SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST

$SPY path for correction

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SPY looks to be starting a larger correction here.

I think the first leg will take us down to the $638-686 support levels which would setup a larger bounce (needs to break below $733 for this to play out).

Then if we can't break above the 733 level on a bounce higher, it sets up a trap for a move lower down to the lower support levels down in the $473-450 for the final bottom.

A break above the recent highs would invalidate the idea.

In order for this idea to play out, I think we need to see the first leg down take place by Nov 6th.

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