Bitcoin
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Bitcoin BTC price analysis until mid-2026

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The long-term BTC trend (2023 → Nov 2025) has either broken its structure or expanded into a wider channel.
The next few weeks will be critical for determining the macro direction for BTCUSDT price

Key zones:
• 🔻 Support: $75,000–$77,000
• 🔺 Resistance: $103,000–$105,000

A breakout of one of these ranges is likely to define Bitcoin’s trajectory into mid-2026 — either toward $190K or a deeper pullback toward $50K.

🤔 What’s the more probable scenario on your chart — bullish expansion or a structural breakdown?

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🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
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BTC Market Outlook: Price Holds Between Key Weekly Levels

Over the past week, BTCUSDT added roughly 10%, stabilizing within a well-defined range.
Current structure shows $103,000–$105,000 acting as a major resistance zone, while $75,000–$77,000 serves as the primary support.

Market environment remains balanced:
BTC Dominance (BTC.D) — neutral phase, no accelerating trends
USDT Dominance (USDT.D) — remains stable, indicating controlled risk sentiment

Fear & Greed Index — holding at 20, replicating conditions seen in mid-2021 and mid-2022

These earlier periods produced very different outcomes, making the current setup particularly interesting.

The next volatility-triggering event is expected on December 10, when the Federal Reserve announces its new policy rate. Current probability suggests an 85% chance of a 0.25% rate cut.

What scenario do you expect next — a rapid recovery or a prolonged decline similar to late 2022?

🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud.
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บันทึก
⚠️ It’s hard to imagine a more critical moment for the crypto market than right now.
Yesterday, BTC briefly dropped below $76,000, triggering a massive liquidation cascade of ~$2.5 billion.
And this may not be the bottom — it can get worse.
🔻 93% of liquidations were longs
💥 The biggest hit was ETH — around $1.1B in liquidated positions.
One event deserves special attention: An account known as Garrett Bullish held a ~$700M ETH long position.
More than $500M was force-liquidated — one of the largest single liquidations in history.
What makes it even more brutal: On October 10, this trader held over $1B in shorts with near-perfect performance.
But the market forgives no one. Everyone makes mistakes — or the market eventually punishes everyone.

📉 #MicroStrategy currently holds 712,647 BTC
👉 Average entry price: $76,037
Below this level, the public company that has become #Bitcoin’s de facto ambassador may start reporting — or even realizing — paper losses, potentially damaging overall market confidence.
😱 Fear & Greed Index (Feb 1): 14 — Extreme Fear
For context: historically, major market reversals often formed around 9–10.

📌 Summing up this nightmare
(even without accounting for potential black swans — political scandals, elite chaos, new war risks):
➡️ In the coming days, the market will answer the key question:
Will BTCUSDT move toward $50,000 —
or reverse toward $103k–$105k?

❓Which scenario do you believe the market is preparing for right now?

🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud.
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