EURJPY: Important Breakout 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY broke and closed above a significant daily resistance cluster.
It turned into a potentially strong support.
The price will likely bounce from that and reach 186.23 level soon.
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Technical Analysis
MASON XAUUSD – Bullish Setup Above 4,012 Buy Zone
XAUUSD is trading around 4,036 after forming a short-term base above the 4,012 buy order zone. Price is still below the descending trendline, but the current structure shows that buyers are trying to defend the lower support area.
The priority view is bullish recovery, as long as gold holds above 4,012 and breaks the 4,065 resistance with clear confirmation.
Technical View
Gold is currently moving inside a short-term corrective structure after the previous bearish move. However, the selling pressure is slowing down around the 4,012 buy order zone, where price has started to build a stronger reaction base.
The 4,012 area is the most important support on this chart. If gold pulls back into this zone and holds, it may confirm a higher low before the next bullish leg. This would support the idea that buyers are preparing for a recovery move.
The descending trendline is still acting as the main resistance. Price needs to break above this trendline and the 4,065 resistance level to confirm stronger bullish momentum. Without this breakout, the recovery may remain limited.
The 4,065 level is the first key resistance. A clean breakout and retest above this level may open the way toward the 4,119 sell order resistance zone. This is the main upside target marked on the chart.
If buyers continue to control the structure above 4,065, gold may extend higher toward the Fibonacci resistance area above 4,119. But the first important step is still confirmation above the trendline.
Key Zones
Current price: 4,036
Main buy order zone: 4,012–4,020
Short-term support: 4,020–4,030
Breakout resistance: 4,065
Descending trendline resistance: 4,060–4,070
Sell order resistance: 4,119–4,125
Higher Fibonacci target: 4,145–4,160
Invalidation: below 3,980
Trading Plan
Buy Priority: 4,012–4,020
Condition: wait for bullish rejection, higher low formation, or price holding above the buy order zone before looking for continuation.
SL: below 3,980
TP1: 4,065
TP2: 4,119–4,125
TP3: 4,145–4,160
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks above 4,065 directly, wait for a retest of this level as support before looking for buy continuation toward 4,119. A clean hold above 4,065 would confirm that the short-term recovery is gaining strength.
Sell View
Sell is not the priority while price holds above 4,012. A short-term sell reaction may appear around 4,065 or 4,119, but it should only be treated as a correction unless gold breaks below 3,980.
Final View
Overall, gold is still below the descending trendline, but the price action around 4,012 shows that buyers are defending the market. The cleaner plan is to wait for price to hold the buy order zone or break above 4,065. If confirmation appears, the bullish path toward 4,119 and 4,145 remains in focus.
Will gold hold the 4,012 buy zone and break the trendline, or retest the lower support first before the next bullish move?
NZDJPY Eyes Bullish Wave (5)NZDJPY has declined over the past few weeks, but the structure still appears corrective rather than impulsive. The recent weakness can be interpreted as a sharp three-wave pullback, potentially representing wave (4) within a larger five-wave bullish impulse.
If this wave count is correct, the pair could soon resume its uptrend in wave (5). The first upside target comes into the 96.00–97.00 resistance area, while a stronger extension could see NZDJPY rally toward the 99.00 region before the broader impulsive sequence is complete.
USDCHF: Sellers remain in control below the 0.8100 levelUSDCHF continues to trade within a bearish structure, with recovery attempts stalled around the 0.8090–0.8100 zone. On the H4 chart, price action shows a consolidation phase near the lows without establishing a higher high, indicating that buying interest remains cautious.
Fundamentals also favor the CHF. US CPI and PPI data coming in below expectations have weighed on US bond yields, while demand for the CHF remains supported by its status as a safe-haven asset. This limits the likelihood of a sustained USDCHF recovery.
From a technical perspective, the 0.8100–0.8106 zone—confluent with the Ichimoku cloud and horizontal resistance—represents a significant area for selling. The preferred scenario sees the price retracing to test this zone before turning lower toward the 0.8036 support level. Downward pressure will only truly subside if the price breaks decisively above 0.8106.
XAUUSD — Wave 5 Into Support?
Gold is still moving inside the descending channel.
Price is trading around 4,020 - 4,025, right near the short-term support area.
But this is not a clean reversal yet.
The chart is showing a possible wave 5 move, and the sell zone above price is still important.
