Rectangle
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Another BoS
WTI Crude Oil violated another daily support, closing below 73.46 level.
The next strong support is 70.5
With a high probability, it will be reached soon.
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SPCX: $190 Breakout Trigger vs $184 Breakdown LevelThe price pulled back exactly to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the previous move.
Looking at the chart, we can see a downtrend that can be drawn in a couple of different ways that’s why I marked two yellow trendlines. Instead of focusing on one exact line, I’m treating the space between them (the red rectangle) as a consolidation zone.
This range should give us a better idea of where the next move is likely heading and help define the trade setup.
Bullish scenario :
If price breaks above $190 with a strong move and holds above the zone, I’m looking for a long position targeting a move toward a new ATH.
Bearish scenario :
If price loses the consolidation area and breaks below $184 with conviction, I’m looking for a short setup targeting the 0.882 Fibonacci level at $165.43.
For now, I’m watching the breakout direction, the next move out of this range should give the clearer signal.
Short Idea Liquidity Gap TargetThe Euro against the Canadian Dollar is presenting a highly technical cyclical setup on the 4-hour framework.
Technical View: Looking at the structured frameworks mapped in this pair, price action has completed a highly precise cyclical transition. Following a deep (A)-(B)-(C)-(D)-(E) corrective sequence, the market unleashed an aggressive, full five-wave motive structure labeled (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5) directly off the structural lows. Out of this impulsive leg, a large Harmonic Bat structure is now actively crystallizing.
A critical structural feature to note is the prominent liquidity price gap highlighted by the red box. Gaps of this nature act as an institutional magnet, representing an unhedged pocket of order flow that the market routinely returns to rebalance.
The previous week labor data is further amplified by the high-profile kickoff of the 2026 FIFA World Cup across Canada. The massive, immediate transactional demand for the Loonie to fund international tourism, transit, and hospitality creates a continuous structural bid for the currency. This dual force of stellar employment data and global sports tourism inflows provides the precise fundamental pressure needed to drive EURCAD down to our defined support targets.
#EURCAD #Forex #ElliottWave #HarmonicTrading #BatPattern #PriceGap #TechnicalAnalysis #MacroTrading
This is for educational and research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
CHFJPY, 4H Double Bottom Set Up
CHFJPY has broken out of a consolidation range on the 4H timeframe, signalling growing bullish momentum. The move is further supported by a Double Bottom pattern, with price now breaking above the neckline confirmation level.
With buyers in control, a BUY setup remains valid, targeting the next key supply zone as TP1. Traders should monitor price action for continued strength above the breakout area.
BTC Bulls Need to Defend 62,500Hi friends! ☀️
Locally, the situation has stabilized, and Bitcoin is attempting to establish itself above 62,500.
I have marked this level as the Decision Zone ❗️❗️❗️ because a successful hold above it could open the door to a relatively quick move toward 64,890.
If price fails to hold current levels, however, we will likely see the correction continue toward the 60,000 area.
🔪 At the same time, the bigger picture still looks noticeably weaker. Considering the scale of the decline over the past few months, the bounce from 59,100 to 64,100 has been fairly modest, and the current consolidation looks more like a pause before the next leg down than a true reversal structure.
🧐 To sum it up, 62,500 remains the key level to watch. Holding above it would open the path toward 64,890, but the broader market structure remains weak, and the current recovery still looks more like a corrective bounce than the beginning of a new uptrend.
That is why the market's reaction around 62,500 will likely determine the direction of the next major move.
Peace! 🌄
BANK OF BARODABank of Baroda Ltd. (CMP ₹273.75, NSE: BANKBARODA)
Prepared by Sucrit Patil | The SmartWay Research Desk | 10 June 2026
A Vadodara‑based public sector bank, incorporated in 1908. Bank of Baroda is India’s second‑largest PSU bank, with global operations across 17 countries, offering retail banking, corporate banking, treasury, and digital services.
Promoter Holding (Mar 2026): Government of India — 63.97% stake (no pledges)
FY22–FY26 Snapshot
Revenue Growth: FY26 revenue ₹1,15,215 Cr vs ₹1,02,842 Cr in FY25 (+12.0% YoY). → Good
Net Profit: FY26 PAT ₹16,215 Cr vs ₹14,842 Cr in FY25 (+9.2% YoY). → Good
Operating Margin: FY26 NIM 3.41% vs 3.28% last year (+13 bps). → Good
Equity Capital: Stable, face value ₹2. → Good
Dividend Policy: Dividend ₹7.50/share declared for FY26. → Good
Asset Quality: Gross NPA 3.12% vs 3.45% last year (improved). → Good
EPS: FY26 EPS ₹28.25 vs ₹25.80 last year (+9.5%). → Good
Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends (Mar 2026)
Promoter Holding: 63.97% (Government of India)
FII Holding: 8.12%
DII Holding: 18.34%
Retail & Others: 9.57%
Strategic Moves & Innovations
Expansion in digital banking and fintech partnerships.
