Microsoft (MSFT) has been trading within a 4-year Channel Up since the November 22 2021 High. Last week it got rejected exactly on its July 28 2025 Resistance (which was a Higher High for the Channel Up) and formed a Double Top, which continues to decline this week as well.
With its 1W RSI also displaying a Bearish Divergence (since the July High) similar to past sell alerts within this Channel Up, it is possible for the stock to correct to at least $450, which represents the 0.5 Fibonacci level where the previous July 2024 - March 2025 correction found Support. That was just above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which also priced the bottom of the October 31 2022 Low but that correction was -38.69%, considerably stronger that -26.54%, which is also plausible if 2026 is a Bear Cycle.
The level that has confirmed those two correction Sell Signals within this Channel Up has been the 1D MA150 (red trend-line). On both occasions, Microsoft closed a 1W candle below the 1D MA150 and confirmed the correction, something that hasn't happened at any other time during these 4 years.
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With its 1W RSI also displaying a Bearish Divergence (since the July High) similar to past sell alerts within this Channel Up, it is possible for the stock to correct to at least $450, which represents the 0.5 Fibonacci level where the previous July 2024 - March 2025 correction found Support. That was just above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which also priced the bottom of the October 31 2022 Low but that correction was -38.69%, considerably stronger that -26.54%, which is also plausible if 2026 is a Bear Cycle.
The level that has confirmed those two correction Sell Signals within this Channel Up has been the 1D MA150 (red trend-line). On both occasions, Microsoft closed a 1W candle below the 1D MA150 and confirmed the correction, something that hasn't happened at any other time during these 4 years.
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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I trade Crypto, Forex, Indices & Commodities on PrimeXBT — all from one account with TradingView charts 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/PrimeXBT
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ข้อมูลและบทความไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อก่อให้เกิดกิจกรรมทางการเงิน, การลงทุน, การซื้อขาย, ข้อเสนอแนะ หรือคำแนะนำประเภทอื่น ๆ ที่ให้หรือรับรองโดย TradingView อ่านเพิ่มเติมใน ข้อกำหนดการใช้งาน
I trade Crypto, Forex, Indices & Commodities on PrimeXBT — all from one account with TradingView charts 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/PrimeXBT
I also use TradeNation for fixed spreads & zero commission 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/Tradenation
I also use TradeNation for fixed spreads & zero commission 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/Tradenation
คำจำกัดสิทธิ์ความรับผิดชอบ
ข้อมูลและบทความไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อก่อให้เกิดกิจกรรมทางการเงิน, การลงทุน, การซื้อขาย, ข้อเสนอแนะ หรือคำแนะนำประเภทอื่น ๆ ที่ให้หรือรับรองโดย TradingView อ่านเพิ่มเติมใน ข้อกำหนดการใช้งาน