For me, today is simple:
Gold is not weak by accident.
It is following the channel structure.
The simple read
Gold remains under short-term bearish pressure while price stays below the sell zone around 4,030 - 4,040.
The current support is near 4,018.
If buyers defend 4,018, gold may create a small recovery back toward the sell zone.
But if 4,018 breaks clearly, the next downside area becomes the strong support zone around 3,985 - 3,995.
This is the zone where I would watch for a stronger reaction.
Key price zones
Current price area: 4,020 - 4,025
Sell zone wave 5: 4,030 - 4,040
Strong support: 4,018
Main lower support: 3,985 - 3,995
Bearish channel pressure weakens above: 4,040
Trading plan
📉 Bearish continuation scenario
If gold rejects from 4,030 - 4,040:
Sellers may try to push price back below 4,018.
If 4,018 fails, the next target area is 3,985 - 3,995.
This would keep gold inside the bearish channel structure.
I do not want to sell late at support.
I prefer rejection confirmation from the sell zone.
📈 Support reaction scenario
If gold holds above 4,018:
A short-term bounce may appear.
Price could retest 4,030 - 4,040 again.
But this is only a reaction while gold remains inside the descending channel.
A stronger recovery needs price to break and hold above 4,040.
📉 Deeper support scenario
If 4,018 breaks clearly:
Gold may continue toward 3,985 - 3,995.
This lower zone is the stronger support area on the chart.
If buyers defend that area with clear price action, gold may create a better reaction later.
Tiara’s View
A support touch is not always a buy.
Sometimes price touches support, bounces slightly, then continues lower.
That is why I want to see the reaction first.
For today, 4,018 is the first decision level.
But 3,985 - 3,995 is the deeper zone that may matter more if the channel keeps control.
Main view:
Gold remains cautious below 4,040.
4,030 - 4,040 is the sell reaction zone.
4,018 is the first support.
3,985 - 3,995 is the stronger lower support.
Reaction first.
Confirmation second.
Trade last.
No confirmation = no trade.
Do you think gold will defend 4,018, or does wave 5 need to test the lower support first?
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CADCHF: Bullish Move From Support 🇨🇦🇨🇭
I think that CADCHF will continue rising after a test of a strong intraday support.
A double bottom pattern formation indicates the strength of the buyers.
Goal - 0.57465
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Gold (XAUUSD) | 15 Min Technical Analysis 15/07/26Gold has pulled back into an important demand zone after completing a recent Fibonacci retracement. Instead of trying to predict the next move, I'm focusing on how price reacts around key technical levels.
This chart highlights areas where buyers and sellers have previously shown interest. The reaction from the current zone may provide useful clues about short-term market direction.
Price is currently testing a highlighted demand zone after a healthy pullback.
The Fibonacci retracement is used here as a reference to identify potential reaction levels, not as a prediction tool.
If buyers continue defending this area, price may gradually revisit the marked resistance zones above.
The highlighted resistance levels represent areas where selling pressure could appear again.
A move below the structure invalidation level would indicate that the current market structure is weakening.
For now, the focus remains on how price behaves around support rather than anticipating the next move.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading or investment decisions.
— @TraderRahulPal
SCA Registered Financial Influencer (Dubai, UAE)
EURGBP: Oversold Market & Pullback 🇪🇺🇬🇧
EURGBP may start recovering after an extended wave down.
I see a valid bullish CHoCH on an hourly time frame as a confirmation.
Goal - 0.849
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XAUUSD: Sellers Remain in Control Below the Downtrend LineFollowing a strong rebound from the support zone, gold failed to sustain its upward momentum, facing repeated rejection at the downtrend line that has persisted since the start of the week. Each approach to the resistance zone triggered fresh selling pressure, resulting in a series of lower highs—a clear indication that sellers remain in control.
Fundamentally, the US dollar has remained stable as the market continues to weigh the likelihood of the Federal Reserve maintaining high interest rates for a longer period, while elevated oil prices stoke inflation concerns. These factors continue to weigh on gold, suggesting that recent rebounds are primarily technical in nature rather than the start of a new uptrend.
On the H1 chart, the price is fluctuating within a contracting triangle pattern just below the downtrend line. The preferred scenario involves a price retest of the 4,055–4,060 zone, followed by a rejection and a breakdown below the 4,020 level, potentially paving the way for a deeper decline toward the 3,992 area.
