Between Feb. 18 and Monday, Ford looks to have settled into a bullish inverted head-and-shoulder pattern, with the left shoulder formed between Feb. 18 and March 2, the head created between March 3 and March 22 and the right shoulder created between March 23 and Monday. On Tuesday, Ford gapped up about 2% higher, which caused the stock to break up over the descending neckline of the head-and-shoulders pattern. The measured move of the inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, which is calculated by adding the distance between the bottom of the head and the neckline to the middle of the neckline, is about 13%. This indicates Ford could trade up toward the $20 level. Following the gap-up open, big bullish volume came in and caused the stock to soar up over 3% within the first few minutes of the market's opening. The big bullish volume confirms the head-and-shoulder pattern was recognized.
Ford has a gap above on the chart between $18.59 and $19.87. Gaps on charts fill about 90% of the time, which makes it likely Ford will trade up to fill the empty range in the future.
Ford is also trading in a confirmed uptrend, with the most recent higher low printed on Monday at $16.28 and the most recent higher high created on Tuesday. Traders who aren’t already in a position could watch for the next higher low to take place, which could coincide with a backtest of the neckline of the inverted head-and-shoulders pattern.
Ford is trading above the eight-day and 21-day exponential moving averages, but with the eight-day EMA trending below the 21-day. If Ford remains above the 21-day EMA for a period of time, the eight-day EMA will cross above the 21-day, which would give bulls more confidence going forward.
Bulls want to see sustained big bullish volume drive Ford up over a resistance level at $17.72, which would give the stock room to trade up into the lower half of the gap. Above the level, Ford has resistance at $18.99 and $20.51.
Bears want to see big bearish volume come in and drop Ford back down below the descending neckline, which could cause the stock to print a lower flow and negate the uptrend. Ford has support at $17.02 and $16.45.
Ford has a gap above on the chart between $18.59 and $19.87. Gaps on charts fill about 90% of the time, which makes it likely Ford will trade up to fill the empty range in the future.
Ford is also trading in a confirmed uptrend, with the most recent higher low printed on Monday at $16.28 and the most recent higher high created on Tuesday. Traders who aren’t already in a position could watch for the next higher low to take place, which could coincide with a backtest of the neckline of the inverted head-and-shoulders pattern.
Ford is trading above the eight-day and 21-day exponential moving averages, but with the eight-day EMA trending below the 21-day. If Ford remains above the 21-day EMA for a period of time, the eight-day EMA will cross above the 21-day, which would give bulls more confidence going forward.
Bulls want to see sustained big bullish volume drive Ford up over a resistance level at $17.72, which would give the stock room to trade up into the lower half of the gap. Above the level, Ford has resistance at $18.99 and $20.51.
Bears want to see big bearish volume come in and drop Ford back down below the descending neckline, which could cause the stock to print a lower flow and negate the uptrend. Ford has support at $17.02 and $16.45.
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