USDJPY - HTF Bullish**USDJPY — HTF Bullish**
Waiting for the intermediate/midterm liquidity sweep level to be taken to confirm this unclaimed high.
Once swept, waiting for either auction block reaction and reading the behavior from there.
Until then, patience.
Tracking remains the edge.
Let’s go . 🧃
Pivot Points
HTF 4H BullishPrice gave a midterm pullback, taking out multiple liquidity legs before failing near the bottom of the range origin zone and underneath the 50% equilibrium.
I took buys early last week as price showed HTF acceptance with strong momentum candles. Position was taken from the lower part of the range as price began showing that acceptance.
Since then, patience is key. Tracking remains the edge for me.
Now waiting on the minor pullback for continuation. Internal IDM has been taken, confirming the high. Watching for mitigation into the minor auction zone.
Let’s go. 🧃
Bitcoin : What's next?CRYPTO:BTCUSD
With the bullish divergence being confirmed, it will most likely continue the run upwards. Break the current resistance at 80k and there is a possibility that it can reach 100k fast. Next major weekly pivot is 12 October. Invalidation is breaking the tenkan/kijun support which sits around 70-72k area.
BTC/USD — From POI toward a 1.414 rebalance
Price has reached the marked area of interest on the lower timeframe. The decline formed a key imbalance that remains unbalanced.
I’m watching for a possible deeper move into the POI, followed by a reaction and an upside expansion. My main target is a rebalance toward the 1.414 external extension of the larger swing.
The levels for taking profit on 75% of the position and fully closing the trade are marked on the chart.
USDJPY: Bullish Push to 157.450?FX:USDJPY is eyeing a bullish rebound on the 4-hour chart , with price approaching a key support zone after recent decline, converging with a potential entry area that could ignite further upside momentum toward the higher resistance zone near the downward trendline and Fibonacci levels if buyers defend amid volatility. This setup suggests a solid rally opportunity with close to 1:3.5 risk-reward .🔥
Entry between 153.330–153.800 (entry from current price with proper risk management is recommended). Target at 157.450 . Set a stop loss at a daily close below 152.740 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of close to 1:3.5 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume.🌟
Fundamentally , USDJPY is trading around 154.20 in early September 2026.
For the US Dollar, the most important release this week (8–11 September) is the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August on Friday, September 11 — a key inflation report that can strongly influence Fed policy expectations.
For the Japanese Yen, a notable data point is the Japan Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI) around mid-week, which provides insight into producer-level inflation pressures. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
153.330 – 153.800
(Entry from current price is acceptable with proper position sizing and strict risk management.)
🎯 Target:
157.450
❌ Stop Loss:
Daily close below 152.740
📈 Risk-to-Reward:
Close to 1:3.5
Will buyers defend 153.330–153.800 and push USDJPY toward 157.450, or will the support fail and invalidate the bullish rebound setup? 👇
**Gold: External Expansion Toward 1.414**
After reaching our POI, Gold delivered the expected bullish reaction.
During the move toward the POI, the market formed a key imbalance. This area now remains the main zone to watch for a possible short-term rebalance and support.
The current structure indicates that the asset is developing an external expansion. A temporary pullback into the key imbalance is still possible and would remain consistent with the bullish scenario.
As long as this area holds, my main target is the Fibonacci **1.414 level**, located near **4535**. This is where I plan to take 100% of the profit.
A decisive loss of the key imbalance would require a reassessment of the scenario.
**We trust Fibonacci.**
This is my personal market view, not financial advice.
$BTC - Market Update (9/18)lows are holding here, and price just filled the half-wick into the 76k retest we highlighted yesterday
The daily and weekly rolling VWAPs are about to cross, which could give us some decent support here. Any retrace into 77k–76.5k is for adding.
Hold 77k here, then I’ll be looking for the poor highs at 80.3k as the initial target. Invalidation would be a clean break of 75.7kC update.
ONE/USDT 1D — Spot Accumulation Setup (+152% Potential)Historical key imbalances have a high probability of being fully rebalanced over time. ONE/USDT on the 1D timeframe presents a prime opportunity for spot accumulation as price consolidates at structural lows after leaving a major unfulfilled imbalance above.
Key Technical Factors:
High-Probability Imbalance Fill: The primary "Key imbalance" zone around 0.00204 remains open and acts as a major price magnet.
Spot Accumulation Advantage: Accumulating on spot at current structural lows eliminates leverage liquidation risk while targeting a massive macro expansion.
Fibonacci Confluence: The main imbalance aligns cleanly with the 1.0 Fib level. A full rebalance opens the path toward higher external targets (1.414 and 1.618 Fib extensions).
