October 2026 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026. Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or

ASTER: Volume Picks Up, Watching for a Break Above $0.78 BINANCE:ASTERUSDT stays on my watchlist for now. Daily trading volume has picked up compared with the summer consolidation, but price remains inside the triangle. Higher volume alone does not confirm the breakout direction. I would consider a long only after a confirmed break above $0.78–$0.782 : a daily close above the zone, ideally followed by a successful retest. My take-profit area is around $0.90, ahead of the broader resistance zone near $0.91–$0.98. That offers roughly 15% upside fr

BTC HTF IDEA This is the zone where Institutions would like to DCA. So we could see atleast see 2 months of chop here. - First we take out buyside liquidity and trap longs. - Then flush the longs out while institutions build their orders through downtrend and take out Sellside liquidity. - Fill the Monthly FVG and then start the journey to new ATH by 2027. 1) Monthly MSS 2) Multiple weekly close above 50sma on weekly These two hint that the bear market is over.

AUDJPY idea We are waiting for our asset to reach our action zone, and based on the reaction, we’ll decide on our next moves.ALWAYS WAIT FOR A CONFIRMATION TO SEE IF THE PRICE VALIDATES THE ZONE.and you what is your vision of the AUDJPY its interests me! i wait you in the commentar

AUDCAD idea We are waiting for our asset to reach our action zone, and based on the reaction, we’ll decide on our next moves.ALWAYS WAIT FOR A CONFIRMATION TO SEE IF THE PRICE VALIDATES THE ZONE.and you what is your vision of the AUDCAD its interests me! i wait you in the commentar

XAU/USD 01 October 2026 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026. Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or

WTI Crude Oil | Testing a Nested Wave III Structure ⏱️ Reading Time: About 2 Minutes For this update, I am focusing only on the bullish scenario and allowing price action to show us whether this structure can continue to develop. One possibility I am currently tracking is a sequence of three nested 1–2 structures across different degrees. If this interpretation is correct, the market may be building the early stages of a larger Wave III, with each lower-degree structure preparing the next impulsive advance. The recent decline is important, but

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Bitcoin 4H | Bullish Structure & The Golden Possibility ⏱️ Reading Time: ~3 minutes Hey everyone, In this update, I’m focusing only on the bullish scenario for Bitcoin, looking at it from two different structural perspectives. At first glance, the larger-degree structure suggests that a motive pattern is developing or approaching completion. If this interpretation is correct, then after the current advance, I would expect the market to develop at least a three-wave corrective structure. That’s why I’ve mapped the potential correction in blue. I s

by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP

Btc update #BTC In last 3 days, i was waiting for liquidity sweep of 85200 or 82500. Finally 85200 liquidity swept and now 82500 liquidity is pending.

by shaiq_srtraders