1. The Bullish History (April Expansion)
The Foundation: In April, Gold was strongly bullish, printing successive ChoCh (Change of Character) and BoS (Break of Structure) markers.
The Trendline Support: Price climbed aggressively along a steep "Support trend line", leaving behind a prominent FVG imbalance box before hitting its macro peak near 4,800+.
2. The Great Markdown & Mitigation Phase (May - June)
Started to Decline: After peaking, Gold printed a macro lower high and began its long-term descent, forming a major downward resistance trendline.
First Mitigation ("Turned Around" #1): In mid-May, price consolidated into a grey box labeled "Range impulse up". It rallied briefly to fill a 4HR FVG but immediately "Turned Around" and rejected down exactly at the macro trendline, printing a cleaner "Brake out" to the downside.
Second Mitigation ("Turned Around" #2): In early June, price trapped retail traders in another consolidation block ("Range"). It swept upward to grab "Low Resistance Liquidity", hit the trendline again, and promptly "Turned Around" into the massive NFP capitulation crash seen recently.
3. The Current Macro Landscape: "Buyer Zone"
The Wedge Setup: Price has broken down below a local "Support Line", but it has landed squarely into a massive, multi-month macro BUYER ZONE holding between 4,266.81 and 4,328.73.
Current State: The live price is sitting at 4,315.13 inside this major demand zone. The macro descending trendline from April and the new horizontal floor are narrowing, locking price into a giant descending wedge.
4. The Reversal & Breakout Pathway
The black zig-zag forecast lines map out a high-probability macro accumulation and breakout plan:
The Final Shakeout: Price is expected to bounce around the bottom of the Buyer Zone to finish building institutional volume and draining the final retail sellers.
The True Breakout ("Brake out"): Once the accumulation is finished, the plan projects a vertical, aggressive breakout straight through the macro descending trendline.
TP 1 (4,370): The first structural take-profit target sits right at the breakdown pivot area.
TP 2 (4,410): The secondary, higher take-profit target maps to a major overhead liquidity pool at 4,416.40.
The Foundation: In April, Gold was strongly bullish, printing successive ChoCh (Change of Character) and BoS (Break of Structure) markers.
The Trendline Support: Price climbed aggressively along a steep "Support trend line", leaving behind a prominent FVG imbalance box before hitting its macro peak near 4,800+.
2. The Great Markdown & Mitigation Phase (May - June)
Started to Decline: After peaking, Gold printed a macro lower high and began its long-term descent, forming a major downward resistance trendline.
First Mitigation ("Turned Around" #1): In mid-May, price consolidated into a grey box labeled "Range impulse up". It rallied briefly to fill a 4HR FVG but immediately "Turned Around" and rejected down exactly at the macro trendline, printing a cleaner "Brake out" to the downside.
Second Mitigation ("Turned Around" #2): In early June, price trapped retail traders in another consolidation block ("Range"). It swept upward to grab "Low Resistance Liquidity", hit the trendline again, and promptly "Turned Around" into the massive NFP capitulation crash seen recently.
3. The Current Macro Landscape: "Buyer Zone"
The Wedge Setup: Price has broken down below a local "Support Line", but it has landed squarely into a massive, multi-month macro BUYER ZONE holding between 4,266.81 and 4,328.73.
Current State: The live price is sitting at 4,315.13 inside this major demand zone. The macro descending trendline from April and the new horizontal floor are narrowing, locking price into a giant descending wedge.
4. The Reversal & Breakout Pathway
The black zig-zag forecast lines map out a high-probability macro accumulation and breakout plan:
The Final Shakeout: Price is expected to bounce around the bottom of the Buyer Zone to finish building institutional volume and draining the final retail sellers.
The True Breakout ("Brake out"): Once the accumulation is finished, the plan projects a vertical, aggressive breakout straight through the macro descending trendline.
TP 1 (4,370): The first structural take-profit target sits right at the breakdown pivot area.
TP 2 (4,410): The secondary, higher take-profit target maps to a major overhead liquidity pool at 4,416.40.
การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
XAUUSD is currently reacting from the highlighted buyer zone and attempting to form a bullish recovery after breaking below the descending wedge support. Price remains near a key demand area, and a confirmation breakout above resistance could support further upside momentum toward the projected target zones.Traders should monitor price action closely and manage risk accordingly, as market conditions can change rapidly.
Targets: 4370 – 4410
Bias: Bullish above support
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice
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Technical and Fundamental analysis
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🔗 Telegram Channel
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Technical and Fundamental analysis
Risk management tips to protect your capital
join now and Start profit
📩 DM On Telegram → @PrimeStrike_Xauusd
คำจำกัดสิทธิ์ความรับผิดชอบ
ข้อมูลและบทความไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อก่อให้เกิดกิจกรรมทางการเงิน, การลงทุน, การซื้อขาย, ข้อเสนอแนะ หรือคำแนะนำประเภทอื่น ๆ ที่ให้หรือรับรองโดย TradingView อ่านเพิ่มเติมใน ข้อกำหนดการใช้งาน