Trade Execution & Targets:
Accumulation Zone: Current price range (~0.00081)
Primary Target (100% Imbalance Fill): 0.00204 (+152% gain)
Macro Targets (DC / External Extensions): 1.414 & 1.618 Fib levels
NZDUSD: Bullish Push to 0.59300?FX:NZDUSD is eyeing a bullish rebound on the 4-hour chart , with price approaching a key support zone after recent decline, converging with a potential entry area that could ignite further upside momentum toward the higher resistance zone near the downward trendline if buyers defend amid volatility. This setup suggests a solid rally opportunity with more than 1:4 risk-reward .🔥
Entry between 0.57450–0.57600 (entry from current price with proper risk management is recommended). Target at 0.59300 . Set a stop loss at a daily close below 0.57200 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:4 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume.🌟
Fundamentally , NZDUSD is trading around 0.578 in mid-September 2026.
For the New Zealand Dollar, the most important release this week (ending 18 September) is the New Zealand GDP q/q (Q2) around mid-week, which will provide key insight into economic growth.
For the US Dollar, the standout high-impact event is the FOMC Interest Rate Decision on Wednesday, September 16, along with the accompanying statement and press conference. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
0.57450–0.57600
(Entry from current price is acceptable with proper position sizing and strict risk management.)
🎯 Target:
0.59300
❌ Stop Loss:
Daily close below 0.57200
📈 Risk-to-Reward:
More than 1:4
Will buyers defend the 0.57450–0.57600 support zone and push NZDUSD toward 0.59300, or will the FOMC trigger a deeper breakdown? 👇
$ETH - Technical OutlookCRYPTOCAP:ETH got rejected from the 2540s and sold off into the 2400 area, where price has been consolidating and building a local range. We’ve since bounced back into 2430s, but still trading below the 2460 resistance.
2400 is the local support here and could see a bounce into 2460. But if price gets capped there, I think there’s a chance we test the lows in the 2350s. Anything below 2400 after that, then I’m looking for a sweep into 2300.
COPPER (HG) — REVERSAL SCENARIOCopper continues its bullish expansion toward the key Fibonacci POI between 1.414 and 1.618.
I expect price to first reach the 6.69–6.74 area, where I will be looking for confirmation of a bearish reaction and a potential reversal.
🎯 Targets after confirmation:
• Take 75% of the position near 6.45
• Close the remaining position near 6.34
I am not looking to enter short prematurely — the reaction inside the upper POI is essential. A confident consolidation above 1.618 would invalidate this bearish scenario.
COP | June, 2026 | Continued stock growth- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 113.63
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 106.99 (-5.80 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
XAUUSD 15M: Supply Rejection & Short Continuation MappingOn the 15-minute timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) has rejected the upper descending trendline and major overhead resistance area around the $4,330–$4,340 region. Following this rejection, price pulled back to retest a minor supply/flip zone near $4,314.81, setting up a potential short continuation scenario toward lower support areas.
Technical Reference Levels
Overhead Supply / Rejection Zone: ~$4,314.81 (Local Rejection Level / Resistance Block)
Invalidation / Structural Level: ~$4,324.86 (Above the immediate swing high)
Downside Target Level: ~$4,244.00 (Key lower demand block / target area)
Technical Setup Logic
Following a clean rejection at the higher descending trendline, price retraced into the resistance level at $4,314.81. The technical analysis maps out a potential short continuation out of this supply area, targeting the lower liquidity and demand zone near $4,244.00, with structural invalidation strictly placed above $4,324.86.
Disclaimer & Purpose
This post is strictly for educational, analytical, and charting practice purposes only. It is not a financial idea, trading signal, or investment advice. Always manage your own risk and perform independent research.
$ETH: Market Thoughts BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P
As seen on the chart, price has been trading at the monthly support 📊M-Levels $2368–$2442 for 2 weeks now, making no strong moves to break the level. But there's no real bounce with position building either. Just the flat market everyone hates.
🧩IMA data shows: the largest players have turned and are closing their long bets. Mid-sized players in the top 20 by position size are neutral — sitting on their hands and doing nothing. The previous institutional buying frenzy is gone. And the crowd, as always in these situations, jumped in at the highs and is waiting for the market to keep going up.
You could say capital is leaving the market, real buyers are scarce.
But during the US session, it's the opposite. While the broader market was selling and pulling money out, 🐋large players were buying a bit of the asset on this dip. It's not enough to move the market yet. We should watch the actions of institutions from US funds: if the buying continues, structurally we are already in a phase of stealth long accumulation.
The picture is mixed. The weekly bullish bias is weakening fast, but institutions are buying the dip during the US session.
What's the conclusion? Buyers are holding the lower boundary for now. But since 🐋large players are exiting positions quickly and the market overall is selling, there's downside risk. But calling a bearish flip is premature.
