XAU/USD 18 September 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026.
Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH
Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 3,942.100.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to yesterday's analysis dated 17 September 2026 whereby I mentioned, in intraday analysis, due to the narrowing of the internal range, price could potentially strong internal high and print a bullish iBOS as we are also seeing a drastic reduction in the depth of the internal range.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is the same as the fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted horizontal dotted line.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high, currently priced at 4,399.670.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart:
PONKE AT MAKE-OR-BREAK SUPPORTYello, Paradisers! Is PONKE about to trap impatient bears at one of the most important support zones on the chart before attempting a much stronger upside expansion?
💎PONKEUSDT is currently trading around $0.0207 after another rejection from the upper boundary of the 4H falling wedge. While the lower timeframes remain bearish, the bigger picture is becoming increasingly interesting because price has once again reached a major Daily support area around $0.0198–$0.0186.
💎What makes this zone especially important is the market structure developing around it. PONKE has now tested approximately the same support area three times, creating a potential triple-bottom structure. At the same time, this support also aligns with the lower boundary of the falling wedge and an important former Daily resistance zone that is now being tested as support.
💎This creates a clear conflict between the timeframes. The 1H and 4H structures remain bearish, meaning there is still no confirmed short-term reversal. However, the Daily and Weekly structures remain bullish, which is why aggressively chasing shorts directly into this support would carry significantly worse risk-to-reward.
💎For the bullish scenario to gain confirmation, PONKE first needs to hold the current support and reclaim the falling-wedge resistance. Above that, the $0.0230–$0.0235 region becomes the next important obstacle, where the 4H resistance and high-volume trading area are located.
💎A successful breakout and acceptance above this region could open the way toward the next major Daily resistance zone around $0.0270–$0.0280. That would represent a meaningful expansion from the current price and could quickly bring momentum back into the market.
💎However, confirmation matters. A temporary bounce from support is not enough to declare the correction finished. Until PONKE breaks the falling wedge and starts closing above the nearby resistance levels, the short-term bearish structure technically remains intact.
💎The bullish thesis becomes significantly weaker if price loses the $0.01801 support area on a confirmed candle closing basis. Such a breakdown would invalidate the current triple-bottom idea and indicate that sellers remain in control.
💎This is exactly the type of situation where patience becomes more valuable than prediction. The potential upside is attractive, but entering before confirmation means accepting unnecessary risk. Professional traders do not need to catch the exact bottom; they need to participate when the probabilities become favorable.
Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. Discipline, patience, and waiting for confirmation are what keep traders inside the winner's circle.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴 
Long
APE Bulls Running Out of Time?Yello, Paradisers! Are #APEUSDT bulls about to get trapped right below a major resistance zone before the market delivers the pullback most traders are not prepared for?
💎#APEUSDT is currently trading around $0.1296 after pushing directly into an important 4H resistance area around $0.1297-$0.1313. At the same time, the price continues to respect a rising wedge structure on the 15-minute timeframe, which puts the market in a very sensitive position.
💎The short-term structure remains bullish while #APE holds the lower boundary of this wedge. However, the bigger picture is much less straightforward. Our 1D structure remains bullish, while the 4H structure is bearish, and on the 1W timeframe we are still expecting a pullback. This timeframe conflict is exactly why aggressively chasing the current move would carry unnecessary risk.
💎Another important factor is volume. The latest upside movement has developed on relatively low volume while APE is approaching resistance. This tells us that buyers have pushed the price higher, but the move is not showing particularly strong participation. We can also see weakening momentum around the highs, adding further caution while the price trades directly underneath resistance.
💎The volume profile strengthens this scenario. APE is currently trading above the Value Area High around $0.1282, while the Point of Control sits considerably lower around $0.1241. When price stretches above an important value area without strong continuation volume, a rotation back toward lower liquidity levels can become increasingly relevant.
💎As long as APE remains underneath the 4H resistance zone, we are watching for the possibility of rejection and a breakdown from the rising wedge. The first important downside area is the 1H support around $0.1268. If sellers manage to break that level with confirmation, attention can shift toward the major support and liquidity area around $0.1223-$0.1230.
