XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile before Fed: watch for a rebound to sell down
Market snapshot
Ahead of the Fed's interest rate announcement, gold is moving sideways within a fairly wide range, not yet choosing a clear direction.
In the H1 timeframe, the price fluctuates around the value area, making it very suitable for short-term trading according to the Volume Profile instead of trying to predict the meeting outcome.
Volume Profile – Key price areas
Nearest VAL: around 4.197 – the bottom of the current value area, where there was previous buying support.
Above, the FVG area + VAH/POC cluster is around 4.210 – this is an "air pocket" area where selling pressure can easily appear when the price fills the liquidity gap.
Below, the target for a downward wave if the Fed is not too dovish is around 4.13x (area 4.130–4.135) – coinciding with the old buy zone on the chart.
Trading scenario according to Volume Profile
Watch for a light Buy reaction at VAL 4.197
If the price slides to 4.197 and a nice rejection candle appears on H1/M15, a short scalp buy can be considered:
Idea: capture the rebound from VAL back to the middle/top of the value area, do not hold the position long.
Sell when the price fills FVG around 4.210 (priority scenario)
After the rebound from VAL, the FVG area 4.210 will be where Brian prioritizes watching for a Sell:
Reference sell entry: around 4.208–4.212
TP1: 4.185–4.180
TP2: 4.165–4.160
TP3: area 4.13x (4.130–4.135) if a strong sell-off occurs after the Fed
SL should be placed neatly above the FVG/VAH area (e.g., 4.218–4.220), avoid setting it too far.
Fed context – Why trade cautiously?
The focus this week is the FOMC meeting:
The market is waiting to see if Chairman Powell can create enough consensus to continue cutting interest rates with very few members opposing, similar to the previous 25 bps cut.
If the Fed maintains a dovish tone → USD weakens, yields cool down, gold is likely to bounce back after the sweep.
If Powell signals a "hawkish rate cut" (concern about inflation, cut less – talk tough) → yields rise, gold may complete a deep decline to the 4.13x area before stabilizing again.
Market snapshot
Ahead of the Fed's interest rate announcement, gold is moving sideways within a fairly wide range, not yet choosing a clear direction.
In the H1 timeframe, the price fluctuates around the value area, making it very suitable for short-term trading according to the Volume Profile instead of trying to predict the meeting outcome.
Volume Profile – Key price areas
Nearest VAL: around 4.197 – the bottom of the current value area, where there was previous buying support.
Above, the FVG area + VAH/POC cluster is around 4.210 – this is an "air pocket" area where selling pressure can easily appear when the price fills the liquidity gap.
Below, the target for a downward wave if the Fed is not too dovish is around 4.13x (area 4.130–4.135) – coinciding with the old buy zone on the chart.
Trading scenario according to Volume Profile
Watch for a light Buy reaction at VAL 4.197
If the price slides to 4.197 and a nice rejection candle appears on H1/M15, a short scalp buy can be considered:
Idea: capture the rebound from VAL back to the middle/top of the value area, do not hold the position long.
Sell when the price fills FVG around 4.210 (priority scenario)
After the rebound from VAL, the FVG area 4.210 will be where Brian prioritizes watching for a Sell:
Reference sell entry: around 4.208–4.212
TP1: 4.185–4.180
TP2: 4.165–4.160
TP3: area 4.13x (4.130–4.135) if a strong sell-off occurs after the Fed
SL should be placed neatly above the FVG/VAH area (e.g., 4.218–4.220), avoid setting it too far.
Fed context – Why trade cautiously?
The focus this week is the FOMC meeting:
The market is waiting to see if Chairman Powell can create enough consensus to continue cutting interest rates with very few members opposing, similar to the previous 25 bps cut.
If the Fed maintains a dovish tone → USD weakens, yields cool down, gold is likely to bounce back after the sweep.
If Powell signals a "hawkish rate cut" (concern about inflation, cut less – talk tough) → yields rise, gold may complete a deep decline to the 4.13x area before stabilizing again.
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✅ Accurate signals & exclusive analysis: 10–15 signals daily with continuous market insights
⏳ Every minute you hesitate is a winning opportunity slipping away!
t.me/+PNA9TDWpr_80ZGQ1
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🔥 BrianLionCapital – Where Top Traders Unite
✅ Accurate signals & exclusive analysis: 10–15 signals daily with continuous market insights
⏳ Every minute you hesitate is a winning opportunity slipping away!
t.me/+PNA9TDWpr_80ZGQ1
✅ Accurate signals & exclusive analysis: 10–15 signals daily with continuous market insights
⏳ Every minute you hesitate is a winning opportunity slipping away!
t.me/+PNA9TDWpr_80ZGQ1
Похожие публикации
Отказ от ответственности
Информация и публикации не предназначены для предоставления и не являются финансовыми, инвестиционными, торговыми или другими видами советов или рекомендаций, предоставленных или одобренных TradingView. Подробнее читайте в Условиях использования.