ทองคำ / ดอลลาร์สหรัฐ
Short
ที่อัปเดต:

Rally Into Resistance, Sell-the-Retrace Setup Toward 4,660

198


Here’s a clean breakdown of what this chart is saying 👇
Market Structure

Gold is still in a broader bearish structure.

We saw a strong impulsive sell-off, followed by a corrective bounce (classic dead-cat / pullback move).

The white curved paths you marked show lower highs forming, which keeps sellers in control.

🧱 Key Zones

Major Resistance Zone: ~5,105 – 5,213
This area previously acted as support → broke down → now acting as supply.

Entry / Minor Resistance: ~5,000 – 5,050
Price is currently reacting here. This is where sellers are expected to step in.

Near-Term Support: ~4,905
A minor reaction level, but not strong enough to flip trend.

Primary Target / Demand Zone: ~4,658
Strong historical demand + prior reaction low. Logical downside objective.

📉 Price Action Read

The bounce from ~4,700 looks corrective, not impulsive.

Momentum weakens as price approaches resistance → bearish continuation likely.

The projected spike above resistance followed by a sharp drop suggests liquidity grab before the sell-off.

🎯 Trade Bias (Based on the Chart)

Bias: Bearish

Ideal Play:

Sell rejection from 5,000 – 5,100

Confirmation via bearish candles / lower-timeframe rejection

Target: 4,660 demand zone

Invalidation: Clean acceptance above ~5,213

🧠 Big Picture Takeaway

This is a pullback into resistance within a downtrend, not a trend reversal. Unless gold reclaims and holds above the upper resistance zone, rallies are likely selling opportunities, not buys.
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