$SPY & $SPX — Levels and Scenarios for Thursday, July 16, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX — Levels and Scenarios for Thursday, July 16, 2026
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
8:30 AM | Core Retail Sales m/m | Forecast: 0.0% | Previous: 0.8%
8:30 AM | Philly Fed Manufacturing Index | Forecast: 12.7 | Previous: 10.3
8:30 AM | Retail Sales m/m | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: 0.9%
8:30 AM | Unemployment Claims | Forecast: 216K | Previous: 215K
Speakers
9:00 PM | President Trump speaks
⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #RetailSales #JoblessClaims
ASTI 1D: When solar power reaches beyond earthAscent Solar Technologies is developing one of the most unique stories in the renewable energy sector. The company produces flexible CIGS solar panels designed for space applications, drones, aviation, and next generation energy systems, targeting markets where efficiency and weight matter more than cost.
Fundamentally , ASTI remains a high risk growth story. In Q1 2026, revenue came in at just $0.05 million, while net loss widened to $2.18 million. EPS was -$0.27 versus analyst expectations of -$0.19, highlighting that the company is still in the early stages of commercialization.
Liquidity improved significantly after a $10 million PIPE financing and $6.7 million from warrant exercises, increasing cash reserves to $16.1 million. However, management continues to include a Going Concern warning, acknowledging that current revenue levels are insufficient to achieve positive cash flow in 2026 without additional funding.
The most important catalyst remains the partnership with Momentus through the TASSA solar array program for small satellites. ASTI's lightweight flexible solar technology is designed to deliver high power output while minimizing payload mass, making it attractive for the rapidly expanding space economy.
Technically , the setup is far more constructive than the fundamentals. Price has established a demand zone between $5.14 and $5.62, where the 0.705 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels converge. The stock has already started reacting higher from this area.
The chart is supported by a Golden Cross between the 50 day and 100 day moving averages, while an unfilled FVG remains above current price and could act as a magnet for future upside. ADX continues to signal trend strength, and volume has improved following the bounce from support, although activity remains below long term averages.
The first upside target sits near $9.80, with a secondary target around $13.48.
ASTI remains a speculative opportunity with limited revenue, ongoing losses, and potential dilution risks. But markets rarely reward current fundamentals alone. They reward future potential. If flexible solar technology becomes a critical component of the next generation space industry, today's valuation may look very different in the years ahead.
Engineers India Share Price Analysis: Multi-Year Consolidation NEngineers India (EIL) is approaching a crucial inflection point on the 3-month chart, where a prolonged higher timeframe consolidation is nearing completion. After a sharp rally from the 2023 lows, the stock has spent several quarters consolidating between ₹200 and ₹250, allowing earlier gains to be absorbed while building a stronger price base.
The repeated rejection near ₹248–250 has established this zone as a key long-term resistance. At the same time, every corrective phase has formed higher lows, indicating that buyers are accumulating on declines rather than exiting positions. This tightening price structure often precedes a decisive directional move.
Volume activity during the 2023–2025 rally expanded meaningfully, suggesting institutional participation behind the uptrend. Although volumes have moderated during the recent consolidation, there has been no signs of aggressive distribution, which is typically a constructive characteristic of healthy base-building.
A sustained breakout above ₹250 on strong volume would confirm the completion of this multi-quarter consolidation and could open the door for the next structural leg higher. Until then, the stock remains in a consolidation phase with a positive long-term bias.
From a positional perspective, Engineers India stands out as a high-conviction watchlist candidate, where investors can monitor for a confirmed breakout rather than chase prices prematurely. A breakout from such higher timeframe consolidations often results in stronger and more sustainable trends than shorter-term technical setups.
BTC/USD Say it Witcha ChestThis has been a fun period of waiting to see if BTC had the market won over at 24k but that was a hard sella and has come back from 20k range. DXY is still a healthy threat but with the worlds reserves of USD continue to diminish this becomes an interesting pair. For those interested look at DXY/BTC chart, tells a good story about where we are. Either way this chart here shows a great opportunity for BTC to bounce and end this pull back.