💎However, we are not blindly bearish. A confirmed candle close above approximately $0.1324 would invalidate this bearish scenario and show that buyers have successfully absorbed the resistance.
💎This is exactly the type of market structure where patience becomes more valuable than prediction. APE is sitting between short-term bullish momentum and higher-timeframe resistance, meaning the next confirmed breakout or breakdown can provide much cleaner information than trying to anticipate every small move inside the current range.
Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. Wait for confirmation, respect invalidation, and protect your capital because disciplined execution is what keeps traders inside the winner circle.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴 
Short
EUR/USD — Larger Correction or the Continuation of the Bullish T⏱️ Reading Time: ~4 minutes
On the EUR/USD chart, price is currently at an important point within the larger-term structure.
From the 1.60360 peak, a major bearish structure developed into the 0.95356 low. Since then, EUR/USD has produced a significant recovery.
The key question now is whether this recovery is still part of a larger correction, or whether it is developing into the beginning of a larger bullish trend.
🟦 Bullish Scenario — A Larger Uptrend
In the turquoise scenario, the advance from the 2022 low still has room to develop further to the upside.
The larger structure can potentially be interpreted as:
(W) – (X) – (Y)
Wave (W) is considered a Simple Zigzag, followed by corrective Wave (X).
The current X-Wave may still need more time and price development before it is complete. Therefore, the current fluctuations do not necessarily invalidate the larger bullish structure.
If Wave (X) completes and price develops the next bullish structure clearly, Wave (Y) could produce another significant advance.
In that case, the structure could eventually open the path toward higher levels, including the 1.30–1.35 area shown on the chart.
However, this scenario still needs confirmation from the internal price structure rather than simply reaching a target.
⚫ Bearish Scenario — A Larger and Deeper Correction
The black scenario presents a different interpretation.
Under this view, the entire recovery from 0.95356 may still be part of a much larger correction against the previous bearish structure.
If the recovery develops as a Double or Triple Zigzag, some of the strong rallies along the way can still remain corrective in the larger degree.
Even a five-wave advance on a lower degree would not automatically mean that the larger correction is finished.
Under this interpretation, another major bearish leg could eventually develop.
The lower areas marked on the chart, including:
1.01765–1.03575
0.92853
0.86220
would then become important areas for monitoring the larger bearish structure.
🔎 The Key Structural Question
The real difference between these two scenarios is not simply the next direction of price.
It is the degree and character of the advance from the 2022 low.
If EUR/USD continues to develop clear impulsive five-wave structures on the upside, followed by proportional corrections, the bullish scenario gains structural support.
But if the market continues producing overlapping three-wave structures, the possibility remains that the entire recovery is still part of a larger corrective sequence.
This is where the Double Zigzag / Triple Zigzag interpretation becomes particularly important.
🌍 EUR/USD & DXY
The EUR/USD structure can also be monitored alongside DXY.
Dollar weakness can generally support EUR/USD strength, but the two markets do not need to move as perfect wave-by-wave mirrors.
DXY can provide useful intermarket confirmation, while the EUR/USD count still needs to prove itself through its own price structure.
Conclusion
For now, the 🟦 turquoise scenario considers the possibility of a larger bullish continuation. If Wave (X) completes, the next bullish leg could develop as Wave (Y) and potentially become part of a much larger bullish structure.
Meanwhile, the ⚫ black scenario considers the possibility that the recovery from 2022 is still part of a larger Double or Triple Zigzag, leaving room for another significant bearish leg.
So the key question is:
Is EUR/USD building a larger bullish trend, or is the recovery still part of a larger corrective structure?
We don't need to force the answer.
Price will build the structure, and the structure will tell us which scenario remains valid.
Best Regards,
Mr. Nobody
Elliott Wave Analyst & Financial Researcher
– Patterns whisper. I listen. – Mr. Nobody 🎧📊
Euro / U.S. Dollar
Feb 6, 2025
EUR/USD – Bullish Wave & Invalidation Zone
British Pound / U.S. Dollar
Feb 6, 2025
GBP/USD Elliott Wave Analysis – Major Breakout Ahead?
