🔎 Market Structure
Medium-term trend: up
The price is moving within an ascending channel (the lower and upper limits are nicely respected).
Last move = upward impulse from a consolidation breakout.
📈 Current Situation
The price has broken out above key resistance at ~94,600 USD (red line)
We are currently in the 97,500–98,200 USD zone (local resistance).
This is the first test of this zone from below → a natural place for reaction.
🟩 Key Levels
Resistance
98,200–98,300 USD – local resistance (green line)
103,800 USD – main channel target / ATH region
Supports
94,600 USD – most important support (flip from resistance)
89,400 USD – middle of the structure + previous accumulation
Lower channel boundary ~87–88k USD – last defense
📊 MACD
Strong bullish crossover
The histogram is rising → upward momentum is accelerating
No downward divergence (on (for now)
➡️ This supports continued growth, not a reversal.
🧠 Scenarios
🟢 Baseline scenario (most likely)
Short consolidation/pullback
Retest of USD 94,600–95,000
Continuation up → 98k → 100k → 103–104k
🟡 Alternative scenario
Rejection of USD 98k
Drop to USD 89,400
Still uptrend as long as the channel holds
🔴 Bullish negation
4-hour close below 89,400
Then the structure breaks down → drop to 86–84k
Medium-term trend: up
The price is moving within an ascending channel (the lower and upper limits are nicely respected).
Last move = upward impulse from a consolidation breakout.
📈 Current Situation
The price has broken out above key resistance at ~94,600 USD (red line)
We are currently in the 97,500–98,200 USD zone (local resistance).
This is the first test of this zone from below → a natural place for reaction.
🟩 Key Levels
Resistance
98,200–98,300 USD – local resistance (green line)
103,800 USD – main channel target / ATH region
Supports
94,600 USD – most important support (flip from resistance)
89,400 USD – middle of the structure + previous accumulation
Lower channel boundary ~87–88k USD – last defense
📊 MACD
Strong bullish crossover
The histogram is rising → upward momentum is accelerating
No downward divergence (on (for now)
➡️ This supports continued growth, not a reversal.
🧠 Scenarios
🟢 Baseline scenario (most likely)
Short consolidation/pullback
Retest of USD 94,600–95,000
Continuation up → 98k → 100k → 103–104k
🟡 Alternative scenario
Rejection of USD 98k
Drop to USD 89,400
Still uptrend as long as the channel holds
🔴 Bullish negation
4-hour close below 89,400
Then the structure breaks down → drop to 86–84k
Отказ от ответственности
Информация и публикации не предназначены для предоставления и не являются финансовыми, инвестиционными, торговыми или другими видами советов или рекомендаций, предоставленных или одобренных TradingView. Подробнее читайте в Условиях использования.
Отказ от ответственности
Информация и публикации не предназначены для предоставления и не являются финансовыми, инвестиционными, торговыми или другими видами советов или рекомендаций, предоставленных или одобренных TradingView. Подробнее читайте в Условиях использования.