GBP/CHF BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GBP/CHF with the target of 1.081 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USOIL SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 79.95
Target Level: 78.27
Stop Loss: 81.07
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
BTC - Inflation Data Supports a Key Technical Test!BTC (Bitcoin) received additional support from the recent softer-than-expected US CPI and PPI reports, which improved sentiment across risk assets and increased the probability of bullish momentum in the cryptocurrency market.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin remains within a broader bearish structure, continuing to trade inside the red falling triangle.
Following the recent rejection from the lower boundary of the triangle and the weekly demand area, price has recovered and is now approaching a key trigger area around 67,500. Adding more confluence to the bullish scenario is a developing bullish divergence, which may serve as an early indication that bearish momentum is beginning to weaken.
⭕A break above this trigger area would provide the first indication that buyers are regaining momentum, opening the door for a move toward the upper boundary of the falling triangle, or even the upper resistance area.
⭕However, if the current trigger area continues to hold, price may remain under pressure, keeping the broader bearish structure intact while extending the current consolidation.
The reaction around this level may provide valuable insight into whether the recent macro-driven optimism is strong enough to support a larger recovery, or if sellers are ready to defend the broader bearish structure once again.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal market view and is not financial advice.
Rayan Nasser
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Trading #MarketStructure #CPI #PPI
USDJPY: Another Bullish Accumulation 🇺🇸🇯🇵
It looks like USDJPY is preparing for another bullish movement.
I see an ascending triangle pattern on a daily time frame.
Its breakout and a daily candle close above its neckline will provide a strong bullish signal.
The price will continue rising at least to 163.5 level then.
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SPY Is Back At The Ceiling It Has Fought For Two Weeks.SPY Is Back At The Ceiling It Has Fought For Two Weeks.
SPY reclaimed 751 as the shakeout resolved and is now pressing 753, right back under the 755.66 highs. The structure has repaired underneath it: the daily is Impulse Continuation Bull again with a 230-bar bull print standing and anti-signals clear. This is the same ceiling that has capped price for two weeks, but this time it is being approached with structure on side rather than the conviction divergence that turned it down before. This is the one name where a confirmed break is leanable, so 755.66 is the level that matters. Not there yet.
Resistance: 755.66 - the two-week ceiling
Key resistance: 758.00 - open air above
Current price: 753.15
Support: 751.00 - the reclaimed level, first hold
Key support: 748.00 - interior support
Structural floor: 739.34 - the swept low
Two paths from here:
The ceiling breaks on a confirmed close. If SPY clears 755.66 and holds it, two weeks of range resolves upward and there is open air above. With daily structure now bull and prints clean, this is the break that would unlock a long lean on the one instrument where breaks actually carry an edge.
The ceiling rejects again. 755.66 has held every attempt for two weeks. A rejection and a loss of 751 puts the range back in force and 748, then 740, back in view. Respect the level until it goes on a close.
Third trip to 755.66 in two weeks, and the first with the daily structure repaired beneath it. A confirmed break is the leanable event here; a rejection keeps it a range. Watching the close.
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Study, not financial advice.
NVDA Held The Reclaim, Coiling Under 212.55.NVDA Held The Reclaim, Coiling Under 212.55.
Nvidia held everything it took back yesterday. After running to 212.55 it is consolidating at 211.58, sitting on top of the reclaimed 207.59 with the high just overhead. The daily has flipped to a bullish thesis with strong top-quartile conviction, but two things keep this honest: the daily is reading DISBELIEF, meaning the move has run ahead of participation, and an old bear print is still standing on the daily, uncleared. Momentum reclaimed, belief not yet. Neutral.
Resistance: 212.55 - yesterday's high
Key resistance: 213.43 - the shelf above
Current price: 211.58
Support: 207.59 - reclaimed, the line to hold
Key support: 204.82 - interior support
Structural floor: 202.20 - the base, breakdown invalidation
Two paths from here:
The coil breaks up through 212.55. If NVDA holds 207.59 and pushes the high, the failed breakdown becomes a trend leg and 213.43-plus opens. Disbelief resolving into belief is the fuel for that move.
The disbelief wins and it slips back. An uncleared daily bear print plus disbelief at the highs is an overhang, not a green light. A loss of 207.59 puts 204.82 and the base back in view, and the day reads as a bounce that stalled.
NVDA took back the entire drop and is holding it. The tell now is whether belief catches up to price - through 212.55 says yes, back under 207.59 says not yet.
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BTC Held The Breakout And Printed A New High.BTC Held The Breakout And Printed A New High.