Focus on retail lending, MSME financing, and housing loans.
Strengthening international operations in UAE, UK, and Africa.
Emphasis on asset quality improvement and NPA reduction.
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet Strength
Market cap ~₹1,05,800 Cr.
Debt‑to‑equity ratio ~0.12 (low leverage).
Book value per share ₹152.40; P/B ~1.79.
EPS (TTM) ₹28.25; P/E ~9.7.
Risk Factors
Dependence on interest rate cycles and RBI policy.
Exposure to corporate loan stress.
Competition from SBI, PNB, and private banks.
Margin pressure if deposit costs rise.
Investor Takeaway
Bank of Baroda has delivered steady FY26 performance, with revenue and profit growth supported by retail lending and improved asset quality. With strong government backing, dividend payouts, and global presence, Bank of Baroda remains a large‑cap PSU banking play. At CMP ₹273.75, valuations are attractive (P/E ~9.7, P/B ~1.79), making it a value pick among PSU banks.
Support Test in Progress: $62.5KHi, friends 🧨
Today's update will be a short one, as price action is developing very rapidly and uncertainty continues to dominate the market. At the moment, that uncertainty seems to favor the bears 🔪
We didn't even come close to reaching the upper boundary of the 62,500–64,890 range and have now moved down to test its lower boundary at 62,500.
If we don't see a convincing bounce from this level within the next few hours, we could be looking at a continuation of the correction toward the 60,000 area 📉
Peace! 🌄
CORN FUTURES ...Up DateCORN FUTURES
Wyckoff / Market Profile
The current structure is either:
Scenario 1 — Reaccumulation If 417 holds and price reclaims 436/441:
369 = Selling Climax
488 = Automatic Rally
417/420 = Secondary Test / LPS candidate
Scenario 2 — Markdown continuation
If 417 fails:
488 was distribution high
420 is only temporary pause
next liquidation targets are 394 and 369.
Weekly POC at 441.2 is the key auction magnet. Below it, auction remains bearish. Above it, repair toward 452–459 becomes likely.
Trade Location & Invalidation
Long setup
Only attractive if:
417 holds
reclaim 430.2
acceptance above 436
ideally reclaim 441.2 WPOC
Invalidation:
Daily close below 417
stronger invalidation below 394
Short setup
Better after weak bounce: 436–441 rejection
or 452–459 rejection
Invalidation:
strong acceptance above 459.4
stronger bullish confirmation above 488
Probability Ranking
1) Base case — Bounce attempt from 417/420
45% probability
Target: 430 → 436 → 441.2
2) Bearish continuation
35% probability
Trigger: clean break below 417
Targets: 394 → 369
3) Reaccumulation triangle confirmed
20% probability now
Needs: reclaim 441.2, then hold above 417 on the next pullback.
Bottom line: Corn is no longer a clean short at 420.6. The bearish move has already delivered. Now the market is at a tactical decision zone: 417 must hold for the triangle/reaccumulation thesis.
Bitcoin Reclaims Higher Range — What's Next?Hello traders!
In my previous post, I warned that after the consecutive breakdown of nearly all major support levels: “the next attempt at a bounce and consolidation would likely come from the 60,000 level.”
That is exactly how the market played out. We saw a strong reaction from 60,000, followed by a quick recovery not only back into the 60,000–62,500 range, but even one step higher — into the 62,500–64,890 range.
❗️📈It is now very important to watch how price behaves as it approaches 64,890. The reaction at this level should give us a good indication of the short-term direction.
• If we break above this level, the next target could be 67,600.
• If price gets rejected, we could fall back to 62,500 and potentially even revisit 60,000.
On the positive side, we have finally stopped forming lower highs and lower lows, which gives the bulls some room to breathe. On the negative side, there is a very clear bearish divergence on the 1-hour chart, which may require a cooldown before any further upside.
Peace everyone 🌄
MESM June 8: Bounce watch 7473, then 7533MESM analysis for Monday, June 8
MESM is trying to bounce after last week’s sell-off, and for me today is more of a station-by-station session than a day to be aggressively bullish or bearish.
On the 4H chart, I’m watching 7473 as the first bounce target. If bulls can keep pushing after that, then the next upside level for me is 7533.
On the downside, I’m still watching the overnight low / liquidity around 7355.
On the 1H chart, the structure remains similar, and 7386 is the key support level for me. If we get a 1H close below 7386, then I think price could continue lower toward 7355.
On the 15M chart, the same higher-time-frame levels are still in play, with 7473 and 7533 as the upside stations.
Key levels
7473 = first bounce target
7533 = second upside target
7386 = key support
7355 = downside liquidity
Plan for today
Stay patient and trade it station by station
Watch 7473 first on the bounce
If bulls stay strong, watch 7533 next
If price loses 7386, watch for downside toward 7355
Not financial advice. No confirmation, no trade. CME_MINI:MESM2026
GBPUSD Testing Key Support Within Regression ChannelGBPUSD is approaching a critical support zone near the lower boundary of its regression trend channel. Price has respected this area multiple times in the past, making it an important level for buyers to defend.
