ES (S&P 500 E-mini Futures) — January 25–26 Overnight & Day Session Outlook
Current Price: ~6,928–6,930
Market context:
Price sold aggressively into the prior session, flushed into lower value, and is now auctioning back into a prior high-volume node around 6,925–6,935. This area is acting as short-term balance, not acceptance yet. Volume profile shows unfinished business above and thin structure below, making this a location-based market rather than trend-based for now.
Key takeaway:
Expect rotation first, then expansion. Direction will be decided by acceptance above or rejection below the current HVN.
Key Levels
Resistance / Upper Acceptance
6,955–6,965 (Prior VAH / Supply)
6,945–6,950 (Intraday balance high)
Current Balance / Decision Zone
6,925–6,935 (High Volume Node / POC area)
Support / Lower Acceptance
6,900–6,905 (Prior reaction & demand)
6,875–6,885 (Single prints / thin volume)
6,850–6,860 (Session extreme support)
Overnight Session Trades
Trade 1 — Now → 12:00 AM (Early Overnight Rotation)
Bias: Mean reversion / rotation
Price is sitting inside HVN — expect chop unless we see acceptance.
Long Scenario
Entry: 6,920–6,925
Target: 6,945
Extended Target: 6,955
Stop Loss: 6,905
Short Scenario
Entry: 6,950–6,955 (rejection)
Target: 6,930
Extended Target: 6,915
Stop Loss: 6,965
Expect slow, overlapping candles — this is not trend time yet.
Trade 2 — 12:00 AM → 9:00 AM (Asia → London → Pre-US)
This is where real structure develops.
Bullish Acceptance Scenario
If price accepts above 6,945 with volume:
Entry: 6,945–6,950 (pullback)
Target: 6,975
Extended Target: 7,000
Stop Loss: 6,930
Bearish Rejection Scenario
If price fails at 6,945–6,955:
Entry: 6,940–6,950 rejection
Target: 6,905
Extended Target: 6,880
Stop Loss: 6,965
Watch for range expansion after London open — that’s the trigger.
Day Session (RTH) — January 26
Primary Expectation
One-timeframe buyers only if price holds above 6,945
Failure there opens a full rotation lower
Day Session Long (Acceptance Play)
Conditions
Acceptance above 6,945
Pullbacks holding above value
Entry: 6,950–6,955
Target 1: 6,980
Target 2: 7,010
Stop Loss: 6,930
This is a trend continuation day if this holds.
Day Session Short (Failed Auction / Rejection)
Conditions
Rejection wicks + lack of volume above 6,950
Return below 6,930
Entry: 6,930–6,935
Target 1: 6,900
Target 2: 6,870
Stop Loss: 6,955
This becomes a range-to-range liquidation move.
Final Read
Above 6,945: Buyers regain control → continuation toward 7,000
Below 6,925: Failed auction → rotation into lower value
Inside 6,925–6,945: Chop & patience required
This is a location-based market, not a chase market. Let price come to your levels.
Current Price: ~6,928–6,930
Market context:
Price sold aggressively into the prior session, flushed into lower value, and is now auctioning back into a prior high-volume node around 6,925–6,935. This area is acting as short-term balance, not acceptance yet. Volume profile shows unfinished business above and thin structure below, making this a location-based market rather than trend-based for now.
Key takeaway:
Expect rotation first, then expansion. Direction will be decided by acceptance above or rejection below the current HVN.
Key Levels
Resistance / Upper Acceptance
6,955–6,965 (Prior VAH / Supply)
6,945–6,950 (Intraday balance high)
Current Balance / Decision Zone
6,925–6,935 (High Volume Node / POC area)
Support / Lower Acceptance
6,900–6,905 (Prior reaction & demand)
6,875–6,885 (Single prints / thin volume)
6,850–6,860 (Session extreme support)
Overnight Session Trades
Trade 1 — Now → 12:00 AM (Early Overnight Rotation)
Bias: Mean reversion / rotation
Price is sitting inside HVN — expect chop unless we see acceptance.
Long Scenario
Entry: 6,920–6,925
Target: 6,945
Extended Target: 6,955
Stop Loss: 6,905
Short Scenario
Entry: 6,950–6,955 (rejection)
Target: 6,930
Extended Target: 6,915
Stop Loss: 6,965
Expect slow, overlapping candles — this is not trend time yet.
Trade 2 — 12:00 AM → 9:00 AM (Asia → London → Pre-US)
This is where real structure develops.
Bullish Acceptance Scenario
If price accepts above 6,945 with volume:
Entry: 6,945–6,950 (pullback)
Target: 6,975
Extended Target: 7,000
Stop Loss: 6,930
Bearish Rejection Scenario
If price fails at 6,945–6,955:
Entry: 6,940–6,950 rejection
Target: 6,905
Extended Target: 6,880
Stop Loss: 6,965
Watch for range expansion after London open — that’s the trigger.
Day Session (RTH) — January 26
Primary Expectation
One-timeframe buyers only if price holds above 6,945
Failure there opens a full rotation lower
Day Session Long (Acceptance Play)
Conditions
Acceptance above 6,945
Pullbacks holding above value
Entry: 6,950–6,955
Target 1: 6,980
Target 2: 7,010
Stop Loss: 6,930
This is a trend continuation day if this holds.
Day Session Short (Failed Auction / Rejection)
Conditions
Rejection wicks + lack of volume above 6,950
Return below 6,930
Entry: 6,930–6,935
Target 1: 6,900
Target 2: 6,870
Stop Loss: 6,955
This becomes a range-to-range liquidation move.
Final Read
Above 6,945: Buyers regain control → continuation toward 7,000
Below 6,925: Failed auction → rotation into lower value
Inside 6,925–6,945: Chop & patience required
This is a location-based market, not a chase market. Let price come to your levels.
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คำจำกัดสิทธิ์ความรับผิดชอบ
ข้อมูลและบทความไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อก่อให้เกิดกิจกรรมทางการเงิน, การลงทุน, การซื้อขาย, ข้อเสนอแนะ หรือคำแนะนำประเภทอื่น ๆ ที่ให้หรือรับรองโดย TradingView อ่านเพิ่มเติมใน ข้อกำหนดการใช้งาน