Gold recently rejected the 5413 resistance zone and showed a strong bearish impulse toward the major 5000 psychological support area.
Current price is reacting after a sharp selloff, which indicates:
Liquidity sweep above resistance
Distribution at highs
Strong bearish momentum
Now price is approaching key demand
This creates a high-probability reaction zone.
🔴 Resistance Zone: 5386 – 5413
This area is strong supply because:
Previous rejection with long upper wicks
Institutional selling pressure
Fake breakout (liquidity grab)
Market structure shift from bullish to bearish
If price revisits this zone again:
Expect rejection
Possible lower high formation
Continuation toward downside
🟢 Major Support Zone: 4965 – 5006
This is the key buy zone marked in your chart.
Why important?
Previous consolidation base
Breakout origin
Psychological 5000 level
Liquidity resting below
This zone can act as: ✔ Demand area
✔ Reversal zone
✔ Accumulation phase
🔮 Possible Scenarios
✅ Scenario 1 – Bullish Reversal From 5000 (Primary Plan)
If price holds above 4965 and forms bullish confirmation (engulfing / BOS on lower TF):
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 5120
TP2: 5230
TP3: 5368
Final Target: 5413
Stop Loss: Below 4950
This would be a liquidity sweep + smart money accumulation setup.
❌ Scenario 2 – Breakdown Below 4965 (Bearish Continuation)
If 4965 breaks with strong bearish candle close:
🎯 Targets:
4900
4856
4800
That confirms continuation of bearish trend.
📈 Market Psychology (Smart Money Concept)
At 5413: Retail buyers entered breakout
Smart money distributed
At 5000: Retail panic selling
Smart money accumulation possible
This is classic: Liquidity Grab → Distribution → Dump → Re-accumulation
📍 Intraday Trading Plan (H1)
Buy Setup:
Entry: 5006 – 4970 zone
Confirmation required
Risk management 1–2%
Sell Setup:
Only if daily close below 4965
Retest entry preferred
🧠 Overall Bias
Short-term: Bearish
Mid-zone reaction: Possible bounce
Major move: Depends on 5000 reaction
⭐ Final Outlook
Gold is at a decision point.
5000 is the key battlefield.
Hold above → 5413 possible
Break below → 4800 open
Trade with confirmation, not emotion.
Current price is reacting after a sharp selloff, which indicates:
Liquidity sweep above resistance
Distribution at highs
Strong bearish momentum
Now price is approaching key demand
This creates a high-probability reaction zone.
🔴 Resistance Zone: 5386 – 5413
This area is strong supply because:
Previous rejection with long upper wicks
Institutional selling pressure
Fake breakout (liquidity grab)
Market structure shift from bullish to bearish
If price revisits this zone again:
Expect rejection
Possible lower high formation
Continuation toward downside
🟢 Major Support Zone: 4965 – 5006
This is the key buy zone marked in your chart.
Why important?
Previous consolidation base
Breakout origin
Psychological 5000 level
Liquidity resting below
This zone can act as: ✔ Demand area
✔ Reversal zone
✔ Accumulation phase
🔮 Possible Scenarios
✅ Scenario 1 – Bullish Reversal From 5000 (Primary Plan)
If price holds above 4965 and forms bullish confirmation (engulfing / BOS on lower TF):
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 5120
TP2: 5230
TP3: 5368
Final Target: 5413
Stop Loss: Below 4950
This would be a liquidity sweep + smart money accumulation setup.
❌ Scenario 2 – Breakdown Below 4965 (Bearish Continuation)
If 4965 breaks with strong bearish candle close:
🎯 Targets:
4900
4856
4800
That confirms continuation of bearish trend.
📈 Market Psychology (Smart Money Concept)
At 5413: Retail buyers entered breakout
Smart money distributed
At 5000: Retail panic selling
Smart money accumulation possible
This is classic: Liquidity Grab → Distribution → Dump → Re-accumulation
📍 Intraday Trading Plan (H1)
Buy Setup:
Entry: 5006 – 4970 zone
Confirmation required
Risk management 1–2%
Sell Setup:
Only if daily close below 4965
Retest entry preferred
🧠 Overall Bias
Short-term: Bearish
Mid-zone reaction: Possible bounce
Major move: Depends on 5000 reaction
⭐ Final Outlook
Gold is at a decision point.
5000 is the key battlefield.
Hold above → 5413 possible
Break below → 4800 open
Trade with confirmation, not emotion.
คำจำกัดสิทธิ์ความรับผิดชอบ
ข้อมูลและบทความไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อก่อให้เกิดกิจกรรมทางการเงิน, การลงทุน, การซื้อขาย, ข้อเสนอแนะ หรือคำแนะนำประเภทอื่น ๆ ที่ให้หรือรับรองโดย TradingView อ่านเพิ่มเติมใน ข้อกำหนดการใช้งาน
คำจำกัดสิทธิ์ความรับผิดชอบ
ข้อมูลและบทความไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อก่อให้เกิดกิจกรรมทางการเงิน, การลงทุน, การซื้อขาย, ข้อเสนอแนะ หรือคำแนะนำประเภทอื่น ๆ ที่ให้หรือรับรองโดย TradingView อ่านเพิ่มเติมใน ข้อกำหนดการใช้งาน