As long as support remains intact, the broader structure favors a potential move toward higher resistance levels. A confirmed reaction from this zone could signal renewed bullish momentum, while a break below support would weaken the current outlook.
Summary: Key support under test. Holding this level could open the path for a bullish continuation toward the upper channel region.
BTC Keeps Repeating the Same Bearish PatternHello, traders!🧨
We continue to watch the crash unfold in real time⚰️
The decline is developing in waves, following almost the exact same pattern each time: a key horizontal support breaks, price attempts to move into a sideways range, fails, and then another leg down follows.
❗️First, the 67,600 level was lost. After that, price attempted to establish a range between 64,890 and 67,600. The attempt failed, and the market moved lower.
❗️Over the past 24 hours, the same scenario repeated once again. The 64,890 level was broken, followed by an attempt to form a range between 62,500 and 64,890. That attempt also failed, leading to another wave of selling.
✅✅✅The next potential bounce and attempt to move into a sideways range could occur around the 60,000 level.
For now, the market structure remains unchanged — every local range ends with a downside breakout and a continuation of the downtrend.
Peace🌄
AUDCHF: Important Breakout 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF broke and closed above a horizontal resistance
of a consolidation range on a daily time frame.
It indicates a strong buying interest.
The price will likely continue rising and reach 0.5674 level.
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BCH in a Congestion/Consolidation Zone BCH has been in a well-defined rectangular pattern for over a year. It got rejected from the resistance multiple times. Every time the volume dried up as it approached the ceiling.
It has approached the floor as trader that trade this range and look for entries. However, the volume on the downside has been massive and it has halted at the support side.
A decisive moment awaits, for the trend to act as a reversal or flip back to the top. A break below the horizontal support with unmistakable surge in volume, increases the risk to reward on the downside.
A cross below with an average or low volume shall be considered a fake-out and the target will no longer be valid. The following weeks will predict a direction.
Using an ATR at the support area would help from getting stopped if price were to reverse for the upper boundary.
GOOGL - Do you want to know how I got these levels?Good Evening Ladies and Gentlemen,
You know what I've noticed? Nobody panics when price stays inside the box. Even if the chop is horrifying. If tomorrow I tell the street that a retail trader blew up their account trying to catch a falling knife, nobody panics, because it's all "part of the plan." But when I say one little orange floor at 365.89 is going to break... well, then everyone loses their minds!
Google is currently playing in the dirt at 361.84, having sliced right through that itty bitty support node at 363.15. The bulls set up their little rally, thinking they'd be safe at the bottom of the orange box. But the market just proved it doesn't care about their order blocks.
Right now, the bulls are looking up at 365.89, hoping they'll get let back inside. But price is officially trading outside of value, and gravity is taking over.
It's simple. We trade the reactions at the edge:
Above 365.89: If they somehow crawl back into the box and accept it, fine. The schemers get their little rotation back up toward 379.04. The established order resumes. Boring. Alternatively, a clean LBAF (Look Below And Fail) at the previous day low of 358.43 gives us the perfect trap to punish early shorts and ride it back up into the box.
Rejection at 363.15 or 365.89: This is where the fun begins. Trading higher first, or a bounce that gets smacked back down here, means I favor downside continuation—especially if trading higher first. And if they give us a LAAF (Look Above And Fail) at the previous day high? That’s the PERFECT setup to introduce a little anarchy, targeting the previous day low at 358.43.
Below 358.43: If they slice through yesterday's low like it isn't even there (no LBAF games), GOOGL will take a walk down Crime Alley to get mugged in the dark at the 353.22 volume node. And if that level doesn't save the day, then the trapdoor opens to 347.82.
Madness...entropy, whatever you wanna call it...is like gravity. All it takes is a little push. And right now, GOOGL is teetering on the edge. It needs to prove whether it's reclaiming the box, or if we're putting a frown on Sundar's face.
Remember friends...
This is not financial advice, I'm just a guy with an interest and a Celsius addiction... and tonight I'm a man of my word.
~The Villain
JUP Update (12H)Since I shared JUP in my previous analysis, JUP did exactly what was expected.
Now there is a possibility for JUP to make another rally.
Many altcoins like LBA (veya hangi coin ise), XLM, etc. are doing the same.
Simple range, breakout test, second accumulation, and breakout.
After JUP cleaned its liquidity areas, the downside momentum has slowed down.
Take a closer look at the volume profile I marked on the right side of the chart.
It simply shows that whoever wants JUP at a higher price already bought it around the first range zone.
Watch the $0.20 area closely; if it breaks, JUP will climb higher.
Thanks for reading.






















