Technical Analysis
Growth
Health
Action
(Conservative) Targets into 2029
- Microsoft's
MSFT stock price entered its historical simple moving average area last week. This regression to the mean for high-growth companies with forward momentum is often, but not always, an area of support (currently between $407 and $435). I suspect ongoing near-term weakness may occur given market conditions, though. A continued dip into the $390's or even $360's may occur to really put the fright in investors, but I can't see it going much lower than that in the near-term unless market conditions or company fundamentals chnage. My longer-term hypothesis here is that given its AI / market cap dominance, the price will inevitably replicate that of Google 
GOOGL (dip then skyrocket). In fact, I hope it dips to the $300's so I can accumulate a significant stake. But for now, a starter position exists at $421.50 - right at the historical mean.
Growth
- Earnings-per-share anticipated to increase by 63.5% between 2026 ($16.37) and 2029 ($26.76).
- Revenue anticipated to increase by 59.6% between 2026 ($327 billion) and 2029 ($522 billion).
Health
- Debt-to-equity: 0.3x (very healthy)
- Quick ratio / short-term debt: 1.4 (can successfully pay today's bills)
- Altman's Z score / bankruptcy risk: 9+ (extremely low risk)
- Dividend: 0.85%
- P/E: 27x (broader software industry median ~24.65x)
Action
- While short-term weakness is likely to enable large institutions to build greater positions, the long-term outlook is extremely bullish. Any dip below $400 is a continued personal buying opportunity, but for now, a starter position exists at $421.50.
(Conservative) Targets into 2029
- $500.00 (18.6%)
- $600.00 (42.3%)
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If you enjoy this idea, please follow for more: tradingview.com/u/WorthlessViews/
Отказ от ответственности
Информация и публикации не предназначены для предоставления и не являются финансовыми, инвестиционными, торговыми или другими видами советов или рекомендаций, предоставленных или одобренных TradingView. Подробнее читайте в Условиях использования.