How do you spot real systemic risk in the US stock market?
It happens when the yield curve inverts. An example occurred in 2022 when short-term borrowing costs, like the 2-year yield (in yellow), exceeded longer-term borrowing costs, like the 10-year yield (in orange).
When the yield curve inverted, the 2022 stock market entered a bear market. The Nasdaq collapsed by 37%. Once the yield curve began normalizing in 2024, US markets broke above their 2021 highs. The markets then resumed the upward trend seen today.
Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures and Options
Ticker: MNQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
It happens when the yield curve inverts. An example occurred in 2022 when short-term borrowing costs, like the 2-year yield (in yellow), exceeded longer-term borrowing costs, like the 10-year yield (in orange).
When the yield curve inverted, the 2022 stock market entered a bear market. The Nasdaq collapsed by 37%. Once the yield curve began normalizing in 2024, US markets broke above their 2021 highs. The markets then resumed the upward trend seen today.
Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures and Options
Ticker: MNQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
konhow@weipedia.com
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Похожие публикации
Отказ от ответственности
Информация и публикации не предназначены для предоставления и не являются финансовыми, инвестиционными, торговыми или другими видами советов или рекомендаций, предоставленных или одобренных TradingView. Подробнее читайте в Условиях использования.