EUR/USD — Weekly Outlook | Multi-Timeframe Analysis Macro Bias: 📅 Monthly Timeframe
Price has decisively rejected from a well-defined monthly supply zone, compounded by confluence with a significant Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a major psychological round number. The most recent monthly candle closed below its predecessor, confirming that the macro structure remains bearish. The current price movement should be read as a corrective retracement within a broader downtrend, not a reversal.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly chart, price swept the liquidity resting above the prior range and promptly rejected from a weekly supply zone aligned with the 1.18500 round number — a level that carries significant institutional weight. This rejection followed a prior Break of Structure (BOS), which validates the corrective nature of the recent rally.
With the monthly and weekly biases aligned to the downside, two scenarios are now in play:
Scenario A (Higher Probability): Price revisits the high of the latest weekly candle's upper wick — a standard liquidity target — before sellers reassert control. This is supported by the fact that the candle closed above the previous candle's wick, suggesting a near-term wick-fill is likely.
Scenario B: Direct bearish continuation without a wick revisit, contingent on daily confirmation.
The weekly close will be the deciding factor.
📅 Daily Timeframe
The daily chart clarifies the picture. Price rejected simultaneously from both the weekly and daily supply zones, and the most recent daily candle swept the liquidity from the prior candle's low — a bearish confirmation signal. A round number rejection adds further weight to the downside case.
Expected path: Price declines into the lower daily FVG, where a temporary reaction may develop. From there, a corrective bounce toward the weekly wick high is possible. Should price reach that level and show bearish rejection, the higher-timeframe downtrend is expected to resume toward lower structural targets.
⏱ H4 Timeframe
The H4 structure supports the roadmap above. The preferred approach is to monitor for intraday FVG formations on the H1 chart as potential entry triggers, targeting the lower daily FVG. If price closes above that daily FVG rather than rejecting it, the corrective bounce toward weekly liquidity becomes the primary scenario.
As long as price trades below the higher-timeframe supply cluster, rallies remain corrective in nature and should not be mistaken for trend reversals.
Supply Zone
EURUSD Bullish Reversal from Descending Channel | Support BounceEURUSD is showing a potential bullish reversal after respecting a well-defined descending channel structure. Price has recently tapped into a strong support zone near 1.1775–1.1780, where buyers are stepping in.
The market structure suggests exhaustion of bearish momentum, followed by a rejection from the lower boundary of the channel. This creates a high-probability bounce setup.
🔍 Key Confluences:
Descending channel support holding firmly
Strong horizontal support zone acting as demand
Rejection wicks indicating buyer presence
Potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum
📈 Trade Plan:
Entry: Around 1.1785 (after confirmation/retest)
Stop Loss: Below 1.1777 (protected under support)
Target 1: 1.1808 (mid resistance)
Target 2: 1.1824 (major resistance zone)
⚠️ A clean break above the first resistance will strengthen bullish continuation toward the upper boundary.
📊 Outlook:
As long as price holds above the support zone, bullish momentum is likely to continue. However, a breakdown below support would invalidate this setup and may lead to further downside.
This is not financial advise
SPX: pullback or push up? key levels to watch todaySPX6900 – ready for another leg or was that the local top? According to market chatter, speculative indexes and synthetic SPX products are seeing renewed interest after the recent bounce in US stocks, but intraday flows are getting more cautious. Today we saw buyers fail to hold highs and price is now stuck right under a thick 4H supply zone.
On the 4H chart, price rejected the red resistance block around 0.33 and is hovering near 0.304 with RSI rolling down from overbought. Volume profile shows a fat node just below, so I’m leaning toward a pullback rather than an instant moonshot. My base case is a corrective move into the green demand zones where fresh buyers can reload.
Here’s how I’m playing it: I’m interested in longs only if price dips into the 0.28–0.27 demand area and prints a clear bounce, targeting a return toward 0.32–0.33. If 0.27 breaks cleanly, I step aside and look for a deeper flush toward the lower green bands. I might be wrong, but chasing longs into that red wall up here looks like paying premium for leftover pizza. ✅
PUMP: ready for a breakout or a pullback? key levels to watchPUMP – ready to live up to its name or is this just exit liquidity again? Memecoins are still the hot kid on the block and, according to the market, fresh capital is rotating back into smaller caps after the recent majors pullback. Today’s spike on PUMP shows that spec money is clearly awake here.