Yesterday Bitcoin ran through the range and tagged 65,001. Overnight it went one better, printing a new high at 65,235 before easing to 64,629 and holding the entire move. The difference from yesterday matters: live conviction on the hour has flipped genuinely bullish now (Q1, 67.3) instead of the bottom-quartile fade it carried at the highs yesterday. The divergence is gone. The only knock is stretch, not direction - the high just got swept again and the 4H is in extension mode with range expanded. A held breakout that is now extended.
Resistance: 65,033.53-65,235.25 - the new high
Key resistance: 65,890.29 - next shelf overhead
Current price: 64,629
Support: 64,400.89 - the level to hold
Key support: 63,625.81-63,796.21 - the reclaimed shelf, breakout invalidation
Structural floor: 62,459.75 - range floor, with 4H demand at 61,000 and 59,000 beneath
Two paths from here:
The consolidation holds and 65,235 gives way. If BTC digests above 64,400 while conviction stays Q1, the new high breaks and 65,890 opens. For the first time in this run the conviction surface agrees with price, which is what a real breakout is supposed to look like.
The extension unwinds. An active high-sweep plus 4H extension mode are the stretch tells, and price is a long way from support. A loss of 64,400 puts 63,625 back in play and reframes the new high as a sweep. Note tomorrow is the BTC Thursday gate, the one calendar day with a validated directional lean - worth watching, not worth pre-positioning.
Overnight the move held and conviction finally caught up to price. Extended is the only complaint. 64,400 holds it, 65,235 opens it.
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Study, not financial advice.
WTI Strong Recovery Toward $80, Can Bulls Turn the Trend Around?Market View
WTI Crude Oil is currently trading around the $80.00 area on the 4H chart after a strong recovery from the lower support zone near $67.00–$68.00. The market had been under clear selling pressure for several weeks, but the latest rebound shows that buyers have finally started to regain short-term control.
The recent move is important because the price has recovered above the $76.00–$78.00 area and is now testing the psychological $80.00 level. This suggests that the previous bearish momentum is weakening, but the broader structure has not fully turned bullish yet.
Right now, WTI is approaching a key resistance zone. If buyers can hold above the recent breakout area and push through $80.00–$82.00, the recovery may continue. If sellers defend this zone, the market may enter a short-term pullback after the strong rebound.
Key Areas
From a market structure perspective, WTI is shifting from a broader bearish structure into a short-term recovery structure.
The previous trend was clearly bearish, with the price forming lower highs and lower lows from the higher range above $100.00. However, after finding support around $67.00–$68.00, the price built a base and started forming higher short-term lows.
The first key resistance zone is $80.00–$82.00. This is the immediate area where sellers may react, especially after the strong recovery from the lows.
If WTI breaks above $82.00, the next resistance zone is around $84.00–$86.00. A stronger bullish continuation would require the price to reclaim this area.
On the downside, the nearest key support zone is $78.00–$76.00. This is the recent breakout and reaction area. Holding above this zone would keep the recovery structure alive.
Below that, $74.00–$72.00 becomes the next important support zone. If this area breaks, the recovery may start to lose strength.
Forward Outlook
For the bullish scenario, WTI needs to hold above $78.00–$76.00 and break above $80.00–$82.00 with confirmation. If this happens, buyers may push the price toward $84.00–$86.00.
If momentum remains strong above $86.00, the next upside area to watch would be $88.00–$90.00. A sustained move into that zone would suggest that the recovery is becoming more convincing.
For the bearish scenario, if WTI rejects from $80.00–$82.00 and falls back below $76.00, short-term momentum may weaken. In that case, price could pull back toward $74.00–$72.00.
A clean break below $72.00 would suggest that the recent rebound is losing strength, and sellers may try to push the price back toward the $70.00–$68.00 support area.
Market Sentiment
Market sentiment is currently neutral to cautiously bullish.
Buyers have clearly improved the short-term structure, and the rebound from $67.00–$68.00 is a positive signal. However, WTI is now testing an important resistance area near $80.00–$82.00, so confirmation is still needed.
Above $82.00, recovery momentum may strengthen.
Below $76.00, short-term pullback risk may increase.
Please share your view below:
Will WTI Crude Oil break above $82.00 and continue toward $86.00? Or will sellers defend the $80.00–$82.00 resistance zone and push the price back toward $76.00?
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