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Liquidity Surge Forecast with Win Rate [TechnicalZen]

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Publishing this v2 with Proven performance dashboard for scalpers.

What This Is

A 3D liquidity-and-momentum visualization with a built-in, MFE-verified win-rate dashboard.

Two independent systems — Money Flow (MFI-driven) and Price Current (Hull-VWMA or signed-ADX) — render as layered terrains inside a bounded 3D box. When both systems agree on direction, a whale surfaces: 🐳 bullish, 🐋 bearish. Every whale is tracked. Every outcome is scored. The dashboard prints the running win rate on your chart, on your instrument, on your timeframe. Live.

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Built On Money Flow Dynamics Forecaster 3D

This is the next iteration. Same solid confluence-detection engine, rebuilt rendering, and a performance dashboard on top for visual proof of how the system is doing.

Improvements over v1:

  • Win-rate dashboard with ATR-scaled MFE — every 🐳 / 🐋 signal is now tracked and scored. Each signal resolves when the next one fires, judged by directional close or MFE ≥ 0.5 × ATR. No more hand-waving about "does this actually work."
  • Seamless carpet terrain — layered strips share color between fill and outline. No visible seams; the terrain reads as one continuous surface.
  • Dotted wave contours — each HMA layer traces as a dotted line along its depth, like isobars on a topographic map. Wave shape is visible at a glance.
  • Depth fog gradient — far Z layers tint toward atmospheric navy-violet. Real 3D depth perception without extra wireframe.
  • Dotted wireframe, emphasized horizon — box edges and grids are dotted (quieter), while the Y=0 tide line is kept solid and bold as the one structural anchor that should stand out.
  • Unified ADX-mode terrain — ADX mode now renders a proper 12-layer terrain (v1 fell back to a single-ribbon). Both oscillator modes share identical visual grammar.
  • Cleaner defaults — Yaw −20°, Pitch 15°, axis markers off, back-wall grid off, mesh columns removed. Less visual noise out of the box.
  • Bug fixes — ring-buffer wrap when Slope Lookback > Time Span; ADX-mode second-signal for the emoji confluence check; dead inputs cleaned up.


If you're coming from v1, interpretation is identical — same riders, same whales, same color semantics. The new dashboard simply gives you a way to measure how often confluence actually pays off.

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The Win-Rate Dashboard — Proof, Not Claims

Most indicators claim a success rate. This one measures it.

Every 🐳 / 🐋 signal is recorded at its first bar of entry and held pending — until the next signal fires. At that moment the indicator judges the previous signal by two criteria:

  • Directional close — did price close favorable at the next signal's bar? (bull: close > entry. bear: close < entry.)
  • MFE ≥ ATR threshold — did the favorable excursion between the two signals reach 0.5 × ATR (at the entry bar)? ATR multiplier is tunable.


Either criterion qualifies as a win. Direction alone is a win. MFE alone is a win. No fixed evaluation window — signals are judged against reality when the regime actually changes.

The threshold is volatility-relative: quiet instruments need small moves, volatile ones need larger moves. Always calibrated to the instrument, never arbitrary.

The dashboard shows:

  • Total bull and bear signals fired (resolved ones only — the most recent signal is pending until the next)
  • How many won
  • Rolling win rate, traffic-lit — green ≥ 60%, yellow 40–60%, red < 40%
  • Your ATR multiplier, printed right on the table


Why next-signal evaluation? Because fixed bar counts are arbitrary. A regime lasts as long as it lasts. When the next whale flips, the previous whale's journey is over — and that's the fair moment to judge it. Entry quality and regime persistence are both captured naturally.

The result: you don't trust marketing, you trust your own data. Every number is computed from your chart, right now, with your settings. Change the ATR multiplier, change the timeframe — the dashboard updates. This is how an indicator should prove itself.

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The Signal

Confluence requires agreement between two fundamentally different witnesses:

  • Money Flow — volume-weighted momentum (MFI). 20 Hull-smoothed layers (HMA 3 → HMA 60). Detects accumulation or distribution before price has to move.
  • Price Current — volume-weighted directional pressure (Hull-VWMA 2-bar slope, or signed-ADX HMAs). 12 layers. Detects committed displacement of price.


Money Flow leads. Price Current confirms. When both middle-layer slopes point the same way, a whale fires. That is the signal worth trading — not a crossover, not a threshold break, but two independent systems aligning.

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What You See

  • Layered dotted waves — each HMA smoothing horizon, stitched into a 3D carpet. Depth fog tints far layers into atmospheric haze for real 3D perception.
  • Forecast terrain — each layer slope-extrapolated with exponential decay into the future half of the box.
  • 🏄‍♂ Surfer — rides the Money Flow leading edge (the impulse).
  • ⛵ Sailboat — rides the Price Current leading edge (the trend).
  • 🐳 / 🐋 Whale — surfaces at the forecast edge when both slopes agree. Confluence confirmed.
  • Dashboard — running win rate, always visible.


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How to Use

  1. Load with defaults. Switch chart to Volume Candles.
  2. Check the dashboard — what is your current win rate on this instrument / timeframe?
  3. Tune Win Threshold (× ATR) to match how strict you want the measurement to be — 0.3×ATR = loose, 0.5×ATR = balanced (default), 1.0×ATR = strict.
  4. Watch for 🐳 or 🐋. They are rare by design.
  5. On a whale, align with the direction. On no whale, stand aside. Let the dashboard keep scoring.


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Best Paired With Smart Candle Structures [TechnicalZen]

This indicator tells you whether and when to trust the flow. Smart Candle Structures tells you where to act — order blocks, fair-value gaps, liquidity sweeps, BOS / CHoCH zones.

Together: the right place, at the right moment, with a measurable win rate behind it.

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Key Settings

  • Time Span — past bars rendered and forecast horizon (default 15)
  • Momentum Source — MFI (default) or RSI
  • Oscillator Type — Hull-VWMA (default) or signed-ADX
  • Slope Lookback — bars used to compute the slope that fires whales (default 4)
  • ATR Length — lookback for volatility scaling the win threshold (default 14)
  • Win Threshold (× ATR) — minimum favorable excursion between signals, as a multiple of ATR at the entry bar (default 0.5 × ATR)
  • Depth Fog Strength — atmospheric depth gradient on far layers (default 0.55)


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Disclaimer

This is a visualization and analytical tool, not financial advice or a signal service. The dashboard measures what has happened on your chart; it does not predict what will. Markets are reflexive. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade with your own risk management. Every trade can lose.

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Confluence you can measure.
— TechnicalZen
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