ดัชนีเฉลี่ยอุตสาหกรรมดาวโจนส์ที่อัปเดต: US30: Record Highs, Zero Drama - The Levels Guarding the Trend
The Dow is doing the most boring thing an index can do: quietly making record highs. +19% off the April low at 45,000, and every pullback since has been shallower than the last.
Boring is not a weakness. Boring is what strength looks like on a daily chart.
KEY LEVELS
53,400 - blue-sky line. Above it the index is in price discovery.
52,300 - first test. The July breakout shelf, first support below price.
50,200 - make-or-break. The June swing low. The uptrend structure lives or dies here (danger zone 50,200-49,700).
TRADE PLAN
Continuation: daily close above 53,400 = long, stop below 52,300, targets 54,500 / 55,000.
Dip-buy: touch of 52,300 that closes back above it = long, stop below 50,200, target 53,400.
Bearish: daily close below 50,200 = short, stop above 52,300, targets 49,700 / 48,300.
Between levels with no trigger: no trade.
INVALIDATION
The bullish map is wrong on a daily close below 50,200. No shame in that, it simply means the June low failed.
THE LESSON
Trends rarely end quietly. Record highs with shrinking pullbacks are the market telling you demand is absorbing every dip. Fear the loud reversal, not the quiet grind.
Boring is bullish until a level says otherwise. I will update this idea as the levels get tested.
Boring is not a weakness. Boring is what strength looks like on a daily chart.
KEY LEVELS
53,400 - blue-sky line. Above it the index is in price discovery.
52,300 - first test. The July breakout shelf, first support below price.
50,200 - make-or-break. The June swing low. The uptrend structure lives or dies here (danger zone 50,200-49,700).
TRADE PLAN
Continuation: daily close above 53,400 = long, stop below 52,300, targets 54,500 / 55,000.
Dip-buy: touch of 52,300 that closes back above it = long, stop below 50,200, target 53,400.
Bearish: daily close below 50,200 = short, stop above 52,300, targets 49,700 / 48,300.
Between levels with no trigger: no trade.
INVALIDATION
The bullish map is wrong on a daily close below 50,200. No shame in that, it simply means the June low failed.
THE LESSON
Trends rarely end quietly. Record highs with shrinking pullbacks are the market telling you demand is absorbing every dip. Fear the loud reversal, not the quiet grind.
Boring is bullish until a level says otherwise. I will update this idea as the levels get tested.
การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Quick one on US30: dipped to 52,216.8 today, cracking below the 52,300 shelf for a bit, then climbed back to close at 52,445.4 (+0.33%).That's the dip-buy scenario from the plan playing out — touch the level, close back above it, bullish case stays alive. Stop below 50,200, target back toward 53,400. A level getting touched isn't the same as a level failing — what matters is where price settles, not how far it dipped in between. 52,300 held on a closing basis. Structure's intact.
บันทึก
US30 dipped back to ~52,254 this morning, a second touch of the 52,300 first-test shelf (first was July 9). Same overnight chip-selloff story pressuring the wider tape, but the Dow itself is holding up far better than Nasdaq - barely -0.5% here versus Nasdaq's -1.5%+. No new trigger, still well clear of the 50,200 make-or-break.
Sweden based full time trader with +20y experience leading a unique trade & chill community on Discord. I trade 200x leverage with TradneNation and have a big focus on mental strategy- Surviving is how we win this game. Join us on Bazemtrader.com.
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Sweden based full time trader with +20y experience leading a unique trade & chill community on Discord. I trade 200x leverage with TradneNation and have a big focus on mental strategy- Surviving is how we win this game. Join us on Bazemtrader.com.
คำจำกัดสิทธิ์ความรับผิดชอบ
ข้อมูลและบทความไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อก่อให้เกิดกิจกรรมทางการเงิน, การลงทุน, การซื้อขาย, ข้อเสนอแนะ หรือคำแนะนำประเภทอื่น ๆ ที่ให้หรือรับรองโดย TradingView อ่านเพิ่มเติมใน ข้อกำหนดการใช้งาน