Looking at historical data, we’re at a similar point as in 2021 — diverging RSI, declining volume, and signs of exhaustion. The key difference now is the level of institutional involvement: hedge funds are heavily in, MicroStrategy keeps buying, and even nation-states have exposure.
Despite the bullish narrative, I believe we’re heading down.
Price action isn’t convincing — we're still trading below the January monthly candle close, volume is drying up, and RSI continues to diverge. Each 5–10% pump is followed by a sharp spike in open interest (OI), then a brutal liquidation cascade wiping out $500M–$1B. This is starting to look like a leveraged casino, not a healthy uptrend.
That said, I wouldn’t rule out a final wick toward $120K to trap late longs and suck in liquidity before the real move down.
I called the top after the January rally — they called me a madman. Still, I was right.
Mastery tends to be a funny thing, seems like on a long enough timeframe you cant lose.
Stay safe everyone.
Despite the bullish narrative, I believe we’re heading down.
Price action isn’t convincing — we're still trading below the January monthly candle close, volume is drying up, and RSI continues to diverge. Each 5–10% pump is followed by a sharp spike in open interest (OI), then a brutal liquidation cascade wiping out $500M–$1B. This is starting to look like a leveraged casino, not a healthy uptrend.
That said, I wouldn’t rule out a final wick toward $120K to trap late longs and suck in liquidity before the real move down.
I called the top after the January rally — they called me a madman. Still, I was right.
Mastery tends to be a funny thing, seems like on a long enough timeframe you cant lose.
Stay safe everyone.
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Отказ от ответственности
Информация и публикации не предназначены для предоставления и не являются финансовыми, инвестиционными, торговыми или другими видами советов или рекомендаций, предоставленных или одобренных TradingView. Подробнее читайте в Условиях использования.