Trying to buy on the support test right now comes with the risk of a market flush.
For a real rally, we need to see large players' interest return to the spot market. Right now, speculators dominate, and we might just see price chop inside the weekly consolidation range 📊W-Levels $2440–$2560.
⚠️If the idea was useful — glad to have your support 🚀.
Analysis based on 🧩IMA (Integrated Market Analysis)
📊M-Levels — Institutional Interest Level (IIL)
XAUUSD: A Bounce Before Another Drop? $4,214 and $4,110 in FocusMarket Overview — Bearish Structure, but Entry Timing Matters
Gold is attempting to recover after another sell-off, but the four-hour chart still favours sellers. The opportunity outlined here is a potential rebound into resistance followed by renewed weakness—not an automatic sell at the current price.
Market Structure — The August Rally Has Lost Its Momentum
The strong August advance reached roughly $4,680–$4,700 before the structure began changing. The marked CHoCH, or “change of character,” highlighted the first warning that buyers were losing control. Subsequent BOS labels—“breaks of structure”—show price moving through earlier swing lows. September’s recovery then stalled near $4,510, followed by weaker rebounds around $4,430–$4,450 and $4,400. Those progressively lower highs are the main reason to favour selling opportunities on a rebound.
Immediate Support — The Reaction Around $4,280–$4,290 Matters
The price has traded below the previous floor around $4,280–$4,290 and rebounded above it. This is a key observation: a move below support does not necessarily indicate a lasting breakdown. From a technical analysis perspective, this could be a sell-side liquidity sweep—a brief movement through previous lows followed by recovery. A completed four-hour close below this area, followed by a failed reclaim, would strengthen the bearish continuation case. Holding above it would leave room for a deeper rebound first .
First Entry Area – Aggressive Retest Around $4,310–$4,340
The smaller shaded zone represents the shallower pullback scenario. If gold rebounds into this area and struggles to move higher, it could provide an early opportunity to follow the bearish trend. However, this is the more aggressive setup as price could recover through it and continue towards the larger supply zone. A touch of the rectangle alone is insufficient; evidence that the rebound has stalled is required.
Second Entry Area – Stronger Structural Resistance Around $4,360–$4,400
The higher shaded zone is located around the latest breakdown area and close to descending trendline resistance. This combination confers greater structural significance than the shallower entry area. A recovery into this region, followed by rejection, would align with the second projected route on the chart. Gold does not need to reach this zone before falling; these are alternative setups to evaluate rather than instructions to continue adding to a losing short position.
Entry Confirmation – Allow the Rebound to Demonstrate Weakness
The entry should be confirmed by observing the rebound’s weakness.
For either zone, a practical confirmation sequence would be a rejection, a decisive close below the rebound’s most recent minor swing low and a retest that fails to recover that broken level. Traders could assess this on a 15-minute or one-hour chart while keeping the four-hour direction in view. Those lower-timeframe triggers are conditions to watch for, not signals already confirmed by this screenshot. If price moves cleanly through a zone and holds above it, that particular rejection setup has not developed.
Downside Targets — Clear the Recent Lows Before Looking Further
The recent low area around $4,250–$4,270 is the first obstacle for another decline. Below that, the chart marks $4,213.58 as the first target and $4,110.40 as the final target. The first objective is a sensible place to reassess momentum and consider reducing exposure. The deeper target becomes more relevant if selling continues through the first level and recovery attempts remain weak. A strong bullish reaction at the first target would be a reason to protect gains rather than assume the entire projected move will unfold.
Volume Profile — Useful Context, Not Proof of Future Selling
The right-hand profile shows substantial historical activity around the overhead $4,350–$4,400 region and another broad concentration lower down around $4,050–$4,125. My interpretation is that these areas deserve attention if price returns to them, as previous trading activity may produce hesitation or consolidation. However, the profile records past activity; it does not reveal future orders or prove that institutions are selling. TradingView also distinguishes its up/down volume calculations from actual buy/sell order flow.
Invalidation — What Would Make Me Reconsider the Bearish Setup?
A convincing four-hour close above $4,400, followed by a successful retest as support, would invalidate the immediate rejection setup from the upper shaded zone. This would open the possibility of a recovery towards $4,430–$4,450 and then $4,480–$4,510. Sustained trading above the September swing high near $4,510 would challenge the broader bearish structure more substantially. An individual trade’s stop should remain separate from these wider outlook levels.
Risk Management — Build the Position Around the Stop
Define the rejection high and protective stop before deciding position size. Judge the potential reward against the distance to the first target rather than relying on the final target to make the trade appear attractive. If using multiple entries, keep the combined exposure within one planned risk budget. Allow for spreads, slippage and US news-related volatility and do not wait for a four-hour candle to close after a protective stop has been reached.
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