Bitcoin

BTC/USD 12H local downtrend

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📊 Chart structure
• BTC price: ~ 112,765 USD (decrease -2.18%).
• Trend: after prior reflection from the holes (~ 107k), BTC is approaching the resistance zone.
• Inheritance channel: The marked yellow line suggests that the price is still in a medium -term inheritance trend



🔑 levels of support and resistance
• Support:
• USD 111,461 (close to support - if it falls, a quick test below).
• USD 107,346 (key support - its loss opens the road towards 103-105k).
• resistance:
• USD 118.004 (important level of resistance).
• USD 124.619 (strong resistance - local peaks).



📈 indicators
• SMA (movable average):
• Red (SMA #1) - short -term, currently acts as dynamic resistance.
• Green (SMA #2) - average, the price fights around it.
• Blue (SMA #5) - long -term, still above the price, which means inheritance pressure.
• MacD:
• You can see a slight weakening of the growth moment. If there is no strong demand, it is possible to cut the signal down (inheritance signal).
• RSI (12H):
• fell from the level close to buying (~ 70) to ~ 45–50.
• Neutral, but with a slight tendency to further weakness.



🧭 Scenarios
1. Bullish:
• Support defense 111,400 USD → Reflection up.
• If $ 118,000 stands out, the next target is USD 124,600.
• Breaking over 125K will negate the inheritance channel and can open the road to 130K+.
2. Bearish:
• Support loss 111,400 USD → test 107,300 USD.
• If the 107K does not stand, a further decrease is possible to 103-105k.

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