On the 4H chart, price just fired straight into a big orange supply zone after a vertical run from the green demand bands below. Volume piled in on the move up while RSI is flirting with overbought, so I’m leaning toward a short term cooldown before any real continuation. I might be wrong, but chasing green candles into heavy resistance has wrecked more accounts than bear markets ever did.
My base plan: I only like longs on a dip back into the green zones, watching for a bounce with RSI resetting, targeting a revisit of the orange band and then the upper red resistance above. ✅ If PUMP grinds above the orange zone and holds it as support, that’s the breakout scenario and opens room for another leg up. If instead we lose the lower green support, I step aside and let it bleed rather than “diamond hand” a meme into oblivion.
Skycoin: hidden gem or fading star? key levels for todaySkycoin. Still alive and grinding or just another ghost chart? While majors are stealing the headlines, this small cap has been quietly consolidating as liquidity slowly comes back into alts, according to industry sources. Lately, sentiment around older infrastructure projects has improved and you can see it in these little pops on forgotten pairs.
On the 4H chart, price is bouncing out of the green demand zone around 0.070 with RSI pushing up from mid levels, showing fresh buyers stepping in. I’m leaning bullish as long as we hold above that demand, looking for a drift back into the red supply band near 0.078 where the last big wick got slapped down. Volume is still modest, so any sudden spike could fuel a quick face-ripper move instead of a slow grind.
My base plan: accumulate only on dips into 0.071‑0.072 and trail it toward 0.078‑0.080, where I’ll look to de‑risk. If 0.070 gives way on a 4H close, I treat it as a failed setup and expect a slide back to the lower green box around 0.066. I might be wrong, but for now this looks like one of those quiet charts that move just when everyone stops watching. ✅
KCS: poised for a pullback? key levels to watch todayKuCoin Token. Who’s hunting alt opportunities away from the crowded majors right now? According to market chatter, exchange tokens are back on radars as volumes tick up again and traders look for beta plays around the broader crypto bounce. Today KCS pushed straight into a big 4H supply block after a strong impulse, so eyes are on whether this is real accumulation or just a stop‑run.
On the 4H chart price is testing the upper green zone while RSI is stretched near overbought, right at a heavy volume node around 8.0. I’m leaning short term bearish from here, looking for a pullback into the lower demand zones before any sustained breakout. If fresh buyers really step in on this exchange‑token narrative, they’ll need to absorb this supply wall and close cleanly above it.
My base plan: fade this area with tight risk, targeting a move back toward the middle of the green range first, then the lower band if momentum dies. If KCS starts closing 4H candles above the red zone and holding above 8.25 with strong volume, that invalidates the short idea and opens the door to the higher resistance above 8.6. I might be wrong, but chasing long right into resistance after a vertical candle has wrecked more accounts than bad entries ever did.
Sui: searching for floor? key levels and targets for todaySui
Who’s still watching this thing bleed and wondering if the knife finally hit the floor? According to industry sources, Sui has been under pressure after the recent risk-off mood in alts, but today’s bounce comes right as sentiment starts to stabilize across majors. The market loves oversold narratives, and this one is getting juicy.
On the 4H chart, price just wicked deep into that green demand block and snapped back, while RSI is crawling out of oversold territory. I’m leaning toward a corrective long scenario: rebound from the 0.86 area toward the first red supply zone around 0.89 and, if momentum sticks, an extension into the 0.93‑0.96 pocket. Volume profile shows a low‑liquidity gap above, so any squeeze can move fast.
My plan: ✅ base case is a long as long as price holds above the green zone, targeting 0.89 first and then 0.93‑0.96 where I’d look to scale out. If we lose today’s low and close back below the demand block, I flip the script and expect a slide to fresh lows instead of trying to “be a hero.” I might be wrong, but right now Sui looks like one of those classic oversold bounces traders will tweet about after the move, not before it.
Litecoin: bounce opportunity? key levels and targets to watchLitecoin. Tired of watching BTC steal the show while LTC bleeds slowly down? According to the market, flows keep rotating into majors and memecoins, leaving older alts like Litecoin lagging, and today’s headlines about regulatory pressure on alt liquidity didn’t help sentiment. That’s exactly when I start paying attention – when everyone gets bored and volume dries up near key zones.
On the 4H chart, LTCUSD is grinding just above a wide green demand block around 52.5‑51 with RSI stuck in the 30s, so we’re in that “oversold but not dead” area. I’m leaning short term long: a bounce toward the red supply band at 56‑57 makes sense if buyers defend this support and we see a bit of short covering. I might be wrong, but this looks more like late‑stage sell pressure than the start of a fresh collapse.
