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Nifty Analysis EOD – 20 July 2026 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – 20 July 2026 – Monday 🔴
Calm Before Expiry: Bulls and Bears Breathe Easy Inside a 112-Point Cage
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a gap down of 148 points after a weekend filled with geopolitical noise. The very first one-minute candle itself carved out the full 112.45-point range for the day — and then the session just lived inside that range till the close. Compact, yes. But plenty of drama packed in.
The day closed at 24,238.50 (adjusted close 24,238.50). What makes today’s candle interesting is that it fits a near-perfect inside bar pattern by the book — range well within the previous session’s range, both sides contained. With the ATR sitting at 239.60, today’s contraction feels deliberate. The market seems to be coiling energy ahead of tomorrow’s weekly expiry.
My back test data says most Mondays tend to stay within the IB range, or give a fakeout on either side. So I’m usually not looking for an IB breakout trade on Mondays — and that read played out today. The IBL breakdown ended up offering a nice contra trade opportunity instead.
Tomorrow’s opening is the one thing I’ll be watching closely before forming any directional bias for the session. The expiry session usually brings the volatility that today’s session held back.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,190.05
High: 24,266.10
Low: 24,135.85
Close: 24,238.50
Change: −95.80 (−0.39%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Bullish Inside Bar — demand absorbed the gap-down open and recovered toward the upper half
Range: ≈ 130 points — moderate volatility
Body: ≈ 48 points — mild buyer pressure, close well off the lows but below open
Upper Wick: ≈ 28 points — some supply resistance near the highs
Lower Wick: ≈ 54 points — decent demand response from the session lows
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 239.60
IB Range: 112.45 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights:
10:34 Short Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:4.16)
12:11 Long Trade: SL Hit
12:52 Long Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:3.41)
Trade Summary: The short at 10:34 worked well — a 1:4.16 on a Monday inside-range session is not something to take lightly. The 12:11 long got stopped out, which is part of the game in a range-bound session where neither side commits fully. Good that the 12:52 long came back and delivered a 1:3.41. Two targets and one SL — the system held its shape today. Overall a decent Monday, especially given the kind of compressed price action we were working with.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones: 24,260 | 24,300 | 24,360 ~ 24,380 | 24,430 | 24,460
Support Zones: 24,200 ~ 24,160 | 24,100 | 24,030
🧠 Final Thoughts
“Stillness is not absence of direction — it is direction holding its breath.”
Today was one of those sessions where the market said a lot by doing very little. A 148-point gap down at open, and then nearly the entire day spent inside that first candle’s range. The drama was real, just compressed.
For tomorrow, the levels I’m watching are 24,260 and 24,300 on the upside — if those give way early, the 24,360 ~ 24,380 zone becomes the next conversation. On the downside, 24,200 ~ 24,160 is the floor that needs to hold. A clean break below that, and 24,100 comes into the picture quickly on an expiry session.
Tomorrow I’ll let the opening play out before deciding anything. Weekly expiry sessions can flip fast — the plan is to watch, wait for a setup that makes sense, and not force a trade just because it’s expiry day.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is my personal digital diary and represents my own analysis and point of view. It is not financial advice; please consult a professional advisor before making any trading decisions. 
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EURUSD- Bullish Bias, Awaiting DiscountThe higher-time-frame outlook remains bullish. Price continues to respect the overall structural map after breaking key higher-high pivots. Along the way, higher-time-frame internal liquidity and the inducement leg were taken before price engineered liquidity and mitigated into major higher-time-frame points of interest, reinforcing the broader bullish narrative.
On the intermediate time frame, price has respected those higher-time-frame areas by breaking lower highs, printing new highs, sweeping internal liquidity, and engineering additional liquidity legs. This expansion has driven price into a key intermediate point of interest, adding further confluence to the existing higher-time-frame bullish structure.
For the upcoming week, I’m looking for sell-side liquidity to be taken before any continuation higher. Ideally, price retraces into the midterm order block beneath the inducement leg, allowing for a deeper mitigation before bullish expansion resumes.
One detail supporting this expectation is the rejection from the recent highs. The wick at the previous high, along with the rejection around the higher-time-frame structural reference (purple level), suggests a bearish retracement may develop before the next bullish move. Even so, this remains a retracement within an overall bullish market structure unless price proves otherwise.
The purple structural levels are plotted to highlight higher-time-frame internal structure and provide additional confluence when tracking potential turning points.
For now, patience remains the priority. I’ll let the market reveal its next move, track the footprints as they develop, and wait for confirmation before considering execution. AUD/JPY- Waiting for Deeper MitigationThe higher-time-frame outlook remains bullish. Price continues to print higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing the overall bullish structure. After sweeping a major external sell-side liquidity pool, price reacted from a higher-time-frame point of interest, providing the foundation for bullish continuation. The subsequent break of the intermediate lower high confirmed the shift in structure and strengthened the bullish narrative.
On the intermediate time frame, price engineered liquidity by first taking an internal inducement before expanding into a larger liquidity pool. Following the structural shift, price established a new high and is now beginning to retrace.
At the moment, I’m waiting for the current intermediate sell-side liquidity to be fully developed into a deeper mitigation. Ideally, I’d like to see price retrace toward the 50% equilibrium or a deeper point of interest before considering bullish continuation.
Price is currently reacting from an order block that could produce an immediate rally. However, because it’s located in a premium area and follows the first liquidity sweep, I view it as a lower-probability reaction. Markets often create traps after the initial liquidity event, so I’m more interested in allowing price to seek deeper discount before looking for stronger confirmation.
The purple levels mark higher-time-frame confluence, while the orange zones identify my primary areas of interest. The middle zone represents the decisional area, and the lower zone represents the extreme point of interest where I’d have the greatest interest if price reaches it.
For now, patience remains the priority. I’ll continue tracking price action and waiting for acceptance within my areas of interest before considering any long positions.
GBP/USD - Bullish Structure HoldsThe higher-time-frame outlook remains bullish. Market structure continues to hold, with price taking out intermediate highs while preserving the overall bullish framework. No significant lows have been violated, keeping the trend intact and maintaining the objective of reaching higher-time-frame external liquidity.
From an intermediate perspective, price has mitigated key higher-time-frame points of interest, adding confluence to the bullish bias. Along the way, internal liquidity has been taken and new liquidity has been engineered, which is consistent with a healthy bullish structural leg rather than a reversal.
Going into the new week, I’m expecting price to first sweep the current internal liquidity before mitigating lower-time-frame points of interest beneath price. If those areas fail to hold, I’ll anticipate a deeper engineered pullback into a larger liquidity pool before looking for continuation toward the premium objective. Regardless of the depth, my higher-time-frame bias remains unchanged until structure is invalidated.
The lower time frames are also aligned with the higher-time-frame narrative. Rather than chasing price, I’m waiting for sell-side liquidity to be taken and lower-time-frame points of interest to be respected before looking for long opportunities.
One detail worth noting is that the previous higher-time-frame lower high (highlighted by the purple zone) has already been broken. That shift reinforces the expectation that price has reset its objective and is now positioned to seek new external liquidity.
Note: The purple zones represent higher-time-frame confluence areas and are included as additional structural reference points—not standalone entry signals.
For now, patience remains the edge. I’ll continue tracking liquidity, waiting for my confirmations, and allowing price to come into my areas of interest before considering execution.
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