EURUSD: 1.1450 Level Continues to Cap Recovery

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EURUSD has entered a phase of tight consolidation following a strong rejection near the 1.1480 peak. Prices are currently fluctuating between 1.1430 and 1.1450; notably, however, recovery attempts have failed to sustain levels above the upper bound. This indicates waning buying momentum, while sellers remain active in defending the resistance zone.

On the H4 timeframe, the price is hovering near the Ichimoku cloud without achieving a convincing breakout. Should EURUSD fail again at 1.1450 and close below 1.1430, the consolidation structure could shift into a short-term distribution phase, paving the way for a retreat to the lower boundary of the rising channel near 1.1390.

The fundamental backdrop also remains unfavorable for the euro, as the USD draws support from safe-haven demand and US economic resilience. Meanwhile, expectations that the ECB will keep interest rates unchanged leave the euro lacking the catalyst needed to overcome current resistance levels.

Strategy: Prioritize SELL positions upon rejection at 1.1450 or a breakdown below 1.1430; target 1.1390.

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