My plan: as long as price holds above the lower green zone, I’m interested in staggered longs with a first target near 55 and an extended move into 56‑57 if momentum picks up. If we lose 51 cleanly with volume, that invalidates the bounce idea and opens the door to a deeper flush, where I’d rather step aside and wait for a new base. ✅ Base case – defend green box and fade back into the red one; break the box and bulls are off the table for now.
XRP: market jitters ahead? key levels and targets for todayXRP
Who else feels like XRP is always one headline away from a mood swing? Lately the chatter around ongoing regulatory battles and hopes for clearer rules on digital assets has been heating up again, and the market is clearly nervous. Today we saw sellers step back in right as sentiment cooled off across majors, so XRP is sitting in a very interesting spot.
On the 4H chart, price just rejected from the red supply zone above 1.40 and is drifting down into the green demand area around 1.36. Volume is heavier on the pushes down and RSI is rolling over from mid‑range, which to me screams short‑term bearish continuation. If buyers don’t defend this local demand, I’m leaning toward another liquidity sweep lower before any serious bounce.
My base plan: as long as XRP stays under the 1.40‑1.42 supply, I treat bounces as potential shorts, looking for a move toward the deeper green zone closer to 1.32 where bigger demand sits. If bulls suddenly wake up and we get a clean 4H close back above 1.42 with RSI curling up, that flips the script and opens room toward 1.50. I might be wrong, but right now I’m flat and waiting for either a sweep of 1.32 to hunt longs or a failed rally into 1.40 to fade.
Bitcoin Short Setup — Repeated Rejection at Resistance!Bitcoin is again reacting from the same resistance zone, and this is where things get interesting.
When I look at this structure, I don’t see a random move. I see a market that is clearly respecting a range and reacting again and again from the same area.
Price has already rejected this zone multiple times, and each rejection is telling us one simple thing, there is supply sitting here.
Multiple rejections from the same level show that sellers are actively defending this zone.
Price pushed up again but failed to sustain , which often indicates weakening bullish momentum near resistance.
Now price is slowly rolling over , giving a potential short opportunity with defined risk.
As long as price stays below the invalidation level , the structure favors a move back toward the lower range.
For me, this is not about predicting the exact direction, it’s about reacting to what price is showing.
If the resistance continues to hold, downside targets remain valid.
But if price breaks and sustains above the zone, the idea becomes invalid.
Because the more a level gets tested, the more important the next move becomes.
Right now, this is a simple game:
Rejection → continuation down
Breakout → shift in structure
Let’s see which side wins.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and follow your own trading plan.
— @TraderRahulPal
SCA Registered Financial Influencer (Dubai, UAE)
EURCAD – Double Confluence Zone!EURCAD is approaching a strong intersection where the upper bound of the rising wedge meets the daily supply zone, while also sitting in an overbought area.
This confluence creates a high-probability reaction zone.
As long as this intersection holds, we will be looking for short setups, expecting sellers to step in and push price lower.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC Dominance: Watching alt trends? Key levels for the days aheaBTC Dominance. Watching alts bleed and wondering who’s stealing the show? BTC.D is hovering around 58.8% while headlines keep circling possible ETF inflows and “flight to safety” flows back into the king. According to market chatter, every dip in bitcoin is still getting bought, which usually means altcoins stay in the shadow a bit longer.
On the 4H chart I see dominance stuck between a thick green demand zone below and a red supply block above, with RSI curling up from mid levels. That tells me bulls still have juice, so I lean toward a push higher in dominance, potentially probing the 59.3% area and maybe the upper red zone if bitcoin grabs fresh momentum. Volume profile also shows a decent acceptance zone just above current levels, so a grind up makes sense here.
My base plan: as long as BTC.D holds above the lower green band, I expect more upside in dominance and a tougher environment for aggressive alt rotations ✅. If we lose that green support decisively, I flip the script and look for a sharper alt season style bounce while dominance slides back into the lower range. I might be wrong, but for now I’m positioned more BTC heavy and waiting for that red zone reaction before thinking about rotating hard into alts.
Decentraland: is the metaverse back? key levels to watch todayDecentraland. Still watching the metaverse zombies or already back hunting opportunities here? According to industry sources, interest in gaming and metaverse names is slowly waking up again as risk appetite improves, and today’s headlines about fresh funding in virtual world projects helped sentiment. MANA has quietly bounced from the lower demand zone while everyone chases the shiny AI names.