Long
NEAR - The Double Bottom nobody wants to buy - March 2026Ninety four percent down from its all-time high. Trading at levels first seen in early 2021. And the crowd? They’re busy chasing meme coins like SOL and XRP while completely blind to the fact that NEAR is sitting on one of the cleanest macro double bottoms in the entire crypto market. Nobody is interested. Perfect.
On the above 8-day chart NEAR has retested the $1.05–$1.10 support/resistance zone, the exact same level that held as support in early 2021 before launching a 2,800% rally to the all-time high. It held again in mid-2024 and produced a 700% move to $8.00. The crowd sold that rally all the way up. They are selling this retest too. A number of reasons now exist to take the other side of that trade. They include:
1) Macro double bottom on multi-year support. The blue band on the chart marks the $1.05 to $1.10 zone. Two tests, circled on the chart, separated by over three years, each followed by explosive rallies. This is not a coincidence. This is market memory. When a level holds twice on this timeframe, you pay attention. When it holds twice and launches four-digit percentage moves both times, you do more than pay attention.
2) RSI breakout and higher high. Look at the lower panel. RSI has been compressing inside a descending wedge since mid-2024, narrowing, coiling, building energy. It has now broken out of that wedge and printed a higher high. This is the first confirmed momentum shift on the 8-day timeframe since the decline from $8.00 began. When RSI breaks structure before price does, price follows. That is not opinion. That is how momentum works.
3) Measured move: 180% to first resistance. The chart marks it clearly. From the current $1.05–$1.17 zone to the first horizontal resistance at approximately $3.00, roughly 180%. To the second resistance at approximately $3.60, roughly 254%. These are not speculative extrapolations. They are horizontal levels where price has previously consolidated and reversed. Structure defined targets. The best kind.
5) Sentiment is capitulation grade. NEAR is ranked #52 by market cap. Volume is thin. Social mentions are negligible. The crowd has forgotten about it entirely. That is not a reason to avoid it. That is the reason to buy it. The best entries in crypto always feel uncomfortable. If this felt easy, everyone would already be in. They are not.
What about the downside?
The support/resistance band at $1.05–$1.10 is the line in the sand. An 8-day close below $0.90 invalidates the double bottom structure and the thesis dies cleanly. Position size accordingly. This is not permission to be reckless.
Good luck,
Ww
================================================================
Disclaimer
This idea is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results
Long
TAO TESTS CRITICAL SUPPORT — ARE BEARS ABOUT TO GET TRAPPED?Yello,Paradisers! are #TAO bears about to get trapped just when the market is starting to show the first signs of a potentially powerful reversal?
💎#TAOUSDT is currently trading around $216 and testing a major Daily Support zone after spending the last sessions moving lower inside a clear falling wedge structure. This is an important location because the higher timeframes remain constructive, with the Weekly and Daily structures still bullish, while the 4H and 1H remain bearish.
💎This timeframe conflict is exactly why patience is crucial here. The short-term trend is still under pressure, but TAO has now reached an area where sellers could start losing control.
💎The falling wedge is becoming increasingly important. Price has already reacted from its lower boundary and is now attempting to reclaim the upper side of the structure. At the same time, we can see a bullish divergence developing on the momentum indicator, suggesting that bearish momentum is weakening even though price recently pushed toward new local lows.
💎As long as TAO continues holding the Daily Support area around $215-$217, the possibility of a bullish reversal remains active. However, simply touching support is not enough confirmation. We want to see buyers prove themselves by reclaiming the falling wedge resistance and establishing strength above this zone.
💎If that confirmation arrives, the first major upside target sits around the $223-$224 1H Resistance. A successful breakout above this level could then open the path toward approximately $230, where the much stronger 4H Resistance begins. Above that, the $231-$232 area would become the next important obstacle for buyers.
💎On the other hand, we cannot ignore the bearish scenario. A confirmed candle close below approximately $212 would invalidate the bullish setup shown on the chart and signal that sellers remain firmly in control. Until either confirmation occurs, aggressively chasing price in either direction provides an unfavorable risk-to-reward situation.