On the 4H chart, price is pushing into a thick red supply block after a sharp V‑shaped recovery, with RSI climbing from oversold back above 50. I’m leaning bullish short term, expecting a grind toward the next liquidity pocket above, as late shorts get squeezed and dip buyers defend the recent higher low. As long as this mini uptrend of higher lows holds, I see this as accumulation, not just a dead cat.
My base plan: I like longs on shallow pullbacks above the green zone, targeting the upper red area where previous selling hit. If price rejects hard and closes back below the current red band, that opens the door for a slide toward the green support for a deeper reload. I might be wrong, but for now I’m treating MANA as a patient swing long and I’ll start taking profits into those higher liquidity levels.
BSV: are we facing another dump? key levels to watch todayBSV – ready for another dump or sneaky reversal? While majors steal the spotlight, BSV has been sliding after recent headlines about tightening scrutiny on older fork projects, and the market clearly lost interest for now. Volume dried up on the way down, then spiked as price stabbed below that big orange demand block on the 4H chart.
On the 4H, price is trading under the mid‑range, RSI is weak and hugging the lows, and the last bounce attempt from orange supply was instantly sold off. That keeps me leaning short, targeting the green zone below as the next liquidity pocket where late longs might finally capitulate. According to the footprint of volume and this failed range breakout, sellers still own the tape.
My plan: as long as BSV stays below the orange band, I treat bounces into it as potential short entries, aiming toward the green zone as a take‑profit area ✅. If buyers suddenly reclaim the orange zone with strong candles and RSI back above mid‑line, that invalidates the short thesis and opens the door for a squeeze back into the red resistance above. I might be wrong, but for now I’m staying bearish until price proves otherwise.
Pendle: potential bounce or breakdown? key levels to watchPendle. DeFi degenerates, you watching this knife or nah? According to market chatter, narrative money keeps rotating back into yield and restaking plays, and Pendle is usually on that shopping list. Today we just saw a sharp selloff after the latest local high, so the tourists are likely getting shaken out while the core narrative hasn’t really changed.
On the 4H chart price slapped straight down from that red supply zone and is now poking into the big orange demand block. RSI nuked from overbought toward oversold, which often means late shorts are entering right when smart money looks for dip entries. I’m leaning long from this orange zone with the idea of a bounce back toward 1.27 then 1.30 if buyers defend it.
My plan: watch for a wick and reclaim inside the orange area, then I like staggered buys with targets in the mid 1.2s and that prior red zone. If we lose the orange block cleanly and start closing below it, I step aside and let it bleed toward the green zone for a deeper discount. I might be wrong, but this looks more like a stop-hunt reload than the start of a full trend reversal.
FLOKI: meme season or exit liquidity? key levels for todayFLOKI
Is meme season really back or is this just exit liquidity in a dog mask? Recently FLOKI grabbed headlines again as market chatter about new integrations and listings picked up, and you can see how fast liquidity chased it up. Now the hype cooled off a bit and price is pulling back from that upper red supply zone on the 4H chart.
On the 4H, price rejected hard from the 0.000031–0.000032 area and is sliding toward the mid black band, while RSI rolled over from overbought. For me that screams “cooldown phase,” not full trend reversal yet. As long as buyers defend the first green demand block below, I lean to a corrective dip first, then another attempt higher as fresh news keeps meme money rotating in.
My plan: I’m watching for a sweep into the nearest green zone and a bounce with RSI curling up to take a speculative long, targeting a retest of the red zone above. If price slices clean through that green demand and closes 4H below it, I flip the script and look for deeper downside into the lower green box. I might be wrong, but chasing green candles up here feels like buying the top of the carnival ride 🚀
KAIA: are we in a range? key levels to watch for the days aheadKAIA
Who’s farming this range with me instead of chasing random green candles? KAIA has been quietly grinding higher while the market rotates back into L1/L2 names, and according to industry sources there’s growing interest around its ecosystem upgrades. Today price poked into a local supply zone and instantly got slapped back, so the 4H is screaming “range trader’s paradise” for now.
On the 4H chart I see clean demand sitting in the green zone and supply in the red above, with price currently hovering near the midrange. Volume is thinning at the highs and RSI is rolling just under overbought, so I’m leaning toward a pullback first, then a bounce. As long as we hold that green block, the structure stays bullish and I expect another attempt at the upper resistance over the next few sessions.