💎This is exactly the type of market structure where inexperienced traders often become impatient. They see support and immediately buy, or they see the short-term bearish trend and start shorting directly into major support. Professional trading requires the opposite approach: identify the important levels first, wait for confirmation, and only then execute when the probabilities become favorable.
💎TAO is approaching a decision point. The Daily Support, falling wedge structure, and developing bullish divergence are giving buyers an opportunity, but price still needs to confirm that the reversal has actually started.
Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. Patience around levels like these is what separates disciplined traders from those simply reacting emotionally to every candle.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴 
Long
NIO to $60 - April 1st, It's no joke - 2026Everyone is watching stocks get battered. The geopolitical headlines are relentless, the sentiment awful, and the retail crowd has long since given up. Good. That’s usually when the chart starts doing something interesting.
NIO Inc has corrected over 90% from its all time high. It has spent years inside a punishing downtrend channel, grinding the patience of anyone still holding. And then, quietly, when no one is looking. . resistance breakout, something that has not printed in over 5 years: A higher low. The first since 2020.
On the above 3 week chart a number of reasons now exist for a bullish outlook, they include:
The first higher low since 2020 has printed. This is not a minor development. For five years NIO made nothing but lower lows. That sequence has now been broken. In technical analysis, a change in market structure is the earliest and most reliable signal of a trend reversal. Look left, is this time really different?
Breakout from the multi-year descending channel. Price action has broken out from a descending channel that has contained the downtrend since 2021. A breakout from a channel of this duration, on this timeframe, is not noise. This is the market telling you something.
Return to legacy support and confirmation. The horizontal support level that held price in the pre-breakout era has been retested and held. Former resistance, now support. Classic, significant, textbook.
Bullish divergence. A confirmed positive divergence with price action on this timeframe is not a blip that fizzles out in a handful of weeks. It means something considerably more dramatic.
The measured move is extraordinary. The prior cycle took NIO from low single digits to over $60. The measured move from the current base, when applied to the breakout point, produces a forecast consistent with a return to all-time highs. Yes, really.
Forecasts:
1st, $12 - the first meaningful resistance zone.
2nd, $22 - mid range resistance from the descent. The point where former support becomes a serious test.
3rd, $60 - the measured move. The all-time high area, the moment the crowd arrives and declared it’s obvious. By then, the work is already done.
What about the downside?
A 3 week close back inside the descending channel invalidate the thesis. The higher low needs to hold.
The crowd
Right now, NIO is associated with a long list of grievances: competition from BYD, cash burn, Chinese regulatory risk, US tariff uncertainty, dilution, and a stock that has done nothing but disappoint for years. The sentiment is universally poor. The comments on any bullish NIO idea are merciless. (Sarcasm alert: obviously this is the perfect time to avoid it entirely.)
History does not repeat. But it rhymes. Loudly.
Conclusions
Alright, here’s the idea in plain English because the market doesn’t care about your feelings, and neither does my chart. NIO has spent five years being absolutely terrible. It has corrected over 90%, burned capital, missed targets, and provided ample opportunity for anyone who owned it to question every decision they’ve ever made. And yet here we are. A 3-week chart. A higher low. A channel breakout. The measured move pointing at $60.
The chart doesn’t know about the bad headlines. It doesn’t read Twitter. It doesn’t know that NIO is the stock everyone loves to mock at dinner parties. It just prints candles, and right now, the candles are telling a different story to the one you’ve been hearing.
Ww
===================================
Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. It is not investment advice. It is not advice of any kind. It is a person, on the internet, looking at lines on a chart and writing things down. If that sentence describes the entirety of your research process before committing real money to a position, then the chart is not your problem.
I hold no position in NIO at the time of writing. I could be completely wrong. The company could announce something catastrophic tomorrow. The chart could fail. Markets do that. They’re allowed.
Do your own research. Manage your own risk. Don’t size into anything you aren’t prepared to watch go to zero. That’s the deal. It always has been.
Long
XAU/USD 17 September 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026.
Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH
Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 3,942.100.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed according to analysis dated 14 September 2026 whereby I mentioned price to target weak internal low priced at 4,282.625. However, I am not entirely convinced at the nature of the iBOS as the break was minimal and was caused by last night's FED interest rate decision.
We are also seeing a drastic reduction in the depth of the internal range.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is the same as the fractal high.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 4,235.165.
Alternative Scenario:
Due to the narrowing of the internal range, price could potentially strong internal high and print a bullish iBOS.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart: USDCAD: What Happens When Price Revisits a Fresh Supply Zone?Market Structure: Supply Zone | Rally-Base-Drop
USDCAD is currently being observed near an identified Supply Zone on the 120-minute timeframe.
The area originated from a Rally-Base-Drop (RBD) structure, where a relatively strong move away from the base created a visible imbalance between buyers and sellers.
Why is this zone technically significant?
This is a fresh zone with several characteristics that make it relevant for technical observation:
• A clear Rally-Base-Drop structure
• A relatively strong leg-out from the base
• A compact and defined basing structure
• No significant prior revisit of the area
• Alignment with observations from multiple timeframes
A fresh supply zone is generally studied because the original imbalance has not been substantially tested. When price later returns toward such an area, traders often observe how price behaves around the zone rather than assuming a predetermined outcome.
What could happen on a revisit?
There are several possible scenarios.
Scenario 1 — Rejection
If price reaches the supply area and sellers become active, price action could show rejection through bearish candles, failed upward movement, or a shift in short-term structure.
Scenario 2 — Acceptance above the zone
If price moves through the supply area and begins sustaining above it, the original supply structure could become technically weaker. This may indicate that the imbalance is being absorbed rather than respected.
Scenario 3 — Consolidation
Price could also spend time around the zone without producing a clear directional reaction. In that situation, the market may simply be establishing new information before the next meaningful move.
Confirmation matters
The zone itself does not determine what price will do.
Price action confirmation, market structure, candle behavior, and higher-timeframe context can provide additional information when evaluating how the market is interacting with the area.
The zone can also be invalidated . A sustained move through the area would be an important observation because it could indicate that the original supply imbalance is no longer behaving as expected.
Risk Management — Educational Concept
From a general trading-education perspective, risk management involves defining in advance how much uncertainty or potential loss a trading plan is designed to tolerate. The appropriate parameters depend on an individual's circumstances, methodology, and risk tolerance.
For this chart, the key educational question is not simply whether the supply zone "works", but rather:
"How does price behave when it revisits a fresh Rally-Base-Drop supply zone?"
That reaction can provide useful information about the interaction between price, structure, and previously identified imbalance.
Educational Disclaimer:
This publication is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It reflects a technical analysis of market structure and should not be interpreted as investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Always perform your own analysis and manage risk according to your individual circumstances. Crude Oil | Is Wave 3 Expanding?⏱️ Reading time: about 2 minutes
In the previous Crude Oil analysis, the main question was:
What kind of structure is the market building?
On this 2-hour chart, the move up from the major low still shows characteristics of an impulsive structure.
In the bullish scenario, this move could be part of a higher-degree Wave 3, and its internal structure is now giving us more clues.
Price is developing a five-wave structure. If this structure continues to unfold as expected and the internal Wave 4 completes, the next move could be Wave 5 of this structure.
103.558 is the first key level I’m watching for confirmation that this scenario is still developing.
If the bullish structure remains intact, 108.618, 111.148, and 114.431 can be used as the next reference areas.
And if the higher-degree Wave 3 is truly expanding, then 118.055, 120.244, and 123.868 come into focus as additional reference levels.
These are not fixed price predictions.
They simply help us track how the structure is developing.
On the other hand, if the current move fails to maintain its impulsive structure and instead develops into a larger correction, another scenario becomes relevant again.
94.199 is the first level I’m watching for invalidation in that scenario, while 66.980 remains the invalidation level for the larger bullish structure.
So the main question is still not:
“Is Crude Oil going up or down?”
The real question is:
“What will the next structure tell us?”
We don’t always need to predict the future.
Sometimes, it’s enough to let the structure reveal itself, one step at a time.