My plan: I’m stalking longs from the demand zone with invalidation just below it and targets back toward the recent wick high and the top of the red area. If price rips straight through resistance with strong volume, I’ll look for a breakout retest instead. And yeah, I might be wrong, but if demand fails and we lose the green box, I step aside and let the knife find the next buyer.
Telcoin: preparing for a pullback? key levels to watchTelcoin
Anyone else watching this little sleeper while the market rotates back into small caps? According to industry sources, money has been creeping back into micro-cap altcoins after the recent BTC volatility, and today TEL already reacted with a sharp push straight into a heavy 4H supply zone. That first touch into resistance with hype returning is exactly where I start paying close attention.
On the 4H chart, price just wicked into the red supply block and stalled while RSI cooled off from near overbought. Volume built up on the way up but is thinning right at resistance, so I’m leaning toward a pullback first rather than an instant moonshot. For me the key zones are the green demand areas below, where previous buyers clearly defended hard.
My base plan: I’d prefer a dip back toward the mid green zone for a safer long, targeting a return to the current supply and, if flipped, the upper red area. If price instead breaks down and closes firmly below the lower green block, that kills the long idea and opens the door to a deeper flush. I might be wrong, but chasing this candle into resistance feels like FOMO, so I’m patient and waiting for the market to offer a better entry.
TIA: ready for a dip before the next leg up? key levels aheadTIA
Catching this late stage of the move or waiting for a cleaner entry? TIA has been running hot with the AI narrative back in the spotlight and fresh capital rotating into newer L1 names, according to market chatter. Today price tapped into a heavy 4H supply zone near the recent highs and the reaction shows sellers finally waking up.
On the 4H chart, price is stalling right under that red resistance band while RSI hangs in the high 60s after a strong run up – classic “needs a breather” vibes. Below us I see two juicy demand areas: first around 0.34, then a deeper one near 0.33 where previous consolidation and volume cluster sit. I’m leaning bullish overall, but expecting a pullback into one of these green boxes before the next leg up.
My plan: I’d rather buy the dip than chase the wick. ✅ Base case for me is a retrace into 0.34–0.33, then a bounce targeting a re-test of the 0.37–0.38 supply zone and potentially new highs if momentum stays. If 0.33 fails and we start closing below that zone, I’ll assume this move is cooked short term and look for a slide toward the 0.30 area instead. I might be wrong, but I’d rather miss a FOMO candle than bag-hold the top.
Tezos: fresh bounce or reversal? key levels to monitor todayTezos. Who’s farming this bounce? Lately, according to industry sources, Tezos has been back in the headlines thanks to fresh activity in its ecosystem and a broader pop in altcoin sentiment. Today price just smacked right into a big 4H supply block around 0.40–0.41, and the reaction is already showing on the candles.
On the 4H chart we’ve got a clean vertical run from the green demand area near 0.36 into that thick orange resistance, with RSI stretched above 70. Volume profile shows a fat node in the green zone and a clear low‑volume pocket in between, so any rejection up here can unwind fast. I’m leaning short term bearish from this supply, expecting a corrective leg back into previous demand as late longs get shaken out.
My base plan: look for rejection wicks and fading momentum in the orange zone, targeting a pullback toward the green band around 0.37 first, then possibly 0.36 if sellers really press. If bulls suddenly blast and hold above 0.41 with strong volume, that invalidates the short idea and opens the road to the next resistance near 0.43–0.44. I might be wrong, but for now I’m waiting for the liquidity grab up here to fade before jumping in.
ABUSDT: dead cat bounce or real rally? key levels to watchABUSDT – is this dead cat bouncing or the start of a real rescue rally? According to industry sources, small-cap alts like this are catching a bid again as traders rotate into higher beta plays after the latest crypto bounce. Today we finally see ABUSDT reacting from this big orange demand zone after that brutal dump, so eyes are back on it.
On the 4H chart, price is grinding up inside the orange range with rising volume and RSI just pushed into overbought territory – early sign of momentum, but also where late FOMO usually enters. I’m leaning bullish short term: if buyers keep defending this orange block, I expect a squeeze into the dark red supply area above where a lot of trapped longs are waiting to unload. Basically, we’re in mean-reversion mode after a waterfall.
My base plan: as long as price holds the lower half of the orange zone, I like longs targeting the mid to upper part of the red zone for a swing exit ✅. If we lose the bottom of this orange box with conviction, then the bounce was just noise and I’d expect a fresh leg down with no trade for me. I might be wrong, but for now I’m treating dips into this range as opportunities, not reasons to panic.






