Patterns whisper, and I listen.
— Mr. Nobody 🎧📊
Brent Crude Oil
7 hours ago
Brent Crude Oil | Is Wave III Expanding?
Long
Brent Crude Oil | Is Wave III Expanding?⏱️ Reading time: About 2 minutes
In our previous oil analyses, the focus has always been on one simple question:
What structure is the market building?
On the 2H Brent chart, the move developing from the major low continues to show an impulsive character. Price has now reached an area where the structure may provide much more information about the higher-degree wave.
In the bullish scenario, the current advance could be part of a higher-degree Wave III. If so, the internal structures should continue developing progressively and impulsively, while a break above 105.80 could provide an important confirmation for this path.
If this behavior continues, 126.27, 139.46, 147.77, 160.76, and 182.16 are the key areas I will be watching as the higher-degree structure develops.
These are not guaranteed price forecasts. They are structural reference levels that can help us evaluate how the pattern evolves.
But there is still another path on the chart.
If the current advance fails to maintain its impulsive character and instead completes as a five-wave move followed by a larger sideways correction, the bearish / larger corrective structure becomes relevant again.
In that case, the market could develop a deeper correction while 58.52 remains the invalidation level for the larger bullish structure.
So the main question here is not:
“Will oil go up or down?”
It is:
“What structure is the market building next?”
Price does not always give us the answer immediately.
But structure reveals it step by step.
We just have to listen.
Patterns whisper. I listen.
— Mr. Nobody 🎧📊
WTI Oil Spot
Sep 2
Crude Oil | Three Nested Structures or a Larger Correction?
Brent Crude Oil
Aug 10
Crude Oil: Is a Larger Wave III Beginning?
CFDs on Crude Oil (Brent)
Aug 6
Is Wave 3 Beginning, or Is One More Correction Still Ahead?
Long 
Silver | When Structure Speaks, We Listen⏱️ Reading time: about 3 minutes
In our previous Silver analyses, we focused on identifying the first motive wave to the upside from the recent low — a structure that could develop into a five-wave impulse. After the latest movement, the main question is no longer simply “up or down?” but rather what degree does the current correction belong to, and is it still developing or already complete?
🟦 Scenario 1 | Bullish Case
In this view, the initial bullish structure remains important. The recent decline may be part of a corrective structure, while the current movement could be building the next stage of that correction.
If the current correction develops as a sideways structure and price then breaks out with a clear motive pattern, the possibility of further upside becomes more relevant.
But for us, a simple move through a price level is not enough — the structure must prove itself.
If the next advance is truly a motive wave, we should also be able to recognize a clear and consistent structure at the smaller degree.
In that case, a break of the recent high followed by a correction proportional to the wave’s degree and character could provide more information about the next phase.
⬛ Scenario 2 | Bearish Case
In the conservative view, the recent decline may represent the first part of a larger corrective structure — potentially something similar to W within a zigzag or double zigzag.
The current advance could therefore be a connecting or corrective wave, such as X, or part of a larger B wave.
If this advance fails to develop into a valid motive structure and price then declines with strength again, a deeper corrective structure becomes possible. Another zigzag could develop, eventually completing Y.
In that case, the larger decline would still be part of the same higher-degree corrective wave.
🔎 The Key Point
At this stage, both structures remain under observation, and the type of structure itself may still change. That is why every new price action requires a fresh review.
We are not deciding the future path in advance.
We wait for the market to show us whether the current movement can develop into a motive wave, or whether it will ultimately prove to be part of a more complex corrective structure.
Patterns whisper; I listen.
— Mr. Nobody 🎧📊
Silver / U.S. Dollar
Sep 6
Silver 4H | The Structure Is Speaking — Elliott Wave Update
Sep 2
Silver | Let the Waves Speak
XAU/USD 16 September 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026.
Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH
Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 3,942.100.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to analysis dated 02 September 2026 whereby I mentioned price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 4,282.625. Please note, in error I mentioned weak internal high instead of weak internal low.
This is exactly how price printed. Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range. I shall continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 4,253.625.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart: Long 
